STAT Communications Ag Market News

U.S. Rice Crop Under Pressure

WASHINGTON - Sep 11/15 - SNS -- Rice production in the United States is forecast at 190 million cwt, down 8% from August and down 14% from last year, accordoing to the USDA's latest crop production update.

Based on administrative data, planted area is now estimated at 2.61 million acres, down 6% from the June estimate and down 11% from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total 2.57 million acres, down 6% from August and down 12% from last year.

Based on conditions as of September 1, the average United States yield is forecast at 7,374 pounds per acre, down 98 pounds from the August forecast and 198 pounds below the 2014 average yield of 7,572 pounds per acre. Expected yields are down from last year in all States except Texas.

Rice Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class - States and
United States: 2014 and Forecasted September 1, 2015
[Sweet rice acreage included with short grain. Blank data cells indicate
estimation period has not yet begun]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :          Area planted           :         Area harvested
     State    :-------------------------------------------------------------------
              :      2014      :    2015 1/     :      2014      :      2015
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :                            1,000 acres
Long grain    :
Arkansas .....:     1,270            1,070            1,265            1,055
California ...:         4                6                4                6
Louisiana ....:       392              355              389              350
Mississippi ..:       190              150              189              149
Missouri .....:       210              170              207              162
Texas ........:       141              125              138              124
              :
United States :     2,207            1,876            2,192            1,846
              :
Medium grain  :
Arkansas .....:       215              245              214              240
California ...:       395              375              392              370
Louisiana ....:        70               65               69               64
Mississippi ..:         1                1                1                1
Missouri .....:         6                7                6                7
Texas ........:         9                6                9                6
              :
United States :       696              699              691              688
              :
Short grain   :
Arkansas .....:         1                1                1                1
California ...:        35               35               35               35
              :
United States :        36               36               36               36
              :
All rice      :
Arkansas .....:     1,486            1,316            1,480            1,296
California ...:       434              416              431              411
Louisiana ....:       462              420              458              414
Mississippi ..:       191              151              190              150
Missouri .....:       216              177              213              169
Texas ........:       150              131              147              130
              :
United States :     2,939            2,611            2,919            2,570
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
See footnote(s) at end of table.                                       --continued
Rice Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class - States and United States:
2014 and Forecasted September 1, 2015 (continued)
[Sweet rice production included with short grain. Blank data cells indicate estimation period
has not yet begun]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    :               Yield per acre               :         Production
   Class and State  :--------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    :              :            2015             :              :
                    :     2014     :-----------------------------:     2014     :   2015 2/
                    :              :   August 1   : September 1  :              :
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    :    -------------- pounds -------------         ------ 1,000 cwt -----
Long grain          :
Arkansas ...........:    7,570                                        95,761
California .........:    7,300                                           292
Louisiana ..........:    7,150                                        27,814
Mississippi ........:    7,420                                        14,024
Missouri ...........:    6,830                                        14,138
Texas ..............:    7,500                                        10,350
                    :
United States ......:    7,408                                       162,379        131,491
                    :
Medium grain        :
Arkansas ...........:    7,540                                        16,136
California .........:    8,800                                        34,496
Louisiana ..........:    7,020                                         4,844
Mississippi ........:    7,200                                            72
Missouri ...........:    6,700                                           402
Texas ..............:    4,900                                           441
                    :
United States ......:    8,161                                        56,391         55,642
                    :
Short grain         :
Arkansas ...........:    6,000                                            60
California .........:    6,300                                         2,205
                    :
United States ......:    6,292                                         2,265          2,379
                    :
All rice            :
Arkansas ...........:    7,560          7,550          7,400         111,957         95,904
California .........:    8,580          8,400          8,300          36,993         34,113
Louisiana ..........:    7,130          6,750          6,700          32,658         27,738
Mississippi ........:    7,420          7,300          7,400          14,096         11,100
Missouri ...........:    6,830          6,600          6,300          14,540         10,647
Texas ..............:    7,340          8,000          7,700          10,791         10,010
                    :
United States ......:    7,572          7,472          7,374         221,035        189,512
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Updated from previous estimate.
2/ Indicated September 1, 2015, rice class estimates are based on a 5-year average of class
   percentages. The class percentages are adjusted as data become available through the growing
   season. State estimates by class will be published in the "Crop Production 2015 Summary."

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