STAT Communications Ag Market News

Lower Area Offset Record Cotton Yields

WASHINGTON - JAN 13/23 - SNS -- All cotton production is estimated at 14.7 million 480-pound bales, down 16% from 2021, according to the USDA's final crop report for 2022.

The United States yield is estimated at a record 947 pounds per acre, up 128 pounds from last year. Harvested area, at 7.44 million acres, is down 28% from last year.

Upland cotton production was estimated at 14.2 million 480-pound bales, down 17% from the previous year. The United States yield for Upland cotton is estimated at 939 pounds per acre, up 126 pounds from 2021. Upland planted area, estimated at 13.6 million acres, was up 22% from the previous year. Harvested area, at 7.26 million acres, was down 28% from the previous year. In California, Upland planted and harvested area were at record lows. In Texas, record low Upland harvested acres were also reported. If realized, the forecasted yield for upland and all cotton in New Mexico, North Carolina and the United States will be a record high. The forecasted Pima yield for New Mexico is also a record high

American Pima producers planted 183,000 acres in 2022, up 45% from 2021. Harvested area, at 178,200 acres, was up 44% from the previous year. Production was estimated at 474 thousand 480-pound bales, up 43% from 2021. The United States yield was estimated at 1,277 pounds per acre, down 10 pounds from the previous year.

Ginnings totaled 12,981,400 running bales prior to January 1.

Cottonseed production for 2022, based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio, is expected to total 4.46 million tons, down 16% from 2021.

Cotton Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and
United States: 2020-2022
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :          Area planted          :          Area harvested
  Type and State :--------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :   2020   :   2021   :   2022   :   2020    :   2021    :   2022
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                            1,000 acres
                 :
Upland           :
Alabama .........:    450.0      405.0      435.0      446.0       401.0       430.0
Arizona .........:    125.0      120.0       88.0      123.0       119.0        87.0
Arkansas ........:    525.0      480.0      640.0      520.0       475.0       630.0
California ......:     34.0       26.0       20.0       33.5        25.5        19.5
Florida .........:     98.0       92.0      106.0       93.0        90.0       104.0
Georgia .........:  1,190.0    1,170.0    1,290.0    1,180.0     1,160.0     1,280.0
Kansas ..........:    195.0      110.0      165.0      181.0       102.0       147.0
Louisiana .......:    170.0      110.0      195.0      165.0       104.0       190.0
Mississippi .....:    530.0      445.0      530.0      525.0       430.0       525.0
Missouri ........:    295.0      315.0      360.0      287.0       310.0       340.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:     43.0       36.0       65.0       26.0        26.0        30.0
North Carolina ..:    360.0      375.0      470.0      330.0       365.0       460.0
Oklahoma ........:    525.0      495.0      670.0      430.0       440.0       290.0
South Carolina ..:    190.0      210.0      270.0      179.0       207.0       265.0
Tennessee .......:    280.0      275.0      335.0      275.0       270.0       325.0
Texas ...........:  6,800.0    6,350.0    7,850.0    3,150.0     5,550.0     2,050.0
Virginia ........:     80.0       75.0       91.0       79.0        74.0        90.0
                 :
United States ...: 11,890.0   11,089.0   13,580.0    8,022.5    10,148.5     7,262.5
                 :
American Pima    :
Arizona .........:      6.5        9.0       15.0        6.5         8.8        14.4
California ......:    147.0       88.0      116.0      146.0        87.0       115.0
New Mexico ......:     10.5       12.5       19.0       10.5        12.0        18.8
Texas ...........:     38.0       17.0       33.0       31.0        16.0        30.0
                 :
United States ...:    202.0      126.5      183.0      194.0       123.8       178.2
                 :
All              :
Alabama .........:    450.0      405.0      435.0      446.0       401.0       430.0
Arizona .........:    131.5      129.0      103.0      129.5       127.8       101.4
Arkansas ........:    525.0      480.0      640.0      520.0       475.0       630.0
California ......:    181.0      114.0      136.0      179.5       112.5       134.5
Florida .........:     98.0       92.0      106.0       93.0        90.0       104.0
Georgia .........:  1,190.0    1,170.0    1,290.0    1,180.0     1,160.0     1,280.0
Kansas ..........:    195.0      110.0      165.0      181.0       102.0       147.0
Louisiana .......:    170.0      110.0      195.0      165.0       104.0       190.0
Mississippi .....:    530.0      445.0      530.0      525.0       430.0       525.0
Missouri ........:    295.0      315.0      360.0      287.0       310.0       340.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:     53.5       48.5       84.0       36.5        38.0        48.8
North Carolina ..:    360.0      375.0      470.0      330.0       365.0       460.0
Oklahoma ........:    525.0      495.0      670.0      430.0       440.0       290.0
South Carolina ..:    190.0      210.0      270.0      179.0       207.0       265.0
Tennessee .......:    280.0      275.0      335.0      275.0       270.0       325.0
Texas ...........:  6,838.0    6,367.0    7,883.0    3,181.0     5,566.0     2,080.0
Virginia ........:     80.0       75.0       91.0       79.0        74.0        90.0
                 :
United States ...: 12,092.0   11,215.5   13,763.0    8,216.5    10,272.3     7,440.7
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
See footnote(s) at end of table.                                           --continued
Cotton Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and
United States: 2020-2022 (continued)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :       Yield per acre        :            Production 1/
  Type and State :--------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  2020   :  2021   :  2022   :    2020    :    2021    :    2022
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  --------- pounds --------     --------- 1,000 bales 2/ ---------
                 :
Upland           :
Alabama .........:    790       826       938        734.0        690.0        840.0
Arizona .........:  1,179     1,275     1,407        302.0        316.0        255.0
Arkansas ........:  1,179     1,248     1,196      1,277.0      1,235.0      1,570.0
California ......:  2,006     1,920     1,871        140.0        102.0         76.0
Florida .........:    532       640       785        103.0        120.0        170.0
Georgia .........:    887       914       975      2,180.0      2,210.0      2,600.0
Kansas ..........:    796       880       588        300.0        187.0        180.0
Louisiana .......:    986     1,011       909        339.0        219.0        360.0
Mississippi .....:  1,079       997     1,079      1,180.0        893.0      1,180.0
Missouri ........:  1,144     1,260     1,172        684.0        814.0        830.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:  1,052     1,108     1,280         57.0         60.0         80.0
North Carolina ..:    759     1,017     1,043        522.0        773.0      1,000.0
Oklahoma ........:    710       756       348        636.0        693.0        210.0
South Carolina ..:    802       986       960        299.0        425.0        530.0
Tennessee .......:  1,066     1,036     1,049        611.0        583.0        710.0
Texas ...........:    696       666       796      4,570.0      7,700.0      3,400.0
Virginia ........:    772     1,109     1,147        127.0        171.0        215.0
                 :
United States ...:    841       813       939     14,061.0     17,191.0     14,206.0
                 :
American Pima    :
Arizona .........:  1,034       982       833         14.0         18.0         25.0
California ......:  1,562     1,501     1,494        475.0        272.0        358.0
New Mexico ......:    663       640     1,098         14.5         16.0         43.0
Texas ...........:    666       780       768         43.0         26.0         48.0
                 :
United States ...:  1,352     1,287     1,277        546.5        332.0        474.0
                 :
All              :
Alabama .........:    790       826       938        734.0        690.0        840.0
Arizona .........:  1,171     1,254     1,325        316.0        334.0        280.0
Arkansas ........:  1,179     1,248     1,196      1,277.0      1,235.0      1,570.0
California ......:  1,645     1,596     1,549        615.0        374.0        434.0
Florida .........:    532       640       785        103.0        120.0        170.0
Georgia .........:    887       914       975      2,180.0      2,210.0      2,600.0
Kansas ..........:    796       880       588        300.0        187.0        180.0
Louisiana .......:    986     1,011       909        339.0        219.0        360.0
Mississippi .....:  1,079       997     1,079      1,180.0        893.0      1,180.0
Missouri ........:  1,144     1,260     1,172        684.0        814.0        830.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    940       960     1,210         71.5         76.0        123.0
North Carolina ..:    759     1,017     1,043        522.0        773.0      1,000.0
Oklahoma ........:    710       756       348        636.0        693.0        210.0
South Carolina ..:    802       986       960        299.0        425.0        530.0
Tennessee .......:  1,066     1,036     1,049        611.0        583.0        710.0
Texas ...........:    696       666       796      4,613.0      7,726.0      3,448.0
Virginia ........:    772     1,109     1,147        127.0        171.0        215.0
                 :
United States ...:    853       819       947     14,607.5     17,523.0     14,680.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.
2/ 480-pound net weight bale.
Cottonseed Production - States and United States: 2020-2022
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
               :                             Production
     State     :--------------------------------------------------------------------
               :         2020         :         2021         :       2022 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
               :                             1,000 tons
               :
Alabama .......:         205.0                  200.0                  240.0
Arizona .......:         107.0                  113.0                   96.0
Arkansas ......:         402.0                  390.0                  495.0
California ....:         214.0                  128.0                  151.0
Florida .......:          28.0                   34.0                   48.0
Georgia .......:         613.0                  612.0                  731.0
Kansas ........:          99.0                   57.0                   57.0
Louisiana .....:         109.0                   68.0                  116.0
Mississippi ...:         373.0                  276.0                  368.0
Missouri ......:         210.0                  245.0                  271.0
               :
New Mexico ....:          22.0                   24.0                   39.0
North Carolina :         146.0                  218.0                  293.0
Oklahoma ......:         189.0                  205.0                   62.0
South Carolina :          84.0                  119.0                  151.0
Tennessee .....:         186.0                  183.0                  214.0
Texas .........:       1,448.0                2,403.0                1,064.0
Virginia ......:          33.0                   48.0                   59.0
               :
United States .:       4,468.0                5,323.0                4,455.0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Estimates based on 3-year average lint-seed ratio.

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