MELBOURNE - Feb 14/15 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Weather Situation A monsoon trough extends from the far north of the Gulf of Carpentaria into the northwestern Coral Sea and is expected to strengthen in the days ahead. A low on the trough in the northwest Coral Sea will most likely shift west across Cape York Peninsula over the remainder of the weekend and into the Gulf of Carpentaria on Monday. The low should deepen further as it continues moving west. The low and monsoon trough will lead to some heavy falls through the northern tropics in the days ahead. A strong high over the southern Tasman Sea extends a firm ridge over the east Queensland coast to the south of the monsoon trough. A weak upper trough will move north into southeastern Queensland on Sunday. Forecast for the rest of SaturdayRain areas, showers and isolated thunderstorms through the Peninsula and North Tropical Coast districts with some heavy falls likely, particularly near the east coast north of Cairns. A medium to high chance of showers and storms through the remaining tropics. A slight to medium chance of showers over east coast districts south of the tropics. Fine and clear in the west. Moderate to fresh southeast to northeasterly winds, tending strong and gusty east to southeasterly near the coast between about Lockhart River and Yeppoon.Sunday 15 FebruaryRain areas and thunderstorms are expected over areas north of about Cairns to Kowanyama, with some locally heavy falls likely, particularly near the east coast. A high chance of showers about the remaining east tropical coast, with a slight to medium chance near the central and southeast coasts in an onshore wind flow. A slight to medium chance of showers and storms over the southern border ranges and inland parts of the Southeast Coast district. Fine and mostly sunny conditions in the west with a hot day in the southwest. Moderate to fresh southeast to northeasterly winds, tending strong and gusty east to southeasterly near the coast between about Lockhart River and St Lawrence.Fire Danger - Very High about the southwest Darling Downs.Monday 16 FebruaryThe monsoon low will most likely gradually shift west and reach the northern Gulf of Carpentaria. Rain areas and thunderstorms with some locally heavy falls are again expected over areas north of about Cairns to Kowanyama. A deep, moist easterly wind flow may also result in showers and possible storms with locally heavy falls about the east tropical coast south of Cairns. The high will weaken and shift to the east of New Zealand, maintaining an onshore wind flow and a slight to medium chance of some showers near the central and southern coasts. Fine and sunny conditions will persist in the west with another hot day in the southwest.Tuesday 17 FebruaryThere is some uncertainty regarding the movement of the tropical system in the Gulf of Carpentaria. At this stage, the monsoon low (or tropical cyclone) is likely to shift west over the northern Gulf of Carpentaria, extending a monsoon trough to Cape York Peninsula with rain areas and some storms continuing through the tropics north of about Cooktown to Kowanyama. The high near New Zealand will maintain a ridge over east coast districts to the south of the monsoon trough, with a slight to medium chance of showers expected in the onshore wind flow, increasing to a high chance about the north tropical coast. A weak upper trough should enter the southwest of the state generating some gusty showers or storms but with little or no rainfall expected. Fine and sunny conditions will persist through the remaining interior.Wednesday 18 FebruaryThere is some uncertainty regarding the movement of the tropical system in the Gulf of Carpentaria but it is likely to move slowly southwestwards through the Gulf, with the monsoon trough weakening over Cape York Peninsula. Further rain areas and some storms will continue over the tropics north of about Cooktown to Kowanyama. A ridge should persist along the southern and central east coast from the high near New Zealand with a slight to moderate chance of showers about the east coast and the eastern interior. Instability may increase through the southeast interior with storms possible about the Darling Downs and southern Central Highlands. An upper trough should persist over the southwest of the state generating some gusty showers or storms but with little or no rainfall expected. Fine and sunny conditions will persist through the remaining interior.Thursday until SaturdayThere is considerable uncertainty regarding the movement of the tropical system in the Gulf of Carpentaria through the outlook period and this will strongly influence the weather over the far north of the state. The monsoon trough should weaken over Cape York Peninsula with showers and storms continue through the Peninsula though locally heavy falls become less likely through the outlook period. A new high will move east over the Great Australian Bight and enter the southern Tasman Sea late Thursday, reinforcing the ridge along the east Queensland coast. A broad trough or low is also expected to shift west over the Coral Sea during the outlook period. The combination of the ridge and low will extend strengthening onshore winds into east coast districts, resulting in some showers. An upper level trough will produce some shower and storm activity over western Queensland.The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:30 am EST Sunday.Product IDQ10700 Notice Board MetEye extended into Queensland --> Cairns (Saddle Mountain) Radar reinstalled Rainfall Forecast Terminology Media Releases Marketing Meteorological Offices Cairns weather Charleville weather Longreach weather Mackay weather Mount Isa weather Rockhampton weather Townsville weather Weipa weather Other Information Fire Weather Forecast Areas About Weather Forecast Services About Warning Services Warnings Water Climate Environment Tropical Cyclones Tsunami Warning Centre Agriculture - Water and the Land Marine & Ocean UV & Sun Protection Rainfall & River Conditions Graphical Views Radar Maps Rainfall Forecasts Seasonal Outlooks Climate Variability & Change Climate Data Online Seasonal Streamflow Forecasts Water Storage MetEye™ National Weather Services Aviation Weather Services Defence Services Space Weather Services Registered User Services Commercial Weather Services Business Entry Point Facebook Twitter Youtube Blog Google+ Careers Sitemap Feedback Freedom of Information Indigenous Weather Knowledge Glossary This page was created at 18:30 on Saturday 14 February 2015 (GMT) © Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2015, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533 532) | Disclaimer | Privacy | Accessibility var hostname = window.location.hostname; var host = hostname.split("."); if (host[0] == "reg") var _gaq = _gaq || []; _gaq.push(['_setAccount', 'UA-20386085-1']); _gaq.push(['_trackPageview']); else if (host[0] == "wdev") var _gaq = _gaq || []; _gaq.push(['_setAccount', 'UA-21709175-1']); _gaq.push(['_trackPageview']); else var _gaq = _gaq || []; _gaq.push(['_setAccount', 'UA-3816559-1']); _gaq.push(['_trackPageview']); (function() { var ga = document.createElement('script'); ga.type = 'text/javascript'; ga.async = true; ga.src = ('https:' == document.location.protocol ? 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