Australia -- Queensland Weather Update

MELBOURNE - Feb 3/14 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.

Weather Situation
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Fletcher lies near the southeastern Gulf of Carpentaria while Ex-Tropical Cyclone Edna lies well off the east Queensland coast over the northern Coral Sea. Refer to Tropical Cyclone Advices for further information on these systems. The monsoon trough extends from Ex-Tropical Cyclone Fletcher to the northeast tropical coast near Cooktown and then across to Ex-Tropical Cyclone Edna in the Coral Sea. A high over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge into southern and central Queensland waters. The ridge will be reinforced during Wednesday and Thursday as a new high moves into the Tasman Sea. A weak upper level trough will most likely enter southwestern Queensland on Wednesday and remain slow moving into Thursday.
Forecast for the rest of TuesdayRain areas, showers and isolated thunderstorms north of about Century Mine to Cooktown with some heavy falls likely, particularly about the Gulf of Carpentaria coast. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms and patchy rain elsewhere through the northwest of the state. Isolated showers about the east coast, scattered near the northeast tropical coast during the morning. Fine and mostly sunny elsewhere. Fresh to strong and gusty west to northwesterly winds through the far northern tropics, with gales possibly affecting the southern Gulf of Carpentaria coast. Moderate to fresh southeast to northeasterly winds elsewhere.Fire Danger -  High to very high over much of the interior of the state.Wednesday 5 FebruaryThe monsoon trough should become slow moving from about Cooktown to the low/tropical cyclone near the southern Gulf of Carpentaria coast. Rain areas, showers and thunderstorms will continue near and to the north of the monsoon trough with some heavy falls likely, particularly near the Gulf of Carpentaria coast. A new high will enter the Tasman Sea, reinforcing the ridge along the east Queensland coast to the south of the monsoon trough. Isolated showers will occur about the east coast in the onshore wind flow, more scattered with possible thunderstorms closer to the monsoon trough. A weak trough moving north from New South Wales will likely enhance showers about the southeast during the day. An upper trough will possibly generate some isolated gusty showers and thunderstorms in the southwest of the state.Thursday 6 FebruaryThe new high over the Tasman Sea will extend a firm ridge through central and southern Queensland. The monsoon trough will continue to extend from about Cooktown to a low over the Northern Territory near the southwestern Gulf of Carpentaria coast. Rain areas and storms with moderate to locally heavy falls will persist north of the monsoon trough. Isolated to scattered showers will occur about eastern districts and the remaining tropics in the fresh and moist onshore wind flow, with possible thunderstorms north of about Townsville closer to the monsoon trough. The upper trough will in the southwest of the state will possibly generate some gusty showers and storms near the southwestern border.Friday 7 FebruaryThe monsoon trough is expected to remain active through the southern Gulf of Carpentaria with a strong monsoon flow continuing to bring rain areas and thunderstorms to the Gulf Country and western Cape York Peninsula. Patchy rain, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are likely through the remaining northern tropics. A ridge is likely to persist about the southern and central east coast with isolated to scattered showers occurring in the onshore wind flow. Much of the central and southern interior should remain fine and mostly sunny.Saturday until MondayThe high will remain slow moving over the Tasman Sea. The monsoonal flow through the Gulf of Carpentaria should gradually decrease during the outlook period, although rain areas and storms are likely to persist about the Gulf of Carpentaria coast. There is considerable uncertainty regarding the weather along the east coast during the outlook period which depends on the movement of a trough and any associated lows in the Coral Sea. However, the most likely scenario is that a trough or low will move west through the Coral Sea towards the east Queensland coast, enhancing shower activity over eastern districts and eventually extending showers or storms further west into the interior.The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:30 pm EST Tuesday.Product IDQ10700
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This page was created at 02:15 on Tuesday  4 February 2014 (GMT)
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