STAT Communications Ag Market News

Smaller U.S. Rice Harvest

WASHINGTON - Nov 9/17 - SNS -- Rice production in the United States is forecast at 178 million cwt, down less than 1% from the October forecast and down 20% from last year, according to the latest crop estimates from the USDA.

If realized, production for 2017 would represent the lowest United States total since 1996. Harvested area is expected to total 2.39 million acres, unchanged from the October forecast, but down 23% from last year.

Based on conditions as of November 1, the average United States yield is forecast at 7,461 pounds per acre, down 8 pounds per acre from the October forecast, but 224 pounds per acre higher than the 2016 average yield of 7,237 pounds per acre. If realized, the expected yield in Missouri for 2017 will be a record high.

Rice Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2016 and Forecasted
November 1, 2017
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :   Area harvested    :            Yield per acre            :    Production 1/
              :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     State    :          :          :            :          2017           :          :
              :   2016   :   2017   :    2016    :-------------------------:   2016   :   2017
              :          :          :            : October 1  : November 1 :          :
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :     1,000 acres         ------------ pounds -----------      ---- 1,000 cwt ---
              :
Arkansas .....:  1,521      1,093       6,920        7,350        7,400      105,314     80,882
California ...:    536        458       8,840        8,600        8,600       47,394     39,388
Louisiana ....:    428        395       6,630        7,000        6,900       28,390     27,255
Mississippi ..:    194        118       7,180        7,200        7,200       13,929      8,496
Missouri .....:    231        160       6,650        7,100        7,400       15,352     11,840
Texas ........:    187        167       7,360        6,800        6,300       13,766     10,521
              :
United States :  3,097      2,391       7,237        7,469        7,461      224,145    178,382
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Includes sweet rice production.
Rice Production by Class - United States: 2016 and Forecasted November 1, 2017
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                :                :                :
    Year    :   Long grain   :  Medium grain  : Short grain 1/ :      All
            :                :                :                :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                             1,000 cwt
            :
2016 .......:    166,465           54,533           3,147           224,145
2017 2/ ....:    126,142           49,459           2,781           178,382
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Sweet rice production included with short grain.
2/ The 2017 rice production by class forecasts are based on class harvested
   acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield compared to the all rice
   yield.

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