STAT Communications Ag Market News

Modest Improvement In Corn Forecast

WASHINGTON - Sep 12/23 - SNS -- Corn production for grain is forecast at 15.1 billion bushels, up less than 1% from the previous forecast and up 10% from 2022, according to the latest USDA production estimates for 2023.

Based on conditions as of September 1, yields are expected to average 173.8 bushels per harvested acre, down 1.3 bushels from the previous forecast but up 0.5 bushel from last year.

Acreage updates were made in several States based on a thorough review of all available data. Total planted area, at 94.9 million acres, is up 1% from the previous estimate and up 7% from the previous year. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 87.1 million acres, up 1% from the previous forecast and up 10% from the previous year.

Corn Area Planted for All Purposes and Harvested for Grain - States and
United States: 2022 and 2023
[Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously published]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    : Area planted for all purposes :   Area harvested for grain
        State       :---------------------------------------------------------------
                    :     2022      :     2023      :     2022      :    2023 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    :                          1,000 acres
                    :
Alabama ............:       300             345             290             335
Arizona ............:        80             105              40              45
Arkansas ...........:       710             850             695             830
California .........:       370             395              20              40
Colorado ...........:     1,350           1,340             980           1,070
Connecticut 2/ .....:        25              24            (NA)            (NA)
Delaware ...........:       170             175             167             172
Florida ............:        85             100              56              60
Georgia ............:       425             500             385             450
Idaho ..............:       320             355             110             120
                    :
Illinois ...........:    10,800          11,200          10,600          11,000
Indiana ............:     5,250           5,500           5,130           5,380
Iowa ...............:    12,900          13,100          12,400          12,600
Kansas .............:     5,500           5,750           4,440           5,330
Kentucky ...........:     1,440           1,600           1,350           1,500
Louisiana ..........:       450             700             435             680
Maine 2/ ...........:        29              28            (NA)            (NA)
Maryland ...........:       440             480             380             420
Massachusetts 2/ ...:        14              14            (NA)            (NA)
Michigan ...........:     2,350           2,400           2,000           2,050
                    :
Minnesota ..........:     8,000           8,600           7,490           8,200
Mississippi ........:       580             790             565             770
Missouri ...........:     3,350           3,850           3,120           3,670
Montana ............:       130             135              69              69
Nebraska ...........:     9,600           9,950           8,820           9,590
Nevada 2/ ..........:        14              13            (NA)            (NA)
New Hampshire 2/ ...:        13              13            (NA)            (NA)
New Jersey .........:        76              72              67              65
New Mexico .........:       100             125              36              60
New York ...........:     1,030           1,050             575             605
                    :
North Carolina .....:       830             950             785             900
North Dakota .......:     2,950           4,050           2,670           3,740
Ohio ...............:     3,400           3,600           3,180           3,370
Oklahoma ...........:       350             390             200             350
Oregon .............:        75              95              45              60
Pennsylvania .......:     1,180           1,150             840             840
Rhode Island 2/ ....:         2               2            (NA)            (NA)
South Carolina .....:       320             375             300             355
South Dakota .......:     5,750           6,300           5,010           5,590
Tennessee ..........:       840             950             795             895
                    :
Texas ..............:     2,150           2,500           1,610           2,200
Utah ...............:        70              75              16              23
Vermont 2/ .........:        90              89            (NA)            (NA)
Virginia ...........:       450             495             340             375
Washington .........:       130             155              75              90
West Virginia ......:        46              48              35              36
Wisconsin ..........:     3,950           4,000           3,030           3,100
Wyoming ............:        95              85              56              61
                    :
United States ......:    88,579          94,868          79,207          87,096
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.
1/   Forecasted.
2/   Area harvested for grain not estimated.
Corn for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2022 and
Forecasted September 1, 2023
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  Area harvested   :          Yield per acre          :     Production
                 :----------------------------------------------------------------------------
      State      :         :         :          :         2023          :          :
                 :  2022   :  2023   :   2022   :-----------------------:   2022   :   2023
                 :         :         :          : August 1  :September 1:          :
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :    1,000 acres       ---------- bushels ----------    --- 1,000 bushels ---
                 :
Alabama .........:    290       335     118.0       159.0       166.0        34,220     55,610
Arkansas ........:    695       830     173.0       180.0       180.0       120,235    149,400
California ......:     20        40     177.0       172.0       178.0         3,540      7,120
Colorado ........:    980     1,070     121.0       130.0       130.0       118,580    139,100
Delaware ........:    167       172     170.0       193.0       184.0        28,390     31,648
Georgia .........:    385       450     175.0       174.0       177.0        67,375     79,650
Idaho ...........:    110       120     216.0       204.0       208.0        23,760     24,960
Illinois ........: 10,600    11,000     214.0       201.0       198.0     2,268,400  2,178,000
Indiana .........:  5,130     5,380     190.0       195.0       194.0       974,700  1,043,720
Iowa ............: 12,400    12,600     200.0       203.0       200.0     2,480,000  2,520,000
                 :
Kansas ..........:  4,440     5,330     115.0       124.0       127.0       510,600    676,910
Kentucky ........:  1,350     1,500     156.0       186.0       186.0       210,600    279,000
Louisiana .......:    435       680     170.0       169.0       175.0        73,950    119,000
Maryland ........:    380       420     165.0       158.0       160.0        62,700     67,200
Michigan ........:  2,000     2,050     168.0       170.0       173.0       336,000    354,650
Minnesota .......:  7,490     8,200     195.0       183.0       180.0     1,460,550  1,476,000
Mississippi .....:    565       770     165.0       179.0       182.0        93,225    140,140
Missouri ........:  3,120     3,670     161.0       143.0       145.0       502,320    532,150
Nebraska ........:  8,820     9,590     165.0       184.0       177.0     1,455,300  1,697,430
New York ........:    575       605     140.0       160.0       164.0        80,500     99,220
                 :
North Carolina ..:    785       900     126.0       147.0       147.0        98,910    132,300
North Dakota ....:  2,670     3,740     131.0       130.0       138.0       349,770    516,120
Ohio ............:  3,180     3,370     187.0       191.0       195.0       594,660    657,150
Oklahoma ........:    200       350     122.0       135.0       141.0        24,400     49,350
Pennsylvania ....:    840       840     140.0       153.0       156.0       117,600    131,040
South Carolina ..:    300       355     122.0       138.0       142.0        36,600     50,410
South Dakota ....:  5,010     5,590     132.0       145.0       146.0       661,320    816,140
Tennessee .......:    795       895     130.0       172.0       173.0       103,350    154,835
Texas ...........:  1,610     2,200      95.0       133.0       132.0       152,950    290,400
Virginia ........:    340       375     167.0       156.0       150.0        56,780     56,250
Washington ......:     75        90     220.0       210.0       220.0        16,500     19,800
Wisconsin .......:  3,030     3,100     180.0       166.0       165.0       545,400    511,500
                 :
Other States 1/ .:    420       479     158.4       162.4       162.2        66,534     77,708
                 :
United States ...: 79,207    87,096     173.3       175.1       173.8    13,729,719 15,133,911
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Other States include Arizona, Florida, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, West
   Virginia, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop
   Production 2023 Summary."

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