Australia -- Queensland Weather Update

MELBOURNE - Feb 15/15 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.

Weather Situation
A monsoon trough extends from the far north of the Gulf of Carpentaria into the northwestern Coral Sea and is expected to strengthen in the days ahead. A low is expected to deepen on the monsoon trough in the coming days with an increasing risk of cyclone development. Forecasts for the far northern tropics are highly dependent on the development and movement of the low. A slow moving high pressure system near New Zealand will maintain a firm ridge over east coast waters to the south of the monsoon trough during the forecast period.
Forecast for the rest of SundayRain areas and thunderstorms over areas north of about Cairns to Kowanyama, with some locally heavy falls likely, particularly near the east coast. A high chance of showers and possible storms about the remaining east tropical coast, with a slight to medium chance of showers near the central and southeast coasts. A slight to medium chance of showers and storms over the southeastern inland, increasing to a high chance near the southern border ranges. Fine and mostly clear conditions through the remaining interior. Moderate to fresh southeast to northeasterly winds, tending strong and gusty east to southeasterly near the coast between about Lockhart River and Bowen. Fresh to strong westerly winds through Torres Strait and across the far north of Cape York Peninsula.Monday 16 FebruaryRain areas and thunderstorms over areas north of about Cairns to Kowanyama, with some locally heavy falls likely, particularly near the east coast. Showers and possible storms about the east tropical coast south of Cairns. A slight to medium chance of showers near the central and southern coasts. A slight chance of showers and storms is expected over the far southwest and also near the southern border ranges but with little if any rainfall. Fine and sunny in the west with another hot day in the southwest. Moderate to fresh southeast to northeasterly winds, tending strong and gusty east to southeasterly near the coast between about Lockhart River and Bowen. Fresh to strong westerly winds through Torres Strait and across the far north of Cape York Peninsula.Tuesday 17 FebruaryThere is considerable uncertainty regarding the development of the tropical system on the monsoon trough, but with the monsoon trough lying across northern Cape York Peninsula, further rain areas and some storms are expected to continue through the tropics north of about Cooktown to Kowanyama. The high near New Zealand will maintain a ridge over east coast districts to the south of the monsoon trough, with a slight to medium chance of showers expected in the onshore wind flow, increasing to a high chance about the north tropical coast. A weak upper trough should enter the southwest of the state generating some gusty showers or storms but with little or no rainfall expected. Fine and sunny conditions will persist through the remaining interior.Wednesday 18 FebruaryThere is considerable uncertainty regarding the development of the tropical system on the monsoon trough, but the potential for cyclone development is expected to increase. Conditions across northern tropical regions are highly dependent on the development of any lows on the monsoon trough. However, at this stage further showers and some storms are likely over the tropics north of about Cooktown to Kowanyama. A ridge should persist along the southern and central east coast from the high near New Zealand with a slight to moderate chance of showers about the east coast and the eastern interior. Instability may increase through the southeast interior with storms possible about the Darling Downs and southern Central Highlands. An upper trough should persist over the west of the state generating some gusty showers or storms but with little or no rainfall expected. Fine and sunny conditions will persist through the remaining interior.Thursday 19 FebruaryThere is considerable uncertainty regarding the movement of the tropical system on the monsoon trough and its effect on northern Queensland's weather. At this stage, further showers and storms are likely through most of the tropics. A ridge should persist through southern and central east coast waters with a slight to moderate chance of showers and possible storms about the east coast and eastern interior in the moist onshore flow. Instability should persist across much of the west of the state as the upper trough remains slow moving, with a slight chance of gusty showers or storms but will little or no rainfall expected.Friday until SundayThere is considerable uncertainty regarding the movement of the tropical system through the outlook period and this will strongly influence the weather over much of the state. The monsoon trough should weaken over Cape York Peninsula with showers and storms continuing though locally heavy falls become less likely through the outlook period. A broad trough or low may shift west over the Coral Sea during the outlook period, resulting in the chance of showers and possible storms along much of the east coast and eastern interior. An upper level trough will produce some shower and storm activity over western Queensland on Friday but the southwest of the state is likely to be fine over the weekend.The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:30 am EST Monday.Product IDQ10700
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This page was created at 06:45 on Sunday 15 February 2015 (GMT)
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