Orange Crop Collapses
WASHINGTON - Nov 10/15 - SNS -- Orange production in the United States for the 2015-2016 season is expected to total 5.50 million tons, down 5% from the previous forecast and down 14% from the 2014-2015 final utilization, according to the latest USDA crop production estimates for 2015.
The Florida all orange forecast, at 74.0 million boxes (3.33 million tons), is down 8% from last month's forecast and down 24% from last season's final utilization. Early, midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 37.0 million boxes (1.67 million tons), down 8% from last month and down 22% from last season's final utilization.
The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 37.0 million boxes (1.67 million tons), is down 8% from last month and down 25% from last season's final utilization. California and Texas orange production forecasts were carried forward from the previous forecast.
Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield forecast for the 2015-2016 season is 1.58 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, down 2% from the October forecast but up 5% from last season's final yield of 1.50 gallons per box. Projected yield from the 2015-2016 non-Valencia and Valencia varieties will be published in the January Crop Production report. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships this season will be similar to those of the past several seasons.
Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2014-2015 and
Forecasted November 1, 2015
[The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the
following year]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Utilized production boxes 1/ : Utilized production ton equivalent
Crop and State :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2014-2015 : 2015-2016 : 2014-2015 : 2015-2016
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ------- 1,000 boxes ------- ------- 1,000 tons ------
Oranges :
Early, mid, and Navel 2/ :
California 3/ ..............: 39,500 43,000 1,580 1,720
Florida ....................: 47,400 37,000 2,133 1,665
Texas 3/ ...................: 1,170 1,317 50 56
:
United States ..............: 88,070 81,317 3,763 3,441
:
Valencia :
California 3/ ..............: 9,500 9,500 380 380
Florida ....................: 49,400 37,000 2,223 1,665
Texas 3/ ...................: 282 366 12 16
:
United States ..............: 59,182 46,866 2,615 2,061
:
All :
California 3/ ..............: 49,000 52,500 1,960 2,100
Florida ....................: 96,800 74,000 4,356 3,330
Texas 3/ ...................: 1,452 1,683 62 72
:
United States ..............: 147,252 128,183 6,378 5,502
:
Grapefruit :
White :
Florida ....................: 3,250 2,700 138 115
:
Red :
Florida ....................: 9,650 9,500 410 404
:
All :
California 3/ ..............: 3,800 3,500 152 140
Florida ....................: 12,900 12,200 548 519
Texas 3/ ...................: 4,250 4,000 170 160
:
United States ..............: 20,950 19,700 870 819
:
Tangerines and mandarins :
Arizona 4/ 5/ ................: 170 (NA) 7 (NA)
California 3/ 4/ .............: 18,200 19,000 728 760
Florida ......................: 2,270 1,750 108 83
:
United States ................: 20,640 20,750 843 843
:
Lemons 3/ :
Arizona ......................: 2,000 1,600 80 64
California ...................: 20,500 19,500 820 780
:
United States ................: 22,500 21,100 900 844
:
Tangelos :
Florida ......................: 680 400 31 18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.
1/ Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80,
Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in Arizona and California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80;
tangelos-90.
2/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in
Florida and Texas. Small quantities of tangerines Temples in Florida.
3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast.
4/ Includes tangelos and tangors.
5/ Estimates discontinued in 2015-2016.
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