Australia -- Queensland Weather Update

MELBOURNE - Feb 14/15 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.

Weather Situation
A weak monsoon trough extends from the far north of the Gulf of Carpentaria into the northwestern Coral Sea. The monsoon trough is expected to strengthen in the days ahead. A low on the trough will most likely shift west off Cape York Peninsula into the Gulf of Carpentaria on Monday and should deepen further as it continues moving west. The low and monsoon trough will lead to some heavy falls through the northern tropics in the days ahead. A strong high over the southern Tasman Sea extends a firm ridge over the east Queensland coast to the south of the monsoon trough. A weak upper trough will move north into southeastern Queensland on Sunday.
Forecast for the rest of SaturdayRain areas, showers and isolated thunderstorms through the Peninsula and North Tropical Coast districts with some heavy falls likely, particularly near the east coast. A medium to high chance of showers and storms through the remaining tropics. A slight to medium chance of showers over east coast districts south of the tropics. Fine and sunny in the west. Moderate to fresh southeast to northeasterly winds, tending strong and gusty east to southeasterly near the coast between about Lockhart River and Yeppoon.Fire Danger -  Very High in the Darling Downs and Granite Belt district.Sunday 15 FebruaryThe monsoon low will most likely shift west over Cape York Peninsula, with rain areas and thunderstorms and some locally heavy falls expected over areas north of about Cairns to Kowanyama. A high chance of showers will persist about the remaining east tropical coast, with a slight to medium chance near the central and southeast coasts in an onshore wind flow. The upper level trough may generate some showers or storms over the southern border ranges. Fine and mostly sunny conditions will persist in the west with a hot day expected in the southwest.Monday 16 FebruaryThe monsoon low will most likely gradually shift west, and possibly reach the northern Gulf of Carpentaria. Rain areas and thunderstorms with some locally heavy falls are again expected over areas north of about Cairns to Kowanyama. A deep, moist easterly wind flow may also result in locally heavy falls about the east tropical coast south of Cairns. The high will weaken and shift to the east of New Zealand, maintaining an onshore wind flow and a slight to medium chance of some showers near the central and southern coasts. Fine and sunny conditions will persist in the west with another hot day in the southwest.Tuesday 17 FebruaryThe monsoon low (or tropical cyclone) should shift west over the northern Gulf of Carpentaria, extending a monsoon trough to Cape York Peninsula with rain areas and some storms continuing through the tropics north of about Cooktown to Kowanyama. The high near New Zealand will maintain a ridge over east coast districts to the south of the monsoon trough, with a slight to medium chance of showers expected in the onshore wind flow, increasing to a high chance about the north tropical coast. A weak upper trough should enter the southwest of the state generating some gusty showers or storms but with little or no rainfall expected. Fine and sunny conditions will persist through the remaining interior.Wednesday until FridayThe monsoon trough should weaken over Cape York Peninsula as the monsoon low or tropical cyclone continues to shift further west. Showers and storms will continue through the Peninsula though locally heavy falls become less likely through the outlook period. A new high will move east over the Great Australian Bight and enter the southern Tasman Sea late Thursday, reinforcing the ridge along the east Queensland coast. A broad trough or low is also expected to shift west over the Coral Sea during the outlook period. The combination of the ridge and low will extend strengthening onshore winds into east coast districts, resulting in some showers. An upper level trough will produce some shower and storm activity over western Queensland.The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:30 pm EST Saturday.Product IDQ10700
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This page was created at 06:15 on Saturday 14 February 2015 (GMT)
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