USDA Boosts Orange Estimate
WASHINGTON - Apr 12/16 - SNS -- This year's orange crop is 4% bigger than previously forecast, but at 5.59 million tons, it is down 12% from last year, according to the USDA.
The Florida all orange forecast, at 76.0 million boxes (3.42 million tons), is up 7% from last month's forecast but down 22% from last season's revised final utilization. Early, midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 36.0 million boxes (1.62 million tons), unchanged from last month but down 24% from last season's final utilization. The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 40.0 million boxes (1.80 million tons), is up 14% from last month but down 19% from last season's revised final utilization.
The California Valencia orange forecast is 10.5 million boxes (420,000 tons), unchanged from the previous forecast but up 11% from last season's final utilization. The California Navel orange forecast is 42.0 million boxes (1.68 million tons), unchanged from the previous forecast but up 7% from last season's revised final utilization. The Texas all orange forecast, at 1.57 million boxes (66,000 tons), is up 11% from the previous forecast and up 8% from last season's final utilization.
Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield forecast for the 2015-2016 season is 1.42 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, down 2% from the previous month's forecast and down 5% from last season's final yield of 1.50 gallons per box. The early and midseason portion is final at 1.35 gallons per box, down 5% from last season's final yield of 1.42 gallons per box. The Valencia portion is projected at 1.52 gallons per box, down 5% from the previous forecast and down 4% from last year's final yield of 1.58 gallons per box. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships this season will be similar to those of the past several seasons.
Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2014-2015 and
Forecasted April 1, 2016
[The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the
following year]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Utilized production boxes 1/ : Utilized production ton equivalent
Crop and State :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2014-2015 : 2015-2016 : 2014-2015 : 2015-2016
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ------- 1,000 boxes ------- ------- 1,000 tons ------
Oranges :
California, all ..............: 48,600 52,500 1,944 2,100
Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ....: 39,100 42,000 1,564 1,680
Valencia ....................: 9,500 10,500 380 420
:
Florida, all .................: 96,950 76,000 4,363 3,420
Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ....: 47,400 36,000 2,133 1,620
Valencia ....................: 49,550 40,000 2,230 1,800
:
Texas, all ...................: 1,452 1,570 62 66
Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ....: 1,170 1,350 50 57
Valencia ....................: 282 220 12 9
:
United States, all ...........: 147,002 130,070 6,369 5,586
Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ....: 87,670 79,350 3,747 3,357
Valencia ....................: 59,332 50,720 2,622 2,229
:
Grapefruit :
California ...................: 4,300 3,900 172 156
Florida, all .................: 12,900 10,700 548 455
Red .........................: 9,650 8,200 410 349
White .......................: 3,250 2,500 138 106
Texas ........................: 4,250 5,200 170 208
:
United States ................: 21,450 19,800 890 819
:
Tangerines and mandarins :
Arizona 3/ 4/ ................: 170 (NA) 7 (NA)
California 3/ ................: 18,500 22,000 740 880
Florida ......................: 2,265 1,400 108 67
:
United States ................: 20,935 23,400 855 947
:
Lemons :
Arizona ......................: 2,000 1,500 80 60
California ...................: 20,600 21,000 824 840
:
United States ................: 22,600 22,500 904 900
:
Tangelos :
Florida ......................: 665 390 30 18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.
1/ Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80,
Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in Arizona and California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80;
tangelos-90.
2/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in
Florida and Texas. Small quantities of Temples in Florida.
3/ Includes tangelos and tangors.
4/ Estimates discontinued in 2015-2016.
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