STAT Communications Ag Market News

Modest Gain in Cotton Harvest

WASHINGTON - Nov 10/15 - SNS -- Production of all classes of cotton in the United States is forecast at 13.3 million 480-pound bales, down less than 1% from last month and down 19% from last year, according to the latest USDA crop production estimates for 2015.

Yield is expected to average 782 pounds per harvested acre, down 56 pounds from last year. Upland cotton production is forecast at 12.8 million 480-pound bales, down 19% from 2014. Pima cotton production, forecast at 451,000 bales, was carried forward from last month.

Upland cotton harvested area is expected to total 8.00 million acres, down less than 1% from last month and down 13% from 2014. Harvested acreage was updated due to extensive flooding in South Carolina during the first part of October. Pima harvested area, at 154,300, was carried forward from last month.

Ginnings totaled 3,686,400 running bales prior to November 1, compared with 4,806,850 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year.

Cottonseed Production - United States: 2014 and Forecasted November 1, 2015
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        Production
      State      :-----------------------------------------------------------
                 :            2014             :           2015 1/
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        1,000 tons
                 :
United States ...:           5,125.0                       4,257.0
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.
Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2014 and
Forecasted November 1, 2015
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  Area harvested   :         Yield per acre         :    Production 1/
                 :--------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Type and State :         :         :        :         2015          :          :
                 :  2014   :  2015   :  2014  :-----------------------:   2014   :   2015
                 :         :         :        : October 1 :November 1 :          :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 : -- 1,000 acres --   ---------- pounds ----------        1,000 bales 2/
                 :
Upland           :
Alabama .........:   348.0     312.0     901        838         908        653.0      590.0
Arizona .........:   149.0      83.0   1,579      1,590       1,590        490.0      275.0
Arkansas ........:   330.0     205.0   1,145      1,218       1,124        787.0      480.0
California ......:    56.0      46.0   1,834      1,670       1,722        214.0      165.0
Florida .........:   105.0      83.0     878        810         781        192.0      135.0
Georgia .........: 1,370.0   1,110.0     900        995         995      2,570.0    2,300.0
Kansas ..........:    29.0      15.0     794        864         864         48.0       27.0
Louisiana .......:   168.0     107.0   1,154      1,032         852        404.0      190.0
Mississippi .....:   420.0     315.0   1,232      1,112       1,067      1,078.0      700.0
Missouri ........:   245.0     175.0   1,117      1,070       1,125        570.0      410.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    33.0      30.0     931      1,040       1,088         64.0       68.0
North Carolina ..:   460.0     380.0   1,038        891         783        995.0      620.0
Oklahoma ........:   210.0     195.0     615        702         812        269.0      330.0
South Carolina ..:   278.0     215.0     912        797         670        528.0      300.0
Tennessee .......:   270.0     140.0     878        994         994        494.0      290.0
Texas ...........: 4,600.0   4,500.0     644        603         619      6,175.0    5,800.0
Virginia ........:    86.0      84.0   1,239      1,086         857        222.0      150.0
                 :
United States ...: 9,157.0   7,995.0     826        772         770     15,753.0   12,830.0
                 :
American Pima 3/ :
Arizona .........:    14.5      18.0     993      1,147       1,147         30.0       43.0
California ......:   154.0     114.0   1,558      1,499       1,499        500.0      356.0
New Mexico ......:     5.3       7.3     761      1,052       1,052          8.4       16.0
Texas ...........:    16.0      15.0     840      1,152       1,152         28.0       36.0
                 :
United States ...:   189.8     154.3   1,432      1,403       1,403        566.4      451.0
                 :
All              :
Alabama .........:   348.0     312.0     901        838         908        653.0      590.0
Arizona .........:   163.5     101.0   1,527      1,511       1,511        520.0      318.0
Arkansas ........:   330.0     205.0   1,145      1,218       1,124        787.0      480.0
California ......:   210.0     160.0   1,632      1,548       1,563        714.0      521.0
Florida .........:   105.0      83.0     878        810         781        192.0      135.0
Georgia .........: 1,370.0   1,110.0     900        995         995      2,570.0    2,300.0
Kansas ..........:    29.0      15.0     794        864         864         48.0       27.0
Louisiana .......:   168.0     107.0   1,154      1,032         852        404.0      190.0
Mississippi .....:   420.0     315.0   1,232      1,112       1,067      1,078.0      700.0
Missouri ........:   245.0     175.0   1,117      1,070       1,125        570.0      410.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    38.3      37.3     907      1,042       1,081         72.4       84.0
North Carolina ..:   460.0     380.0   1,038        891         783        995.0      620.0
Oklahoma ........:   210.0     195.0     615        702         812        269.0      330.0
South Carolina ..:   278.0     215.0     912        797         670        528.0      300.0
Tennessee .......:   270.0     140.0     878        994         994        494.0      290.0
Texas ...........: 4,616.0   4,515.0     645        604         620      6,203.0    5,836.0
Virginia ........:    86.0      84.0   1,239      1,086         857        222.0      150.0
                 :
United States ...: 9,346.8   8,149.3     838        784         782     16,319.4   13,281.0
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1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.
2/ 480-pound net weight bale.
3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.

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