STAT Communications Ag Market News

Cotton Yield Forecast Improves

WASHINGTON - Nov 9/16 - SNS -- Production of all classes of cotton in the United States is forecast at 16.2 million 480-pound bales, up 1% from October and up 25% from last year, according to the USDA.

Yield is expected to average 803 pounds per harvested acre, up 6 pounds from last year. Upland cotton production is forecast at 15.6 million 480-pound bales, up 25% from 2015. Pima cotton production, forecast at 562,000 bales, was carried forward from last month.

Upland cotton harvested area is expected to total 9.46 million acres, unchanged from last month but up 19% from 2015. Pima harvested area, at 191,400 acres, was carried forward from last month.

Ginnings totaled 5,008,800 running bales prior to November 1, compared with 3,703,700 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year.

Cottonseed Production - United States: 2015 and Forecasted November 1, 2016
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        Production
      State      :-----------------------------------------------------------
                 :            2015             :           2016 1/
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        1,000 tons
                 :
United States ...:           4,043.0                       5,160.0
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.
Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2015 and
Forecasted November 1, 2016
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  Area harvested   :         Yield per acre         :    Production 1/
                 :--------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Type and State :         :         :        :         2016          :          :
                 :  2015   :  2016   :  2015  :-----------------------:   2015   :   2016
                 :         :         :        : October 1 :November 1 :          :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 : -- 1,000 acres --   ---------- pounds ----------        1,000 bales 2/
                 :
Upland           :
Alabama .........:   307.0     342.0     866        982         968        554.0      690.0
Arizona .........:    88.0     114.0   1,511      1,516       1,516        277.0      360.0
Arkansas ........:   207.0     375.0   1,092      1,088       1,062        471.0      830.0
California ......:    46.0      65.0   1,722      1,735       1,846        165.0      250.0
Florida .........:    83.0     100.0     885        864         864        153.0      180.0
Georgia .........: 1,120.0   1,180.0     966        976         915      2,255.0    2,250.0
Kansas ..........:    16.0      31.0   1,050        852         929         35.0       60.0
Louisiana .......:   112.0     140.0     810        960         960        189.0      280.0
Mississippi .....:   315.0     435.0   1,024      1,159       1,214        672.0    1,100.0
Missouri ........:   175.0     271.0   1,097      1,116       1,063        400.0      600.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    31.0      40.0     929        984         900         60.0       75.0
North Carolina ..:   355.0     275.0     713        908         751        527.0      430.0
Oklahoma ........:   205.0     285.0     876        960         952        374.0      565.0
South Carolina ..:   136.0     189.0     547        990         863        155.0      340.0
Tennessee .......:   140.0     250.0   1,046      1,018       1,075        305.0      560.0
Texas ...........: 4,500.0   5,300.0     610        589         625      5,720.0    6,900.0
Virginia ........:    84.0      72.0     817        933         867        143.0      130.0
                 :
United States ...: 7,920.0   9,464.0     755        785         791     12,455.0   15,600.0
                 :
American Pima 3/ :
Arizona .........:    17.0      14.7     875        882         882         31.0       27.0
California ......:   116.0     153.0   1,494      1,518       1,518        361.0      484.0
New Mexico ......:     6.9       7.7     904        935         935         13.0       15.0
Texas ...........:    15.0      16.0     896      1,080       1,080         28.0       36.0
                 :
United States ...:   154.9     191.4   1,342      1,409       1,409        433.0      562.0
                 :
All              :
Alabama .........:   307.0     342.0     866        982         968        554.0      690.0
Arizona .........:   105.0     128.7   1,408      1,443       1,443        308.0      387.0
Arkansas ........:   207.0     375.0   1,092      1,088       1,062        471.0      830.0
California ......:   162.0     218.0   1,559      1,583       1,616        526.0      734.0
Florida .........:    83.0     100.0     885        864         864        153.0      180.0
Georgia .........: 1,120.0   1,180.0     966        976         915      2,255.0    2,250.0
Kansas ..........:    16.0      31.0   1,050        852         929         35.0       60.0
Louisiana .......:   112.0     140.0     810        960         960        189.0      280.0
Mississippi .....:   315.0     435.0   1,024      1,159       1,214        672.0    1,100.0
Missouri ........:   175.0     271.0   1,097      1,116       1,063        400.0      600.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    37.9      47.7     925        976         906         73.0       90.0
North Carolina ..:   355.0     275.0     713        908         751        527.0      430.0
Oklahoma ........:   205.0     285.0     876        960         952        374.0      565.0
South Carolina ..:   136.0     189.0     547        990         863        155.0      340.0
Tennessee .......:   140.0     250.0   1,046      1,018       1,075        305.0      560.0
Texas ...........: 4,515.0   5,316.0     611        590         626      5,748.0    6,936.0
Virginia ........:    84.0      72.0     817        933         867        143.0      130.0
                 :
United States ...: 8,074.9   9,655.4     766        797         803     12,888.0   16,162.0
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1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.
2/ 480-pound net weight bale.
3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.

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