WASHINGTON - Nov 10/15 - SNS -- U.S. rice production is forecast at 191 million cwt (100 pound units), up 2% from October but down 14% from last year, according to the latest USDA crop production estimates for 2015.
Area for harvest is expected to total 2.57 million acres, unchanged from October but down 12% from last year. Based on conditions as of November 1, the average United States yield is forecast at 7,423 pounds per acre, up 116 pounds from the October forecast but 149 pounds below the 2014 average yield of 7,572 pounds per acre. Expected yields are down from last year in all States except California. If realized, a record high yield is expected in California.
By October 18, 95% of the United States acreage was harvested, 5 percentage points ahead of the same time last year and 8 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average.
Rice Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2014 and Forecasted November 1, 2015 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production 1/ :---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2015 : : : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 :-------------------------: 2014 : 2015 : : : : October 1 : November 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres ------------ pounds ----------- ---- 1,000 cwt --- : Arkansas .....: 1,480 1,296 7,560 7,400 7,400 111,957 95,904 California ...: 431 411 8,580 8,000 8,600 36,993 35,346 Louisiana ....: 458 414 7,130 6,600 6,700 32,658 27,738 Mississippi ..: 190 150 7,420 7,100 7,200 14,096 10,800 Missouri .....: 213 169 6,830 6,600 6,800 14,540 11,492 Texas ........: 147 130 7,340 7,600 7,300 10,791 9,490 : United States : 2,919 2,570 7,572 7,307 7,423 221,035 190,770 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes sweet rice production. Rice Production by Class - United States: 2014 and Forecasted November 1, 2015 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Year : Long grain : Medium grain : Short grain 1/ : All : : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : 2014 .......: 162,379 56,391 2,265 221,035 2015 2/ ....: 132,364 56,011 2,395 190,770 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Sweet rice production included with short grain. 2/ The 2015 rice production by class forecasts are based on class harvested acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield compared to the all rice yield.
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