Modest Uptick in Winter Wheat Yields



WASHINGTON - Jun 11/20 - SNS -- Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.27 billion bushels, up 1% from the May 1 forecast but down 3% from 2019, according to the USDA's latest production estimates.

As of June 1, the United States yield is forecast at 52.1 bushels per acre, up 0.4 bushel from last month but down 1.5 bushels from last year's average yield of 53.6 bushels per acre.

Hard Red Winter production, at 743 million bushels, is up 1% from last month. Soft Red Winter, at 297 million bushels, is down slightly from the May forecast. White Winter, at 225 million bushels, is up 1% from last month. Of the White Winter production, 16.6 million bushels are Hard White and 209 million bushels are Soft White.

Winter Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2019 and
Forecasted June 1, 2020
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :  Area harvested   :       Yield per acre       :      Production
                :------------------------------------------------------------------------
      State     :         :         :        :       2020        :           :
                :  2019   :  2020   :  2019  :-------------------:   2019    :   2020
                :         :         :        :  May 1  : June 1  :           :
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :    1,000 acres       ------- bushels -------     --- 1,000 bushels ---
                :
Arkansas .......:     50       100     52.0     56.0      56.0         2,600       5,600
California .....:    100       110     50.0     88.0      54.0         5,000       5,940
Colorado .......:  2,000     1,650     49.0     37.0      38.0        98,000      62,700
Idaho ..........:    680       690     87.0     85.0      87.0        59,160      60,030
Illinois .......:    550       530     67.0     72.0      73.0        36,850      38,690
Indiana ........:    260       270     62.0     74.0      71.0        16,120      19,170
Kansas .........:  6,500     6,500     52.0     47.0      49.0       338,000     318,500
Kentucky .......:    330       390     76.0     76.0      73.0        25,080      28,470
Maryland .......:    165       200     75.0     72.0      70.0        12,375      14,000
Michigan .......:    480       460     71.0     79.0      81.0        34,080      37,260
                :
Mississippi ....:     21        20     47.0     47.0      47.0           987         940
Missouri .......:    390       390     63.0     65.0      65.0        24,570      25,350
Montana ........:  1,900     1,550     50.0     51.0      50.0        95,000      77,500
Nebraska .......:    970       870     57.0     48.0      51.0        55,290      44,370
North Carolina .:    225       400     56.0     58.0      60.0        12,600      24,000
North Dakota ...:     70        50     53.0     35.0      40.0         3,710       2,000
Ohio ...........:    385       460     56.0     74.0      76.0        21,560      34,960
Oklahoma .......:  2,750     2,700     40.0     38.0      38.0       110,000     102,600
Oregon .........:    730       730     68.0     62.0      58.0        49,640      42,340
South Dakota ...:    770       580     52.0     49.0      52.0        40,040      30,160
                :
Tennessee ......:    215       230     67.0     66.0      66.0        14,405      15,180
Texas ..........:  2,050     2,400     34.0     35.0      33.0        69,700      79,200
Virginia .......:    105       180     62.0     65.0      61.0         6,510      10,980
Washington .....:  1,700     1,640     70.0     72.0      74.0       119,000     121,360
Wisconsin ......:    150       130     64.0     70.0      71.0         9,600       9,230
                :
Other States 1/ :    781     1,045     56.5     52.8      52.8        44,126      55,170
                :
United States ..: 24,327    24,275     53.6     51.7      52.1     1,304,003   1,265,700
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1/ Other States include Alabama, Delaware, Georgia, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York,
   Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Utah, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will
   be published in the "Small Grains 2020 Summary."