MELBOURNE - Jun 26/13 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation A high [1030 hPa] over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge over central Australia and over the tropical east Queensland coast. A complex low pressure system over the northern Tasman Sea is moving northeast and extends a surface trough into southern Queensland. An upper level trough over far southwestern Queensland is expected to move rapidly eastwards today. Forecast for the rest of Thursday Cloudy with isolated showers and morning drizzle over southeast districts and the southern interior, increasing to scattered showers over parts of the southeast during the day. Areas of middle and high cloud over western, central and remaining southern districts but with little or no rain. Isolated light showers over the far northeastern Peninsula District. Light to moderate SW to SE winds, fresh at times along the northeast coast and far southern coast. Forecast for Friday The upper trough is expected to move offshore during the morning while a more significant upper trough moves across Western and South Australia and begins to intensify. A new high is expected to strengthen over the Great Australian Bight, maintaining a moister S to SE flow into southern Queensland. Cloudy over most of the southern half of Queensland, with scattered showers and some drizzle over southeast districts and the southern interior. Scattered showers along the southern coast and border ranges in a fresh S to SE airflow. A cool morning in central districts and parts of the eastern tropics. Forecast for Saturday The high is expected to remain near South Australia and maintain a relatively moist S to SE airflow over the southern half of Queensland, with cloudy conditions and isolated showers. The upper trough is expected to move across New South Wales and towards southwest Queensland, and will help to begin deepening a surface trough off the east Queensland coast. This will assist in maintaining scattered showers about the Southeast Coast and the Wide Bay. Fine over the remainder of the state. Minimum temperatures remaining below average in central districts and parts of the eastern tropics, with maximum temperatures trending below average in the southeast. Forecast for Sunday The high is expected to remain over South Australia and maintain the relatively moist S to SE airflow over the southern half of Queensland with cloudy conditions and isolated showers. The upper trough is expected to move across southern Queensland and most likely intensify into an upper level low, leading to more unstable conditions over southeast districts and the southern interior with generally scattered showers. The surface trough off the Capricornia and southern Queensland coasts is likely to continue deepening as the upper trough approaches, potentially with increasing winds and showers in these areas, though there is some uncertainty associated with these developments at this stage. Fine over most of the tropics, with only isolated light showers over the far northern Peninsula district and developing about the North Tropical Coast during the day. Minimum temperatures remaining a little below average in parts of the eastern tropics. Maximum temperatures are expected to be generally below average in the south and west due to cloud cover and the cool S to Se airflow. Outlook for Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday The upper level trough and low should continue to strengthen and reach peak intensity over central and southeastern Queensland late Monday and Tuesday, before moving offshore during Wednesday. The high over South Australia is expected to move slowly eastwards while weakening, but is expected to maintain a moist southeasterly airflow into southern and central as the surface trough continues to deepen near or off the southern Queensland coast. The deepening of this trough is likely to lead to an increase in the onshore flow, with cloudy conditions and increasing showers or rain over southeast Queensland, particularly about the coast and adjacent inland areas. Forecasts for southeast Queensland remain uncertain at this stage, with the intensity and extent of these showers or rain being very dependent on the position of the surface trough. The possibility of a significant low pressure system developing within this trough off the southern Queensland coast remains in place. Cloudy conditions with at least some showers are likely over the southern interior and across parts of central Queensland. In the north, it should remain fine in most areas, though some light showers are possible about the tropical east coast. Maximum temperatures generally below average, particularly under cloud in southeast and central Queensland. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:10 pm EST Thursday. 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