STAT Communications Ag Market News

U.S. Expects 28% Smaller Cotton Crop

WASHINGTON - Aug 12/22 - SNS -- All cotton production is forecast at 12.6 million 480-pound bales, down 28% from 2021, according to the latest USDA production estimate.

Based on conditions as of August 1, yields are expected to average 846 pounds per harvested acre, up 27 pounds from 2021. Upland cotton production is forecast at 12.2 million 480-pound bales, down 29% from 2021. Pima cotton production is forecast at 407,000 bales, up 23% from 2021. All cotton area harvested is forecast at 7.13 million acres, down 31% from 2021.

Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2021
and Forecasted August 1, 2022
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Type and State :    Area harvested     :    Yield per acre     :     Production 1/
                 :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :   2021    :   2022    :   2021    :   2022    :   2021    :   2022
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 : ---- 1,000 acres ---      ----- pounds ----     -- 1,000 bales 2/ --
                 :
Upland           :
Alabama .........:    401.0       420.0        826         851        690.0       745.0
Arizona .........:    119.0        81.0      1,275       1,280        316.0       216.0
Arkansas ........:    475.0       490.0      1,248       1,195      1,235.0     1,220.0
California ......:     25.5        29.5      1,920       1,708        102.0       105.0
Florida .........:     90.0        93.0        640         800        120.0       155.0
Georgia .........:  1,160.0     1,190.0        914         928      2,210.0     2,300.0
Kansas ..........:    102.0       120.0        880         680        187.0       170.0
Louisiana .......:    104.0       165.0      1,011         960        219.0       330.0
Mississippi .....:    430.0       485.0        997       1,029        893.0     1,040.0
Missouri ........:    310.0       320.0      1,260         975        814.0       650.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:     26.0        44.0      1,108         709         60.0        65.0
North Carolina ..:    365.0       430.0      1,017         871        773.0       780.0
Oklahoma ........:    440.0       260.0        756         498        693.0       270.0
South Carolina ..:    207.0       255.0        986         894        425.0       475.0
Tennessee .......:    270.0       315.0      1,036         869        583.0       570.0
Texas ...........:  5,550.0     2,200.0        666         633      7,700.0     2,900.0
Virginia ........:     74.0        79.0      1,109       1,045        171.0       172.0
                 :
United States ...: 10,148.5     6,976.5        813         837     17,191.0    12,163.0
                 :
American Pima    :
Arizona .........:      8.8        20.0        982       1,008         18.0        42.0
California ......:     87.0        94.0      1,501       1,506        272.0       295.0
New Mexico ......:     12.0        18.5        640         934         16.0        36.0
Texas ...........:     16.0        20.0        780         816         26.0        34.0
                 :
United States ...:    123.8       152.5      1,287       1,281        332.0       407.0
                 :
All              :
Alabama .........:    401.0       420.0        826         851        690.0       745.0
Arizona .........:    127.8       101.0      1,254       1,226        334.0       258.0
Arkansas ........:    475.0       490.0      1,248       1,195      1,235.0     1,220.0
California ......:    112.5       123.5      1,596       1,555        374.0       400.0
Florida .........:     90.0        93.0        640         800        120.0       155.0
Georgia .........:  1,160.0     1,190.0        914         928      2,210.0     2,300.0
Kansas ..........:    102.0       120.0        880         680        187.0       170.0
Louisiana .......:    104.0       165.0      1,011         960        219.0       330.0
Mississippi .....:    430.0       485.0        997       1,029        893.0     1,040.0
Missouri ........:    310.0       320.0      1,260         975        814.0       650.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:     38.0        62.5        960         776         76.0       101.0
North Carolina ..:    365.0       430.0      1,017         871        773.0       780.0
Oklahoma ........:    440.0       260.0        756         498        693.0       270.0
South Carolina ..:    207.0       255.0        986         894        425.0       475.0
Tennessee .......:    270.0       315.0      1,036         869        583.0       570.0
Texas ...........:  5,566.0     2,220.0        666         634      7,726.0     2,934.0
Virginia ........:     74.0        79.0      1,109       1,045        171.0       172.0
                 :
United States ...: 10,272.3     7,129.0        819         846     17,523.0    12,570.0
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.
2/ 480-pound net weight bales.
Cottonseed Production - United States: 2021 and Forecasted August 1, 2022
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        Production
      State      :-----------------------------------------------------------
                 :            2021             :           2022 1/
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        1,000 tons
                 :
United States ...:           5,323.0                       3,813.0
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.

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