STAT Communications Ag Market News

Cotton Harvest Remains Below 2014

WASHINGTON - Sep 11/15 - SNS -- Production of all classes of cotton in the United States is forecast at 13.4 million 480-pound bales, up 3% from the August forecast but down 18% from 2014, according to the USDA's latest crop production update.

Yield is expected to average 789 pounds per harvested acre, down 6% from last year. Upland cotton production is forecast at 13.0 million 480-pound bales, down 18% from 2014. Pima cotton production, forecast at 451,000 bales, is down 20% from last year.

Acreage updates were made in several States based on administrative data. Area planted to Upland cotton is estimated at 8.40 million acres, down 4% from the previous estimate and down 23% from last year. Upland harvested area is expected to total 8.01 million acres, up 3% from the previous forecast but down 13% from 2014. Pima cotton planted area is estimated at 157,500 acres, up 6% from the previous estimate but down 18% from last year. Expected Pima harvested area, at 154,300 is down 19% from the previous year.

Ginnings totaled 104,500 running bales prior to September 1, compared with 366,500 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year.

Cotton Area Planted by Type - States and United States: 2014 and 2015
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :         Upland          :     American Pima     :         All
      State      :------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :    2014    :  2015 1/   :   2014   :  2015 1/   :   2014   :  2015 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                              1,000 acres
                 :
  Alabama .......:     350.0       315.0        (NA)        (NA)        350.0      315.0
  Arizona .......:     150.0        85.0        15.0        18.0        165.0      103.0
  Arkansas ......:     335.0       210.0        (NA)        (NA)        335.0      210.0
  California ....:      57.0        47.0       155.0       115.0        212.0      162.0
  Florida .......:     107.0        85.0        (NA)        (NA)        107.0       85.0
  Georgia .......:   1,380.0     1,120.0        (NA)        (NA)      1,380.0    1,120.0
  Kansas ........:      31.0        16.0        (NA)        (NA)         31.0       16.0
  Louisiana .....:     170.0       110.0        (NA)        (NA)        170.0      110.0
  Mississippi ...:     425.0       320.0        (NA)        (NA)        425.0      320.0
  Missouri ......:     250.0       185.0        (NA)        (NA)        250.0      185.0
                 :
  New Mexico ....:      43.0        35.0         5.4         7.5         48.4       42.5
  North Carolina :     465.0       385.0        (NA)        (NA)        465.0      385.0
  Oklahoma ......:     240.0       210.0        (NA)        (NA)        240.0      210.0
  South Carolina :     280.0       235.0        (NA)        (NA)        280.0      235.0
  Tennessee .....:     275.0       155.0        (NA)        (NA)        275.0      155.0
  Texas .........:   6,200.0     4,800.0        17.0        17.0      6,217.0    4,817.0
  Virginia ......:      87.0        85.0        (NA)        (NA)         87.0       85.0
                 :
  United States .:  10,845.0     8,398.0       192.4       157.5     11,037.4    8,555.5
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.
1/   Updated from previous estimate.
Cottonseed Production - United States: 2014 and Forecasted September 1, 2015
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        Production
      State      :-----------------------------------------------------------
                 :            2014             :           2015 1/
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        1,000 tons
                 :
United States ...:           5,125.0                       4,305.0
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.
Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2014 and
Forecasted September 1, 2015
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  Area harvested   :         Yield per acre         :    Production 1/
                 :--------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Type and State :         :         :        :         2015          :          :
                 :  2014   :  2015   :  2014  :-----------------------:   2014   :   2015
                 :         :         :        : August 1  :September 1:          :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 : -- 1,000 acres --   ---------- pounds ----------        1,000 bales 2/
                 :
Upland           :
Alabama .........:   348.0     312.0     901        805         862        653.0      560.0
Arizona .........:   149.0      83.0   1,579      1,574       1,590        490.0      275.0
Arkansas ........:   330.0     205.0   1,145      1,226       1,218        787.0      520.0
California ......:    56.0      46.0   1,834      1,728       1,670        214.0      160.0
Florida .........:   105.0      83.0     878        839         752        192.0      130.0
Georgia .........: 1,370.0   1,110.0     900        925         951      2,570.0    2,200.0
Kansas ..........:    29.0      15.0     794        857         864         48.0       27.0
Louisiana .......:   168.0     107.0   1,154      1,013       1,077        404.0      240.0
Mississippi .....:   420.0     315.0   1,232      1,228       1,219      1,078.0      800.0
Missouri ........:   245.0     175.0   1,117        931       1,042        570.0      380.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    33.0      30.0     931      1,173         880         64.0       55.0
North Carolina ..:   460.0     380.0   1,038      1,012         891        995.0      705.0
Oklahoma ........:   210.0     195.0     615        781         702        269.0      285.0
South Carolina ..:   278.0     232.0     912        851         869        528.0      420.0
Tennessee .......:   270.0     140.0     878        991         960        494.0      280.0
Texas ...........: 4,600.0   4,500.0     644        606         613      6,175.0    5,750.0
Virginia ........:    86.0      84.0   1,239      1,200       1,086        222.0      190.0
                 :
United States ...: 9,157.0   8,012.0     826        784         777     15,753.0   12,977.0
                 :
American Pima    :
Arizona .........:    14.5      18.0     993      1,147       1,147         30.0       43.0
California ......:   154.0     114.0   1,558      1,541       1,499        500.0      356.0
New Mexico ......:     5.3       7.3     761      1,078       1,052          8.4       16.0
Texas ...........:    16.0      15.0     840        960       1,152         28.0       36.0
                 :
United States ...:   189.8     154.3   1,432      1,421       1,403        566.4      451.0
                 :
All              :
Alabama .........:   348.0     312.0     901        805         862        653.0      560.0
Arizona .........:   163.5     101.0   1,527      1,494       1,511        520.0      318.0
Arkansas ........:   330.0     205.0   1,145      1,226       1,218        787.0      520.0
California ......:   210.0     160.0   1,632      1,600       1,548        714.0      516.0
Florida .........:   105.0      83.0     878        839         752        192.0      130.0
Georgia .........: 1,370.0   1,110.0     900        925         951      2,570.0    2,200.0
Kansas ..........:    29.0      15.0     794        857         864         48.0       27.0
Louisiana .......:   168.0     107.0   1,154      1,013       1,077        404.0      240.0
Mississippi .....:   420.0     315.0   1,232      1,228       1,219      1,078.0      800.0
Missouri ........:   245.0     175.0   1,117        931       1,042        570.0      380.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    38.3      37.3     907      1,159         914         72.4       71.0
North Carolina ..:   460.0     380.0   1,038      1,012         891        995.0      705.0
Oklahoma ........:   210.0     195.0     615        781         702        269.0      285.0
South Carolina ..:   278.0     232.0     912        851         869        528.0      420.0
Tennessee .......:   270.0     140.0     878        991         960        494.0      280.0
Texas ...........: 4,616.0   4,515.0     645        607         615      6,203.0    5,786.0
Virginia ........:    86.0      84.0   1,239      1,200       1,086        222.0      190.0
                 :
United States ...: 9,346.8   8,166.3     838        795         789     16,319.4   13,428.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.
2/ 480-pound net weight bale.

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