STAT Communications Ag Market News

Reduced Orange Crop Expected

WASHINGTON - Oct 12/22 - SNS -- The United States all orange forecast for the 2022-2023 season is 3.19 million tons, down 8% from the 2021- 2022 final utilization, according to the latest USDA estimates.

The Florida all orange forecast, at 28.0 million boxes (1.26 million tons), is down 32% from last season's final utilization. In Florida, early, midseason, and Navel varieties are forecast at 11.0 million boxes (495,000 tons), down 40% from last season's final utilization. The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 17.0 million boxes (765,000 tons), is down 25% from last season's final utilization.

The California all orange forecast is 47.1 million boxes (1.88 million tons), up 17% from the last season's final utilization. The California Navel orange forecast is 38.0 million boxes (1.52 million tons), up 19% from the last season's final utilization. The California Valencia orange forecast is 9.10 million boxes (364,000 tons), up 6% from last season's final utilization.

The Texas all orange forecast, at 1.15 million boxes (49,000 tons), is up significantly from last season's final utilization.


Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2021-2022 and
Forecasted October 1, 2022
[The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of
harvest the following year]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            :   Utilized production boxes 1/    :Utilized production ton equivalent
       Crop and State       :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                            :    2021-2022    :    2022-2023    :    2021-2022    :    2022-2023
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            :     ------ 1,000 boxes -----             ------ 1,000 tons -----
Oranges                     :
California, all ............:     40,400            47,100             1,616             1,884
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:     31,800            38,000             1,272             1,520
 Valencia ..................:      8,600             9,100               344               364
                            :
Florida, all ...............:     41,050            28,000             1,847             1,260
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:     18,250            11,000               821               495
 Valencia ..................:     22,800            17,000             1,026               765
                            :
Texas, all .................:        200             1,150                 8                49
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:        170               900                 7                38
 Valencia ..................:         30               250                 1                11
                            :
United States, all .........:     81,650            76,250             3,471             3,193
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:     50,220            49,900             2,100             2,053
 Valencia ..................:     31,430            26,350             1,371             1,140
                            :
Grapefruit                  :
California .................:      4,100             4,100               164               164
Florida, all ...............:      3,330             2,000               142                85
Texas ......................:      1,700             2,000                68                80
                            :
United States ..............:      9,130             8,100               374               329
                            :
Tangerines and mandarins 3/ :
California .................:     17,400            20,000               696               800
Florida ....................:        750               700                36                33
                            :
United States ..............:     18,150            20,700               732               833
                            :
Lemons                      :
Arizona ....................:        950             1,150                38                46
California .................:     24,900            23,000               996               920
                            :
United States ..............:     25,850            24,150             1,034               966
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80,
   Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80.
2/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties
   in Florida and Texas.
3/ Includes tangelos and tangors.

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