Australia -- Queensland Weather Update

MELBOURNE - Mar 1/14 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.

Weather Situation
A surface trough lies from the northwest of the state into the southern interior and is expected to shift slowly west during the forecast period. An upper trough over central Australia will move eastwards over the southwest of the state during Monday and Tuesday. A weak tropical low lies over the northern Coral Sea to the southwest of the Solomon Islands. The tropical low is expected to remain slow moving for the next couple of days before most likely taking on a westwards track from Tuesday. A high over southeastern Australia will move eastwards into the Tasman Sea on Monday, reinforcing a ridge along the east Queensland coast. The high should then weaken from late Tuesday, gradually relaxing the ridge.
Forecast for the rest of SundayIsolated showers developing near the southeastern border, increasing to scattered during the evening. Fine and mostly sunny elsewhere over the southeast inland and also through the central interior. Mostly fine about the remaining east coast with only isolated showers. Scattered showers and thunderstorms about the Peninsula and Gulf Country districts. Fine and mostly sunny in the far southwest. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms elsewhere through western Queensland. Moderate southeast to northwest winds with fresh southeast winds about parts of the east coast.Fire Danger -  High to Very High over central districts and the southeastern interior.Monday 3 MarchThe low over the northern Coral Sea is expected to remain slow moving well offshore of the Queensland coast. The high will move east into the Tasman Sea, reinforcing the ridge along much of the east Queensland coast and strengthening the onshore wind flow. Isolated to scattered showers will occur about much of the east coast and adjacent inland, becoming more frequent about the east tropical coast. Isolated light showers may develop through the southeast and central interior as moist easterly winds extend further inland. An upper trough will increase instability over western Queensland, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected west of about Charleville and some locally heavy falls likely with storms. Isolated to scattered showers and storms will also persist through the northern tropics.Tuesday 4 MarchA firm ridge will persist along the east Queensland coast before the high begins to weaken over the Tasman Sea late in the day. There is some uncertainty in the development and movement of the tropical low in the northern Coral Sea but the system is likely to move slowly westwards across the northern Coral Sea. Fresh to strong southeast winds about the east coast will bring isolated showers on to the east coast and adjacent inland, more frequent about the coast north of about Townsville. An upper trough will move east into southwestern Queensland, maintaining unstable conditions in the southwest with scattered showers and storms expected. Isolated to scattered showers and storms are expected through northwestern Queensland and the remaining northern tropics, with rain areas developing in the Peninsula.Wednesday 5 MarchThe high in the Tasman Sea and associated ridge along the east Queensland coast should weaken further. Some uncertainty persists with the movement and development of the low in the Coral Sea and forecasts are highly dependent on the development of this system. At this stage it will most likely continue tracking west over the northern Coral Sea, remaining offshore of the east Queensland coast. Isolated showers will persist about the east coast in the onshore wind flow, scattered about the east tropical coast with some storms likely north of about Cooktown. Instability should decrease in the west as the upper trough shifts further east, though a surface trough should result in some isolated shower and storm activity in the far west of the state. Fine and mostly sunny conditions are expected elsewhere over the interior.Thursday until SaturdayForecasts during the outlook period are highly dependent on the development and movement of the tropical system in the northern Coral Sea. The most likely scenario is that the system should move westwards across the far north of the state during the outlook period. Rain areas and thunderstorms with some heavy falls are likely to develop about the east tropical coast, possibly extending into the interior depending on the movement of the low. Isolated to scattered showers will occur about the remaining east coast in an onshore wind flow.The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:30 pm EST Sunday.Product IDQ10700
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This page was created at 03:00 on Sunday  2 March 2014 (GMT)
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