STAT Communications Ag Market News

Modest Hike in Corn Crop

WASHINGTON - Nov 10/15 - SNS -- Corn production is forecast at 13.7 billion bushels, up less than 1% from the October forecast, but down 4% from last year's record production, according to the latest USDA crop production estimates for 2015.

Based on conditions as of November 1, yields are expected to average 169.3 bushels per acre, up 1.3 bushels from the October forecast but 1.7 bushels below the 2014 average. If realized, this will be the second highest yield and third largest production on record for the United States. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 80.7 million acres, unchanged from the October forecast but down 3% from 2014.

The November 1 corn objective yield data indicate the highest number of ears on record for the combined 10 objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin).

Record yields are forecasted in Georgia, Iowa, Kentucky, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Nebraska, South Dakota, Virginia, and Wisconsin.

Corn for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2014 and
Forecasted November 1, 2015
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  Area harvested   :          Yield per acre          :     Production
                 :----------------------------------------------------------------------------
      State      :         :         :          :         2015          :          :
                 :  2014   :  2015   :   2014   :-----------------------:   2014   :   2015
                 :         :         :          : October 1 :November 1 :          :
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :    1,000 acres       ---------- bushels ----------    --- 1,000 bushels ---
                 :
Alabama .........:    285       240     159.0       139.0       140.0        45,315     33,600
Arkansas ........:    530       435     187.0       184.0       186.0        99,110     80,910
California ......:     95        65     165.0       185.0       190.0        15,675     12,350
Colorado ........:  1,010       960     146.0       158.0       158.0       147,460    151,680
Delaware ........:    168       166     200.0       182.0       192.0        33,600     31,872
Georgia .........:    310       280     170.0       184.0       181.0        52,700     50,680
Illinois ........: 11,750    11,500     200.0       170.0       168.0     2,350,000  1,932,000
Indiana .........:  5,770     5,440     188.0       156.0       156.0     1,084,760    848,640
Iowa ............: 13,300    13,200     178.0       183.0       189.0     2,367,400  2,494,800
Kansas ..........:  3,800     3,850     149.0       147.0       148.0       566,200    569,800
                 :
Kentucky ........:  1,430     1,300     158.0       175.0       175.0       225,940    227,500
Louisiana .......:    390       390     183.0       170.0       170.0        71,370     66,300
Maryland ........:    430       355     175.0       181.0       178.0        75,250     63,190
Michigan ........:  2,210     2,045     161.0       167.0       167.0       355,810    341,515
Minnesota .......:  7,550     7,750     156.0       184.0       187.0     1,177,800  1,449,250
Mississippi .....:    485       485     185.0       185.0       185.0        89,725     89,725
Missouri ........:  3,380     3,150     186.0       149.0       145.0       628,680    456,750
Nebraska ........:  8,950     9,000     179.0       184.0       187.0     1,602,050  1,683,000
New Jersey ......:     79        63     157.0       152.0       145.0        12,403      9,135
New York ........:    680       650     148.0       148.0       146.0       100,640     94,900
                 :
North Carolina ..:    780       730     132.0       120.0       118.0       102,960     86,140
North Dakota ....:  2,530     2,500     124.0       126.0       129.0       313,720    322,500
Ohio ............:  3,470     3,260     176.0       165.0       163.0       610,720    531,380
Oklahoma ........:    290       270     147.0       137.0       137.0        42,630     36,990
Pennsylvania ....:  1,030       940     154.0       153.0       153.0       158,620    143,820
South Carolina ..:    280       275     117.0       110.0       103.0        32,760     28,325
South Dakota ....:  5,320     4,950     148.0       161.0       162.0       787,360    801,900
Tennessee .......:    840       710     168.0       165.0       160.0       141,120    113,600
Texas ...........:  1,990     1,870     148.0       143.0       143.0       294,520    267,410
Virginia ........:    350       310     145.0       162.0       160.0        50,750     49,600
Washington ......:    110        75     215.0       220.0       220.0        23,650     16,500
Wisconsin .......:  3,110     3,060     156.0       164.0       165.0       485,160    504,900
                 :
Other States 1/ .:    434       390     160.5       161.1       161.1        69,674     62,845
                 :
United States ...: 83,136    80,664     171.0       168.0       169.3    14,215,532 13,653,507
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Other States include Arizona, Florida, Idaho, Montana, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, West
   Virginia, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop
   Production 2015 Summary."

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