STAT Communications Ag Market News

U.S. Canola Crop Inches Higher

WASHINGTON Oct 12/23 - SNS -- The first U.S. canola production forecast for 2023 is a record high 4.01 billion pounds, up 5% from the 2022 revised production of 3.82 billion pounds, according to the USDA's latest crop estimates.

Production in both North Dakota and Washington will be the highest on record, if realized. Meanwhile, the production in both Kansas and Oklahoma will be the lowest on record, if realized.

Area planted for the Nation, at a record high 2.35 million acres, is up 3% from the June estimate and up 6% from last year's area. Canola farmers expect to harvest a record high 2.30 million acres, up 3% from June and up 6% from 2022. Acreage updates were made in several States based on a thorough review of all available data.

The October yield forecast, at 1,741 pounds per acre, is 21 pounds below last year. The average yield forecast in both Montana and Washington are down 100 pounds per acre from last year's average yield in those States. Compared with 2022, the average yield in Minnesota is up 90 pounds per acre and will be the highest on record, if realized.

Canola Area Planted and Harvested - States and United States: 2022 and 2023
[Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously published]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :           Area planted            :          Area harvested
       State      :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :      2022       :      2023       :      2022       :     2023 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :                              1,000 acres
                  :
Kansas ...........:         9.0               2.0                7.0              1.0
Minnesota ........:        71.0              81.0               69.0             78.0
Montana ..........:       180.0             165.0              167.0            155.0
North Dakota .....:     1,800.0           1,930.0            1,785.0          1,900.0
Oklahoma .........:        18.0               3.0                8.0              1.5
Washington .......:       135.0             170.0              132.0            166.0
                  :
United States ....:     2,213.0           2,351.0            2,168.0          2,301.5
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Forecasted.
Canola Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2022 and
Forecasted October 1, 2023
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     State    :    Area harvested     :    Yield per acre     :      Production
              :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
              :   2022    :   2023    :   2022    :   2023    :   2022    :   2023
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :  --- 1,000 acres ---      ----- pounds ----     ---- 1,000 pounds ---
              :
Kansas .......:      7.0         1.0        540         600         3,780         600
Minnesota ....:     69.0        78.0      2,410       2,500       166,290     195,000
Montana ......:    167.0       155.0      1,030         930       172,010     144,150
North Dakota .:  1,785.0     1,900.0      1,820       1,790     3,248,700   3,401,000
Oklahoma .....:      8.0         1.5        700         800         5,600       1,200
Washington ...:    132.0       166.0      1,700       1,600       224,400     265,600
              :
United States :  2,168.0     2,301.5      1,762       1,741     3,820,780   4,007,550
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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