STAT Communications Ag Market News

U.S. Cotton Harvest Slumps

WASHINGTON - Jan 12/23 - SNS -- All cotton production is estimated at 12.4 million 480-pound bales, down 14% from 2022, according to the USDA's final production estimates.

The United States yield is estimated at 845 pounds per acre, down 108 pounds from last year. Harvested area, at 7.06 million acres, is down 3% from last year.

Upland cotton production was forecasted at 12.1 million 480-pound bales, down 13% from the previous year. The United States yield for upland cotton is forecasted at 841 pounds per acre, down 104 pounds from 2022. Upland planted area, forecasted at 10.1 million acres, was down 26% from the previous year. Harvested area, at 6.92 million acres, was down 3% from the previous year.

Record lows were forecasted in California and Arizona for upland planted acres. California and New Mexico upland harvested area were at record low levels. If realized, the forecasted yields for upland and all cotton in Arkansas and Tennessee will be record highs. New Mexico upland cotton yield is forecasted at a record high.

American Pima producers planted 147,000 acres in 2023, down 19% from 2022. Harvested area, at 139,800 acres, was down 21% from the previous year. Production was forecasted at 307,000 480-pound bales, down 35% from 2022. The United States yield was forecasted at 1,054 pounds per acre, down 227 pounds from the previous year.

Cottonseed production for 2023, based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio, is expected to total 3.79 million tons, down 14% from 2022.

Cotton Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and
United States: 2021-2023
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :          Area planted          :          Area harvested
  Type and State :--------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :   2021   :   2022   :   2023   :   2021    :   2022    :   2023
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                            1,000 acres
                 :
Upland           :
Alabama .........:    405.0      435.0      380.0      401.0       430.0       376.0
Arizona .........:    120.0       87.0       76.0      119.0        86.0        75.0
Arkansas ........:    480.0      640.0      510.0      475.0       625.0       505.0
California ......:     26.0       19.0       13.0       25.5        18.5        12.8
Florida .........:     92.0      106.0       89.0       90.0       103.0        87.0
Georgia .........:  1,170.0    1,290.0    1,110.0    1,160.0     1,270.0     1,100.0
Kansas ..........:    110.0      163.0      112.0      102.0       136.0        99.0
Louisiana .......:    110.0      195.0      120.0      104.0       190.0       115.0
Mississippi .....:    445.0      530.0      400.0      430.0       525.0       395.0
Missouri ........:    315.0      360.0      335.0      310.0       340.0       330.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:     37.0       66.0       32.0       27.0        29.0        22.0
North Carolina ..:    375.0      470.0      380.0      365.0       460.0       370.0
Oklahoma ........:    485.0      660.0      420.0      430.0       220.0       190.0
South Carolina ..:    210.0      270.0      210.0      207.0       266.0       208.0
Tennessee .......:    275.0      335.0      265.0      270.0       325.0       260.0
Texas ...........:  6,350.0    7,850.0    5,550.0    5,550.0     2,000.0     2,700.0
Virginia ........:     75.0       91.0       81.0       74.0        90.0        80.0
                 :
United States ...: 11,080.0   13,567.0   10,083.0   10,139.5     7,113.5     6,924.8
                 :
American Pima    :
Arizona .........:      9.0       15.0       16.0        8.8        14.4        16.0
California ......:     88.0      115.0       86.0       87.0       114.0        84.0
New Mexico ......:     12.5       19.0       16.0       11.9        18.7        15.8
Texas ...........:     17.0       33.0       29.0       16.0        29.0        24.0
                 :
United States ...:    126.5      182.0      147.0      123.7       176.1       139.8
                 :
All              :
Alabama .........:    405.0      435.0      380.0      401.0       430.0       376.0
Arizona .........:    129.0      102.0       92.0      127.8       100.4        91.0
Arkansas ........:    480.0      640.0      510.0      475.0       625.0       505.0
California ......:    114.0      134.0       99.0      112.5       132.5        96.8
Florida .........:     92.0      106.0       89.0       90.0       103.0        87.0
Georgia .........:  1,170.0    1,290.0    1,110.0    1,160.0     1,270.0     1,100.0
Kansas ..........:    110.0      163.0      112.0      102.0       136.0        99.0
Louisiana .......:    110.0      195.0      120.0      104.0       190.0       115.0
Mississippi .....:    445.0      530.0      400.0      430.0       525.0       395.0
Missouri ........:    315.0      360.0      335.0      310.0       340.0       330.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:     49.5       85.0       48.0       38.9        47.7        37.8
North Carolina ..:    375.0      470.0      380.0      365.0       460.0       370.0
Oklahoma ........:    485.0      660.0      420.0      430.0       220.0       190.0
South Carolina ..:    210.0      270.0      210.0      207.0       266.0       208.0
Tennessee .......:    275.0      335.0      265.0      270.0       325.0       260.0
Texas ...........:  6,367.0    7,883.0    5,579.0    5,566.0     2,029.0     2,724.0
Virginia ........:     75.0       91.0       81.0       74.0        90.0        80.0
                 :
United States ...: 11,206.5   13,749.0   10,230.0   10,263.2     7,289.6     7,064.6
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
See footnote(s) at end of table.                                           --continued
Cotton Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and
United States: 2021-2023 (continued)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :       Yield per acre        :            Production 1/
  Type and State :--------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  2021   :  2022   :  2023   :    2021    :    2022    :    2023
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  --------- pounds --------     --------- 1,000 bales 2/ ---------
                 :
Upland           :
Alabama .........:    826       930       913        690.0        833.0        715.0
Arizona .........:  1,275     1,563     1,568        316.0        280.0        245.0
Arkansas ........:  1,248     1,189     1,340      1,235.0      1,548.0      1,410.0
California ......:  1,920     1,946     1,838        102.0         75.0         49.0
Florida .........:    640       769       634        120.0        165.0        115.0
Georgia .........:    914     1,002       982      2,210.0      2,650.0      2,250.0
Kansas ..........:    880       586       815        187.0        166.0        168.0
Louisiana .......:  1,011       904       877        219.0        358.0        210.0
Mississippi .....:    997     1,084     1,082        893.0      1,186.0        890.0
Missouri ........:  1,260     1,240     1,338        814.0        878.0        920.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:  1,067       993     1,200         60.0         60.0         55.0
North Carolina ..:  1,017     1,049       947        773.0      1,005.0        730.0
Oklahoma ........:    774       663       783        693.0        304.0        310.0
South Carolina ..:    986       911       912        425.0        505.0        395.0
Tennessee .......:  1,036     1,053     1,237        583.0        713.0        670.0
Texas ...........:    666       734       498      7,700.0      3,060.0      2,800.0
Virginia ........:  1,109     1,131     1,170        171.0        212.0        195.0
                 :
United States ...:    814       945       841     17,191.0     13,998.0     12,127.0
                 :
American Pima    :
Arizona .........:    982       933       960         18.0         28.0         32.0
California ......:  1,501     1,558     1,286        272.0        370.0        225.0
New Mexico ......:    645       719       759         16.0         28.0         25.0
Texas ...........:    780       728       500         26.0         44.0         25.0
                 :
United States ...:  1,288     1,281     1,054        332.0        470.0        307.0
                 :
All              :
Alabama .........:    826       930       913        690.0        833.0        715.0
Arizona .........:  1,254     1,473     1,461        334.0        308.0        277.0
Arkansas ........:  1,248     1,189     1,340      1,235.0      1,548.0      1,410.0
California ......:  1,596     1,612     1,359        374.0        445.0        274.0
Florida .........:    640       769       634        120.0        165.0        115.0
Georgia .........:    914     1,002       982      2,210.0      2,650.0      2,250.0
Kansas ..........:    880       586       815        187.0        166.0        168.0
Louisiana .......:  1,011       904       877        219.0        358.0        210.0
Mississippi .....:    997     1,084     1,082        893.0      1,186.0        890.0
Missouri ........:  1,260     1,240     1,338        814.0        878.0        920.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    938       886     1,016         76.0         88.0         80.0
North Carolina ..:  1,017     1,049       947        773.0      1,005.0        730.0
Oklahoma ........:    774       663       783        693.0        304.0        310.0
South Carolina ..:    986       911       912        425.0        505.0        395.0
Tennessee .......:  1,036     1,053     1,237        583.0        713.0        670.0
Texas ...........:    666       734       498      7,726.0      3,104.0      2,825.0
Virginia ........:  1,109     1,131     1,170        171.0        212.0        195.0
                 :
United States ...:    820       953       845     17,523.0     14,468.0     12,434.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.
2/ 480-pound net weight bale.
Cottonseed Production - States and United States: 2021-2023
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
               :                             Production
     State     :--------------------------------------------------------------------
               :         2021         :         2022         :       2023 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
               :                             1,000 tons
               :
Alabama .......:         200.0                  236.0                  204.0
Arizona .......:         113.0                  121.0                   99.0
Arkansas ......:         390.0                  489.0                  445.0
California ....:         128.0                  153.0                   95.0
Florida .......:          34.0                   48.0                   33.0
Georgia .......:         612.0                  757.0                  634.0
Kansas ........:          57.0                   50.0                   53.0
Louisiana .....:          68.0                  109.0                   66.0
Mississippi ...:         276.0                  374.0                  279.0
Missouri ......:         245.0                  317.0                  311.0
               :
New Mexico ....:          24.0                   23.0                   24.0
North Carolina :         218.0                  295.0                  213.0
Oklahoma ......:         205.0                   93.0                   94.0
South Carolina :         119.0                  141.0                  112.0
Tennessee .....:         183.0                  208.0                  197.0
Texas .........:       2,403.0                  940.0                  875.0
Virginia ......:          48.0                   61.0                   54.0
               :
United States .:       5,323.0                4,415.0                3,788.0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Estimates based on 3-year average lint-seed ratio.

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