STAT Communications Ag Market News

Canada's October Numbers Subject to Change

VANCOUVER - Oct 4/11 - SNS -- The October crop production estimates from Statistics Canada are never the final word on the size of the crop and the actual seeded area.

The final numbers will be contained in the crop report released in December. Those numbers are subject to revision in future years, but it is unusual to see changes.

There is no consistent variation between the October and final production estimates. While the production estimate for lentils tended to be bigger than thought; the final production for other pulses and specialty crops have tended to be smaller.

However, there are years in which the reverse is true. Lentil crops ended up smaller than thought in 2005 and 2006; while the pea harvests were much bigger than thought in both 2008 and 2009.

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