STAT Communications Ag Market News

Cotton Crop Prospects Dim

WASHINGTON - Aug 13/15 - SNS -- All cotton production in the United States is forecast at 13.1 million 480-pound bales, down 20% from last year, according to the latest USDA production forecast for 2015.

Yield is expected to average 795 pounds per harvested acre, down 43 pounds from last year. Upland cotton production is forecast at 12.7 million 480-pound bales, down 20% from 2014. Pima cotton production is forecast at 432,000 bales, down 24% from last year. All cotton planted area for the Nation is estimated at 8.90 million acres, down 1% or 100,000 acres from June.

Area planted to Upland cotton is estimated at 8.75 million acres, down 1% from June and down 19% from 2014. Harvested area is expected to total 7.75 million acres, down 15% from last year. Pima cotton planted area is estimated at 148,000 acres, unchanged from June but down 23% from 2014. Expected harvested area, at 145,900 acres, is down 23% from the previous year.

Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2014
and Forecasted August 1, 2015
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Type and State :    Area harvested     :    Yield per acre     :     Production 1/
                 :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :   2014    :   2015    :   2014    :   2015    :   2014    :   2015
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  --- 1,000 acres ---      ----- pounds ----     -- 1,000 bales 2/ --
                 :
Upland           :
Alabama .........:    348.0       298.0        901         805        653.0       500.0
Arizona .........:    149.0        79.0      1,579       1,574        490.0       259.0
Arkansas ........:    330.0       235.0      1,145       1,226        787.0       600.0
California ......:     56.0        50.0      1,834       1,728        214.0       180.0
Florida .........:    105.0        83.0        878         839        192.0       145.0
Georgia .........:  1,370.0     1,090.0        900         925      2,570.0     2,100.0
Kansas ..........:     29.0        28.0        794         857         48.0        50.0
Louisiana .......:    168.0       128.0      1,154       1,013        404.0       270.0
Mississippi .....:    420.0       305.0      1,232       1,228      1,078.0       780.0
Missouri ........:    245.0       165.0      1,117         931        570.0       320.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:     33.0        27.0        931       1,173         64.0        66.0
North Carolina ..:    460.0       370.0      1,038       1,012        995.0       780.0
Oklahoma ........:    210.0       215.0        615         781        269.0       350.0
South Carolina ..:    278.0       237.0        912         851        528.0       420.0
Tennessee .......:    270.0       155.0        878         991        494.0       320.0
Texas ...........:  4,600.0     4,200.0        644         606      6,175.0     5,300.0
Virginia ........:     86.0        84.0      1,239       1,200        222.0       210.0
                 :
United States ...:  9,157.0     7,749.0        826         784     15,753.0    12,650.0
                 :
American Pima    :
Arizona .........:     14.5        18.0        993       1,147         30.0        43.0
California ......:    154.0       109.0      1,558       1,541        500.0       350.0
New Mexico ......:      5.3         4.9        761       1,078          8.4        11.0
Texas ...........:     16.0        14.0        840         960         28.0        28.0
                 :
United States ...:    189.8       145.9      1,432       1,421        566.4       432.0
                 :
All              :
Alabama .........:    348.0       298.0        901         805        653.0       500.0
Arizona .........:    163.5        97.0      1,527       1,494        520.0       302.0
Arkansas ........:    330.0       235.0      1,145       1,226        787.0       600.0
California ......:    210.0       159.0      1,632       1,600        714.0       530.0
Florida .........:    105.0        83.0        878         839        192.0       145.0
Georgia .........:  1,370.0     1,090.0        900         925      2,570.0     2,100.0
Kansas ..........:     29.0        28.0        794         857         48.0        50.0
Louisiana .......:    168.0       128.0      1,154       1,013        404.0       270.0
Mississippi .....:    420.0       305.0      1,232       1,228      1,078.0       780.0
Missouri ........:    245.0       165.0      1,117         931        570.0       320.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:     38.3        31.9        907       1,159         72.4        77.0
North Carolina ..:    460.0       370.0      1,038       1,012        995.0       780.0
Oklahoma ........:    210.0       215.0        615         781        269.0       350.0
South Carolina ..:    278.0       237.0        912         851        528.0       420.0
Tennessee .......:    270.0       155.0        878         991        494.0       320.0
Texas ...........:  4,616.0     4,214.0        645         607      6,203.0     5,328.0
Virginia ........:     86.0        84.0      1,239       1,200        222.0       210.0
                 :
United States ...:  9,346.8     7,894.9        838         795     16,319.4    13,082.0
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.
2/ 480-pound net weight bales.
Cottonseed Production - United States: 2014 and Forecasted August 1, 2015
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        Production
      State      :-----------------------------------------------------------
                 :            2014             :           2015 1/
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        1,000 tons
                 :
United States ...:           5,314.0                       4,198.0
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.

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