STAT Communications Ag Market News

U.S. Cotton Yields Decline

WASHINGTON - Sep 12/23 - SNS -- All cotton production in the United States is forecast at 13.1 million 480-pound bales, down 6% from the previous forecast and down 9% from 2022, according to the latest USDA production estimates for 2023.

Based on conditions as of September 1, yields are expected to average 786 pounds per harvested acre, up 7 pounds from the previous forecast but down 164 pounds from 2022.

Upland cotton production is forecast at 12.8 million 480-pound bales, down 7% from the previous forecast and down 9% from 2022. Pima cotton production is forecast at 356,000 bales, up 33% from the previous forecast but down 24% from 2022.

All cotton planted area totaled 10.2 million acres, down 8% from the previous forecast and down 26% from 2022. All cotton area harvested is forecast at 8.02 million acres, down 7% from the previous forecast but up 10% from 2022.

Ginnings totaled 484,450 running bales prior to September 1, down from 506,000 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year.

Cotton Area Planted and Harvested by Type - States and United States: 2022 and 2023
[Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously published]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :           Area planted            :          Area harvested
       State      :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :      2022       :      2023       :      2022       :     2023 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :                              1,000 acres
                  :
Upland            :
Alabama ..........:       435.0             380.0             430.0             375.0
Arizona ..........:        87.0              76.0              86.0              75.0
Arkansas .........:       640.0             510.0             630.0             505.0
California .......:        19.0              13.0              18.5              12.8
Florida ..........:       106.0              89.0             103.0              87.0
Georgia ..........:     1,290.0           1,110.0           1,270.0           1,100.0
Kansas ...........:       165.0             115.0             138.0              88.0
Louisiana ........:       195.0             120.0             190.0             115.0
Mississippi ......:       530.0             400.0             525.0             395.0
Missouri .........:       360.0             335.0             340.0             330.0
                  :
New Mexico .......:        66.0              32.0              30.0              22.0
North Carolina ...:       470.0             380.0             460.0             370.0
Oklahoma .........:       670.0             420.0             230.0             310.0
South Carolina ...:       270.0             210.0             266.0             205.0
Tennessee ........:       335.0             265.0             325.0             260.0
Texas ............:     7,850.0           5,550.0           2,000.0           3,550.0
Virginia .........:        91.0              81.0              90.0              80.0
                  :
United States ....:    13,579.0          10,086.0           7,131.5           7,879.8
                  :
American Pima     :
Arizona ..........:        15.0              16.0              14.4              16.0
California .......:       115.0              85.0             114.0              84.0
New Mexico .......:        19.0              16.5              18.8              16.1
Texas ............:        33.0              29.0              29.0              25.0
                  :
United States ....:       182.0             146.5             176.2             141.1
                  :
All               :
Alabama ..........:       435.0             380.0             430.0             375.0
Arizona ..........:       102.0              92.0             100.4              91.0
Arkansas .........:       640.0             510.0             630.0             505.0
California .......:       134.0              98.0             132.5              96.8
Florida ..........:       106.0              89.0             103.0              87.0
Georgia ..........:     1,290.0           1,110.0           1,270.0           1,100.0
Kansas ...........:       165.0             115.0             138.0              88.0
Louisiana ........:       195.0             120.0             190.0             115.0
Mississippi ......:       530.0             400.0             525.0             395.0
Missouri .........:       360.0             335.0             340.0             330.0
                  :
New Mexico .......:        85.0              48.5              48.8              38.1
North Carolina ...:       470.0             380.0             460.0             370.0
Oklahoma .........:       670.0             420.0             230.0             310.0
South Carolina ...:       270.0             210.0             266.0             205.0
Tennessee ........:       335.0             265.0             325.0             260.0
Texas ............:     7,883.0           5,579.0           2,029.0           3,575.0
Virginia .........:        91.0              81.0              90.0              80.0
                  :
United States ....:    13,761.0          10,232.5           7,307.7           8,020.9
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Forecasted.
Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2022 and
Forecasted September 1, 2023
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  Area harvested   :         Yield per acre         :    Production 1/
                 :--------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Type and State :         :         :        :         2023          :          :
                 :  2022   :  2023   :  2022  :-----------------------:   2022   :   2023
                 :         :         :        : August 1  :September 1:          :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 : -- 1,000 acres --   ---------- pounds ----------        1,000 bales 2/
                 :
Upland           :
Alabama .........:   430.0     375.0     930        902         870        833.0      680.0
Arizona .........:    86.0      75.0   1,563      1,330       1,344        280.0      210.0
Arkansas ........:   630.0     505.0   1,179      1,203       1,141      1,548.0    1,200.0
California ......:    18.5      12.8   1,946      1,575       1,575         75.0       42.0
Florida .........:   103.0      87.0     769        845         552        165.0      100.0
Georgia .........: 1,270.0   1,100.0   1,002      1,029       1,004      2,650.0    2,300.0
Kansas ..........:   138.0      88.0     577        923         693        166.0      127.0
Louisiana .......:   190.0     115.0     904        960         856        358.0      205.0
Mississippi .....:   525.0     395.0   1,084      1,101       1,082      1,186.0      890.0
Missouri ........:   340.0     330.0   1,240      1,043       1,120        878.0      770.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    30.0      22.0     960        840         916         60.0       42.0
North Carolina ..:   460.0     370.0   1,049      1,025         882      1,005.0      680.0
Oklahoma ........:   230.0     310.0     634        594         403        304.0      260.0
South Carolina ..:   266.0     205.0     911        832         773        505.0      330.0
Tennessee .......:   325.0     260.0   1,053      1,023       1,015        713.0      550.0
Texas ...........: 2,000.0   3,550.0     734        517         568      3,060.0    4,200.0
Virginia ........:    90.0      80.0   1,131      1,000       1,140        212.0      190.0
                 :
United States ...: 7,131.5   7,879.8     942        773         778     13,998.0   12,776.0
                 :
American Pima    :
Arizona .........:    14.4      16.0     933      1,160       1,170         28.0       39.0
California ......:   114.0      84.0   1,558      1,391       1,400        370.0      245.0
New Mexico ......:    18.8      16.1     715        637         894         28.0       30.0
Texas ...........:    29.0      25.0     728        832         806         44.0       42.0
                 :
United States ...:   176.2     141.1   1,280      1,216       1,211        470.0      356.0
                 :
All              :
Alabama .........:   430.0     375.0     930        902         870        833.0      680.0
Arizona .........:   100.4      91.0   1,473      1,306       1,313        308.0      249.0
Arkansas ........:   630.0     505.0   1,179      1,203       1,141      1,548.0    1,200.0
California ......:   132.5      96.8   1,612      1,420       1,423        445.0      287.0
Florida .........:   103.0      87.0     769        845         552        165.0      100.0
Georgia .........: 1,270.0   1,100.0   1,002      1,029       1,004      2,650.0    2,300.0
Kansas ..........:   138.0      88.0     577        923         693        166.0      127.0
Louisiana .......:   190.0     115.0     904        960         856        358.0      205.0
Mississippi .....:   525.0     395.0   1,084      1,101       1,082      1,186.0      890.0
Missouri ........:   340.0     330.0   1,240      1,043       1,120        878.0      770.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    48.8      38.1     866        781         907         88.0       72.0
North Carolina ..:   460.0     370.0   1,049      1,025         882      1,005.0      680.0
Oklahoma ........:   230.0     310.0     634        594         403        304.0      260.0
South Carolina ..:   266.0     205.0     911        832         773        505.0      330.0
Tennessee .......:   325.0     260.0   1,053      1,023       1,015        713.0      550.0
Texas ...........: 2,029.0   3,575.0     734        518         570      3,104.0    4,242.0
Virginia ........:    90.0      80.0   1,131      1,000       1,140        212.0      190.0
                 :
United States ...: 7,307.7   8,020.9     950        779         786     14,468.0   13,132.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.
2/ 480-pound net weight bale.
Cottonseed Production - United States: 2022 and Forecasted September 1, 2023
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        Production
      State      :-----------------------------------------------------------
                 :            2022             :           2023 1/
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        1,000 tons
                 :
United States ...:           4,415.0                       4,001.0
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.

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