STAT Communications Ag Market News

Smaller U.S. Rice Crop

WASHINGTON - Aug 13/15 - SNS -- U.S. rice production is forecast at 205 million cwt, down 7% from last year, according to the latest USDA production forecast for 2015.

Area for harvest is expected to total 2.74 million acres, unchanged from June but 6% lower than 2014. Based on conditions as of August 1, the average United States yield is forecast at 7,472 pounds per acre, down 100 pounds from last year. Expected yields are down from last year in all States except Texas.

By August 2, 63% of the acreage was heading, 6 percentage points ahead of last year and 4 percentage points ahead of the five-year average.

Rice Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2014 and
Forecasted August 1, 2015
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :   Area harvested    :   Yield per acre    :    Production 1/
     State    :-----------------------------------------------------------------
              :   2014   :   2015   :   2014   :   2015   :   2014   :   2015
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :     1,000 acres        ---- pounds ----     ---- 1,000 cwt ---
              :
Arkansas .....:  1,480      1,385      7,560      7,550     111,957    104,568
California ...:    431        380      8,580      8,400      36,993     31,920
Louisiana ....:    458        444      7,130      6,750      32,658     29,970
Mississippi ..:    190        180      7,420      7,300      14,096     13,140
Missouri .....:    213        212      6,830      6,600      14,540     13,992
Texas ........:    147        143      7,340      8,000      10,791     11,440
              :
United States :  2,919      2,744      7,572      7,472     221,035    205,030
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Includes sweet rice production.
Rice Production by Class - United States: 2014 and Forecasted August 1, 2015
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                :                :                :
    Year    :   Long grain   :  Medium grain  : Short grain 1/ :      All
            :                :                :                :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                             1,000 cwt
            :
2014 .......:    162,379           56,391           2,265           221,035
2015 2/ ....:    149,018           53,794           2,218           205,030
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Sweet rice production included with short grain.
2/ The 2015 rice production by class forecasts are based on class harvested
   acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield compared to the all rice
   yield.

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