Australia -- Queensland Weather Update

MELBOURNE - Jan 12/15 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.

Weather Situation
The monsoon trough extends across southern Cape York Peninsula to a low over the northwestern Coral Sea. A high near New Zealand extends a weakening ridge onto the east Queensland coast to the south of the monsoon trough. A trough extends from central Australia and into southwestern Queensland. The trough is expected to shift further east over the interior of the state on Tuesday and should extend from the northwest into the southeastern interior by Wednesday. An upper level trough is moving northeast over southeastern Queensland today.
Forecast for the rest of MondayA medium to high chance of showers and storms through the northern tropics, with some rain areas continuing north of about Coen. Fine and partly cloudy over the central west. Showers and storms over remaining western parts, with some storms possibly severe, particularly in the very far west. A cloudy evening over the southeast with patchy rain and showers. Moderate to fresh west to northwesterly winds across the far north. Moderate to fresh southeast to northeasterly winds elsewhere, tending northwest to northeasterly in the far west.Tuesday 13 JanuaryA medium to high chance of showers and storms over the tropics north and west of Cairns, increasing to a very high chance with some rain areas through northern Cape York Peninsula and Torres Strait. Medium chance of showers and storms extending from the northwest to the southern interior, becoming more likely from the late morning with some storms possibly severe. Mostly cloudy in the southeast with a medium to high chance of showers and drizzle. Slight chance of showers or storms elsewhere in the state apart from the central interior and central coast with fine and partly cloudy conditions. Moderate to fresh west to northwesterly winds across the far north. Light to moderate east to northeasterly winds elsewhere, tending moderate to fresh west to southwesterly in the far southwest.Wednesday 14 JanuaryThere remains some uncertainty with the movement of the low but it will most likely shift southeast over the Coral Sea and remain offshore of the Queensland coast. A medium chance of showers is therefore expected near the northeast tropical coast, increasing to a high chance north and west of Cairns with some storms likely. The inland surface trough will move further east to lie from the northwest to the southeastern interior by the evening. Showers and storms are therefore likely in a band from the northwest through the central west and into the Maranoa and Warrego and western Darling Downs. A slight to medium chance of showers and storms will extend into the southeast and central interior. Fine and sunny conditions will spread through the southwest of the state.Thursday 15 JanuaryThe low is expected to continue moving to the southeast away from the Queensland coast though the monsoon trough across far northern Queensland and the Coral Sea is expected to remain active. So forecasts in the tropics are highly dependent on the movement of the monsoon trough though the most likely area to be affected is the Peninsula. The surface trough will continue to move east across the state to lie from the northwest to the southeast coast. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to the north and east of the trough, including northern districts. Fine and sunny conditions will develop in the southwest and southern interior in the wake of the trough.Friday 16 JanuaryThe surface trough is likely to move further northeast with fine and mostly sunny conditions developing behind the trough. To the north and east of the trough showers and storms are likely. Forecasts in the tropics will be highly dependent on the movement and activeness of the monsoon trough.Saturday until MondayDuring the outlook period forecasts in the tropics will be heavily dependent on the location and intensity of the monsoon trough. The inland surface trough is expected to become slow moving, lying from the northwest of the state through the central interior. It may also shift into the southeastern interior again during the weekend. Showers and storms are likely near and to the east and north of the trough. Fine and sunny conditions are expected through much of western Queensland and the southern interior.The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:30 am EST Tuesday.Product IDQ10700
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This page was created at 14:15 on Monday 12 January 2015 (GMT)
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