Australia -- Queensland Weather Update

MELBOURNE - Mar 1/14 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.

Weather Situation
A surface trough lies from the northwest of the state into the southern interior of the state and will remain slow moving into the beginning of next week. An upper trough over central Australia will move slowly eastwards and move into the southwest of the state during Monday and Tuesday. A weak monsoon trough lies through the Gulf of Carpentaria, across the northern Coral Sea to a tropical low that lies to the southwest of the Solomon Islands. The tropical low is expected to move slowly westwards over the next few days. A high over southeastern Australia will move eastwards and move across the Tasman Sea during Monday and Tuesday. The high will extend a ridge along much of the east Queensland coast over the remainder of the weekend and into early next week.
Forecast for the rest of SaturdayMostly fine about much of the east coast with only isolated showers for most parts, increasing to scattered about the North Tropical Coast. Scattered showers and storms about the northwest of the state and western Cape York Peninsula. Isolated showers and thunderstorms elsewhere in the northern tropics. Isolated showers and thunderstorm through the eastern Channel Country and the Maranoa and Warrego district, south and west of a line from Charleville to St. George. Light to moderate southwest to northeast winds, fresh at times about the east coast.Sunday 2 MarchMostly fine about much of the east coast with only isolated showers, although these will increase to scattered about the far southeast of the state during the late afternoon and evening. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms about the Peninsula district, Gulf Country and northern parts of the Northwest district. Isolated showers and thunderstorms about the remaining Northwest district, eastern Channel Country and into the Maranoa and Warrego district. Fine and mostly sunny conditions are expected elsewhere. Moderate southeast to northwest winds with fresh southeast winds about parts of the east coast.Fire Danger -  Very high in the Capricornia, Central Highlands and Coalfields and the Darling Downs and Granite Belt districts. High elsewhere away from the northern tropics.Monday 3 MarchThe high will move into the Tasman Sea with the ridge strengthening along much of the east coast leading to fresh to strong onshore winds. Isolated showers about much of the east coast and adjacent inland, tending scattered about the North Tropical Coast. Isolated light showers may develop about southeast parts of the state, including the Darling Downs and Granite Belt in response to a weak upper trough. The low over the northern Coral Sea is expected to move westwards and is likely to develop slightly, but will remain well offshore of the Queensland coast. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also likely to continue about the southwest and far northwestern tropics as the low level trough will remain slow moving in the area. Fine and mostly fine conditions are expected elsewhere.Tuesday 4 MarchThe high is expected to remain slow moving in the Tasman Sea with the ridge weakening along the east coast of Queensland. There is some uncertainty in the development and movement of the tropical low in the northern Coral Sea but the system is likely to continue to move westwards across the northern Coral Sea. Fresh to strong southeast winds about the east coast will bring isolated showers on to the east coast and adjacent inland, becoming more frequent about the coast north of about Bowen. An upper trough is likely to move eastwards across the southern interior with scattered showers and thunderstorms about the southwest and the Warrego. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the northern tropics. Fine and mostly sunny elsewhere.Wednesday 5 MarchA ridge is likely to persist along the southern Queensland east coast but weaken as the high in the Tasman Sea weakens. At this stage there is some uncertainty to the movement and development of the low in the Coral Sea and forecasts are highly dependent on the development of this system. Showers and thunderstorms are likely to increase to rain areas about the east tropical coast late in the day as the system moves close to the northeast Queensland coast. Showers and thunderstorms should persist across the northern tropics with isolated showers about the central and southern east coast. Much of the interior of the state should become fine and mostly sunny, although isolated showers and thunderstorms should affect the far southwest.Thursday until SaturdayForecasts during the outlook period are highly dependent on the development and movement of the tropical system in the northern Coral Sea. The most likely scenario is that the system should move westwards across the far north of the state early in the outlook period. Rain areas and thunderstorms are likely to affect areas northeast of a line from Normanton to Bowen with some heavy falls likely, particularly about the coast and ranges. Southeasterly winds should persist about the southern east coast with isolated showers. The remainder of the state should remain fine and mostly sunny.The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:30 am EST Sunday.Product IDQ10700
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This page was created at 14:45 on Saturday  1 March 2014 (GMT)
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