STAT Communications Ag Market News

Citrus Crops Shrink

WASHINGTON - Nov 9/16 - SNS -- Citrus production will be down this year because oif major declines in orange and grapefruit output, according to the USDA.

The United States all orange forecast for the 2016-2017 season is 5.32 million tons, up 2% from last month but down 10% from the 2015-2016 final utilization.

The United States 2016-2017 grapefruit crop is forecast at 756,000 tons, unchanged from last month but down 6% from last season's final utilization. In Florida, expected production, at 9.60 million boxes, is unchanged from last month but down 11% from last year. California and Texas grapefruit production forecast were carried forward from the previous month.

The United States tangerine and mandarin crop is forecast at 992,000 tons, down 1% from last month but up 6% from last season's final utilization. The Florida forecast is down 6% from last month and down 14% from 2015-2016, if tangelos were included. Beginning in 2016-2017, tangerine and mandarin estimates in Florida include tangelos. The California tangerine and mandarin forecast were carried forward from the previous month.

Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2015-2016 and
Forecasted November 1, 2016
[The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the
following year.]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :     Utilized production boxes 1/      : Utilized production ton equivalent 2/
        Crop and State        :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :     2015-2016     :     2016-2017     :     2015-2016     :     2016-2017
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :      ------- 1,000 boxes -------              ------- 1,000 tons ------
Oranges                       :
California, all 3/ ...........:       54,200              50,500              2,168               2,020
 Early, mid, and Navel 4/ ....:       45,500              42,000              1,820               1,680
 Valencia ....................:        8,700               8,500                348                 340
                              :
Florida, all .................:       81,600              72,000              3,672               3,240
 Early, mid, and Navel 4/ ....:       36,100              36,000              1,625               1,620
 Valencia ....................:       45,500              36,000              2,047               1,620
                              :
Texas, all 3/ ................:        1,691               1,350                 72                  58
 Early, mid, and Navel 4/ ....:        1,351               1,000                 57                  43
 Valencia ....................:          340                 350                 14                  15
                              :
United States, all ...........:      137,491             123,850              5,911               5,318
 Early, mid, and Navel 4/ ....:       82,951              79,000              3,502               3,343
 Valencia ....................:       54,540              44,850              2,409               1,975
                              :
Grapefruit                    :
California 3/ ................:        3,800               4,000                152                 160
Florida, all .................:       10,800               9,600                459                 408
 Red .........................:        8,310               7,500                353                 319
 White .......................:        2,490               2,100                106                  89
Texas 3/ .....................:        4,800               4,700                192                 188
                              :
United States ................:       19,400              18,300                803                 756
                              :
Tangerines and mandarins 5/   :
California 3/ ................:       21,700              23,000                868                 920
Florida 6/ ...................:        1,415               1,550                 67                  72
                              :
United States ................:       23,115              24,550                935                 992
                              :
Lemons 3/                     :
Arizona ......................:        1,750               1,800                 70                  72
California ...................:       20,500              21,000                820                 840
                              :
United States ................:       22,250              22,800                890                 912
                              :
Tangelos 7/                   :
Florida ......................:          390                (NA)                 18                (NA)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.
1/   Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80,
     Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80; tangelos-90.
2/   Totals may not add due to rounding.
3/   Estimates current year carried forward from previous forecast.
4/   Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in
     Florida and Texas. For 2015-2016 included small quantities of Temples in Florida. Beginning in 2016-2017
     Temples in Florida are included in tangerines and mandarins.
5/   Includes tangelos and tangors.
6/   Small quantities of Temples in Florida.
7/   Beginning in 2016-2017, tangelos are included in tangerines and mandarins for Florida.

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