Australia -- Queensland Weather Update

MELBOURNE - Jan 11/15 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.

Weather Situation
The monsoon trough extends across southern Cape York Peninsula to a low over the northwestern Coral Sea. A high near New Zealand extends a weakening ridge onto the east Queensland coast to the south of the monsoon trough. A trough extends from central Australia and into southwestern Queensland. The trough is expected to shift further east over the interior of the state on Tuesday and should extend from the northwest into the southeastern interior by Wednesday. An upper level trough will move northeast over southeastern Queensland during today.
Forecast for the rest of MondayA medium to high chance of showers and storms through the northern tropics, with some rain areas continuing north of about Coen. Fine and mostly sunny over the central west. Showers and storms over remaining western parts, with some storms possibly severe, particularly in the very far west. A cool and cloudy day over the southeast with patchy rain, showers and possible isolated storms. A slight to medium chance of showers will also extend through Darling Downs and Maranoa and north to about Mackay. Moderate to fresh and gusty west to northwesterly winds across the far north. Moderate to fresh and gusty southeast to northeasterly winds elsewhere, tending northwest to northeasterly in the far west.Tuesday 13 JanuaryThere is some uncertainty associated with the movement of the low but at this stage it will most likely shift south over the Coral Sea as a monsoon low or weak tropical cyclone. Some showers are possible near the Cairns coast, with a medium to high chance of showers and storms over the tropics north and west of Cairns, increasing to a very high chance with some rain areas through northern Cape York Peninsula and Torres Strait. The upper trough will clear the southern coast though some showers or drizzle will continue in its wake over the southeastern corner of the state. The trough over the west will likely shift a little further east, with a medium to high chance of showers and storms over western Queensland near and to its east.Wednesday 14 JanuaryThere remains some uncertainty with the movement of the low but it will most likely shift south or southwest over the Coral Sea and remain offshore of the Queensland coast. A medium chance of showers is therefore expected near the northeast tropical coast, increasing to a high chance north and west of Cairns with some storms likely. The inland surface trough will move further east to lie from the northwest to the southeastern interior by the evening. Showers and storms are therefore likely in a band from the northwest through the central west and into the Maranoa and Warrego and western Darling Downs. A slight to medium chance of showers and storms will extend into the southeast and central interior. Fine and sunny conditions will spread through the southwest of the state.Thursday 15 JanuaryThe movement of the low remains uncertain. The most likely scenario is that it will remain offshore though there is some possibility it could cross the east tropical coast as a monsoon low or weak tropical cyclone. Forecasts in the tropics are highly dependent on the movement of the low. The surface trough will continue to move east across the state to lie from the northwest to the southeast coast. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to the north and east of the trough, including northern districts. Fine and sunny conditions will develop in the southwest and southern interior in the wake of the trough.Friday until SundayForecasts in the tropics are heavily dependent on the movement of the monsoon low, though the dominant synoptic feature will likely be the inland trough. It is expected to become slow moving, lying from the northwest of the state through the central interior. It may also shift into the southeastern interior again during the weekend. Showers and storms are likely near and to the east of the trough. Fine and sunny conditions are expected through much of western Queensland and the southern interior in the wake of the trough.The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:30 pm EST Monday.Product IDQ10700
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This page was created at 02:00 on Monday 12 January 2015 (GMT)
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