STAT Communications Ag Market News

Corn Estimate Trimmed

WASHINGTON - Oct 9/15 - SNS -- Corn production in the United States is forecast at 13.6 billion bushels, down 5% from last year's record production and down less than 1% from the September forecast, according to the USDA.

Based on conditions as of October 1, yields are expected to average 168.0 bushels per acre, up 0.5 bushel from the September forecast but down 3.0 bushels from 2014. If realized, this will be the second highest yield and third largest production on record for the United States. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 80.7 million acres, down less than 1% from the September forecast and down 3% from 2014. Acreage updates were made in several States following a thorough review of all available data.

The October 1 corn objective yield data indicate the highest number of ears on record for the combined 10 objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin).

Corn for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2014 and
Forecasted October 1, 2015
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  Area harvested   :          Yield per acre          :     Production
                 :----------------------------------------------------------------------------
      State      :         :         :          :         2015          :          :
                 :  2014   :  2015   :   2014   :-----------------------:   2014   :   2015
                 :         :         :          :September 1: October 1 :          :
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :    1,000 acres       ---------- bushels ----------    --- 1,000 bushels ---
                 :
Alabama .........:    285       240     159.0       133.0       139.0        45,315     33,360
Arkansas ........:    530       435     187.0       188.0       184.0        99,110     80,040
California ......:     95        65     165.0       185.0       185.0        15,675     12,025
Colorado ........:  1,010       960     146.0       152.0       158.0       147,460    151,680
Delaware ........:    168       166     200.0       180.0       182.0        33,600     30,212
Georgia .........:    310       280     170.0       184.0       184.0        52,700     51,520
Illinois ........: 11,750    11,500     200.0       173.0       170.0     2,350,000  1,955,000
Indiana .........:  5,770     5,440     188.0       156.0       156.0     1,084,760    848,640
Iowa ............: 13,300    13,200     178.0       181.0       183.0     2,367,400  2,415,600
Kansas ..........:  3,800     3,850     149.0       148.0       147.0       566,200    565,950
                 :
Kentucky ........:  1,430     1,300     158.0       172.0       175.0       225,940    227,500
Louisiana .......:    390       390     183.0       170.0       170.0        71,370     66,300
Maryland ........:    430       355     175.0       172.0       181.0        75,250     64,255
Michigan ........:  2,210     2,045     161.0       164.0       167.0       355,810    341,515
Minnesota .......:  7,550     7,750     156.0       183.0       184.0     1,177,800  1,426,000
Mississippi .....:    485       485     185.0       184.0       185.0        89,725     89,725
Missouri ........:  3,380     3,150     186.0       150.0       149.0       628,680    469,350
Nebraska ........:  8,950     9,000     179.0       184.0       184.0     1,602,050  1,656,000
New Jersey ......:     79        63     157.0       145.0       152.0        12,403      9,576
New York ........:    680       650     148.0       148.0       148.0       100,640     96,200
                 :
North Carolina ..:    780       730     132.0       110.0       120.0       102,960     87,600
North Dakota ....:  2,530     2,500     124.0       128.0       126.0       313,720    315,000
Ohio ............:  3,470     3,260     176.0       163.0       165.0       610,720    537,900
Oklahoma ........:    290       270     147.0       140.0       137.0        42,630     36,990
Pennsylvania ....:  1,030       940     154.0       150.0       153.0       158,620    143,820
South Carolina ..:    280       275     117.0       107.0       110.0        32,760     30,250
South Dakota ....:  5,320     4,950     148.0       159.0       161.0       787,360    796,950
Tennessee .......:    840       710     168.0       165.0       165.0       141,120    117,150
Texas ...........:  1,990     1,870     148.0       143.0       143.0       294,520    267,410
Virginia ........:    350       310     145.0       157.0       162.0        50,750     50,220
Washington ......:    110        75     215.0       220.0       220.0        23,650     16,500
Wisconsin .......:  3,110     3,060     156.0       162.0       164.0       485,160    501,840
                 :
Other States 1/ .:    434       390     160.5       161.4       161.1        69,674     62,845
                 :
United States ...: 83,136    80,664     171.0       167.5       168.0    14,215,532 13,554,923
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Other States include Arizona, Florida, Idaho, Montana, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, West
   Virginia, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop
   Production 2015 Summary."

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