STAT Communications Ag Market News

USDA Boosts Orange Estimate

WASHINGTON - Apr 12/16 - SNS -- Production of all types of citrus fruit is better than initially expected, according to the USDA.

This year's orange crop is 4% bigger than previously forecast, but at 5.59 million tons, it is down 12% from last year.

The United States 2015-2016 grapefruit crop is forecast at 819,000 tons, up 1% from last month's forecast but down 8% from last season's revised final utilization. In Florida, expected production, at 10.7 million boxes, is unchanged from last month but down 17% from last year. California grapefruit production is up 5% from the previous forecast but down 9% from last season's revised final utilization. Texas grapefruit production is up 2% from the previous forecast and up 22% from the previous year.

The United States tangerine and mandarin crop is forecast at 947,000 tons, up 4% from last month and up 11% from last season's revised final utilization. If realized, this will be the largest production ever recorded in the data series which began in 1964-1965. The California tangerine and mandarin production forecast is up 5% from the previous forecast and up 19% from last season's revised utilized production. The Florida forecast is unchanged from the previous month but down 38% from last year's revised utilized production. Estimates for Arizona have been discontinued.

The forecast for the 2015-2016 United States lemon crop is 900,000 tons, up 4% from the previous forecast but down slightly from last season's revised final utilization. Arizona's harvest is complete for this year. In California the desert harvest is complete.

Florida's tangelo forecast is 390,000 boxes (18,000 tons), down 3% from last month and down 41% from last season's revised final utilization. The production is the lowest since the 1958-1959 season.


Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2014-2015 and
Forecasted April 1, 2016
[The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the
following year]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :     Utilized production boxes 1/      :  Utilized production ton equivalent
        Crop and State        :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :     2014-2015     :     2015-2016     :     2014-2015     :     2015-2016
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :      ------- 1,000 boxes -------              ------- 1,000 tons ------
Oranges                       :
California, all ..............:       48,600              52,500              1,944               2,100
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ....:       39,100              42,000              1,564               1,680
 Valencia ....................:        9,500              10,500                380                 420
                              :
Florida, all .................:       96,950              76,000              4,363               3,420
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ....:       47,400              36,000              2,133               1,620
 Valencia ....................:       49,550              40,000              2,230               1,800
                              :
Texas, all ...................:        1,452               1,570                 62                  66
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ....:        1,170               1,350                 50                  57
 Valencia ....................:          282                 220                 12                   9
                              :
United States, all ...........:      147,002             130,070              6,369               5,586
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ....:       87,670              79,350              3,747               3,357
 Valencia ....................:       59,332              50,720              2,622               2,229
                              :
Grapefruit                    :
California ...................:        4,300               3,900                172                 156
Florida, all .................:       12,900              10,700                548                 455
 Red .........................:        9,650               8,200                410                 349
 White .......................:        3,250               2,500                138                 106
Texas ........................:        4,250               5,200                170                 208
                              :
United States ................:       21,450              19,800                890                 819
                              :
Tangerines and mandarins      :
Arizona 3/ 4/ ................:          170                (NA)                  7                (NA)
California 3/ ................:       18,500              22,000                740                 880
Florida ......................:        2,265               1,400                108                  67
                              :
United States ................:       20,935              23,400                855                 947
                              :
Lemons                        :
Arizona ......................:        2,000               1,500                 80                  60
California ...................:       20,600              21,000                824                 840
                              :
United States ................:       22,600              22,500                904                 900
                              :
Tangelos                      :
Florida ......................:          665                 390                 30                  18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.
1/   Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80,
     Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in Arizona and California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80;
     tangelos-90.
2/   Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in
     Florida and Texas. Small quantities of Temples in Florida.
3/   Includes tangelos and tangors.
4/   Estimates discontinued in 2015-2016.

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