WASHINGTON - Jun 12/24 - SNS -- Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.29 billion bushels, up 1% from the May 1 forecast and up 4% from 2023, according to the latest USDA Production estimates.
As of June 1, the United States yield is forecast at 51.4 bushels per acre, up 0.7 bushel from last month and up 0.8 bushel from last year's average yield of 50.6 bushels per acre.
Hard Red Winter production, at 726 million bushels, is up 3% from last month. Soft Red Winter, at 342 million bushels, is down less than 1% from the May forecast. White Winter, at 226 million bushels, is down 1% from last month. Of the White Winter production, 17.8 million bushels are Hard White and 209 million bushels are Soft White.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in the six Hard Red Winter States (Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas) are below last year's final head count in Colorado, Oklahoma, and Texas, but are above last year's in Kansas, Montana, and Nebraska. As of June 2, the winter wheat crop in Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas was rated in good to excellent condition at 34%, 56%, and 36%, respectively. In Texas, winter wheat harvest was 33% complete, 6 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average pace.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in the three Soft Red Winter States (Illinois, Missouri, and Ohio) are all above last year's final head count. As of June 2, the winter wheat crop in Illinois, Missouri, and Ohio was rated in good to excellent condition at 73%, 68%, and 71%, respectively.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in Washington are above last year's final head count. As of June 2, the winter wheat crop in Idaho, Oregon, and Washington was rated in good to excellent condition at 68%, 54%, and 48%, respectively.
Winter Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2023 and Forecasted June 1, 2024 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2024 : : : 2023 : 2024 : 2023 :-------------------: 2023 : 2024 : : : : May 1 : June 1 : : ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres ------- bushels ------- --- 1,000 bushels --- : Arkansas .......: 165 75 57.0 50.0 50.0 9,405 3,750 California .....: 80 80 80.0 80.0 82.0 6,400 6,560 Colorado .......: 1,820 1,850 41.0 44.0 41.0 74,620 75,850 Idaho ..........: 630 690 89.0 90.0 85.0 56,070 58,650 Illinois .......: 780 680 87.0 83.0 82.0 67,860 55,760 Indiana ........: 335 240 92.0 84.0 86.0 30,820 20,640 Kansas .........: 5,750 7,050 35.0 38.0 40.0 201,250 282,000 Kentucky .......: 460 370 88.0 83.0 83.0 40,480 30,710 Maryland .......: 195 175 85.0 82.0 82.0 16,575 14,350 Michigan .......: 560 380 83.0 85.0 87.0 46,480 33,060 : Missouri .......: 600 500 70.0 67.0 68.0 42,000 34,000 Montana ........: 1,680 1,850 51.0 47.0 51.0 85,680 94,350 Nebraska .......: 880 850 42.0 47.0 50.0 36,960 42,500 North Carolina .: 400 320 70.0 64.0 60.0 28,000 19,200 Ohio ...........: 590 450 90.0 84.0 83.0 53,100 37,350 Oklahoma .......: 2,450 2,600 28.0 37.0 38.0 68,600 98,800 Oregon .........: 725 715 56.0 68.0 70.0 40,600 50,050 Pennsylvania ...: 230 200 76.0 77.0 77.0 17,480 15,400 South Dakota ...: 700 780 47.0 52.0 54.0 32,900 42,120 Tennessee ......: 390 310 80.0 80.0 76.0 31,200 23,560 : Texas ..........: 2,100 2,100 37.0 34.0 34.0 77,700 71,400 Virginia .......: 135 100 78.0 71.0 70.0 10,530 7,000 Washington .....: 1,750 1,800 54.0 65.0 64.0 94,500 115,200 Wisconsin ......: 230 200 76.0 78.0 79.0 17,480 15,800 : Other States 1/ : 1,048 833 58.3 56.2 56.2 61,058 46,825 : United States ..: 24,683 25,198 50.6 50.7 51.4 1,247,748 1,294,885 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ For 2023, other States include Alabama, Delaware, Georgia, Mississippi, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Dakota, South Carolina, Utah, and Wyoming. For 2024, other States include Alabama, Delaware, Georgia, Mississippi, New Mexico, New York, North Dakota, South Carolina, Utah, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2024 Summary."
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