MELBOURNE - May 1/13 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time A Tropical Cyclone Warning is current for coastal areas from Mappoon to Cape York to Cooktown. Wind Warnings are current for coastal waters north of Cardwell. A Preliminary Flood Warning has been issued for coastal rivers and adjacent inland streams between Thursday Island and Cape Tribulation. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation At 1pm EST, Tropical Cyclone Zane [992 hPa] was located 420 kilometres east southeast of Lockhart River and moving west at about 15 km/h. Tropical Cyclone Zane is expected to move west northwest, most likely crossing northern Cape York Peninsula Thursday morning before weakening as moves over the Peninsula into the Gulf of Carpentaria. An upper trough over southeastern Australia will move northeast and be located over southeast Queensland on Thursday. A surface trough will move into far southeastern waters late Thursday morning, and move north during the afternoon and evening as a high currently over the Great Australian Bight moves east over southeastern Australia. Forecast for the rest of Wednesday Squally showers and thunderstorms increasing over areas northeast of about Weipa to Cape Tribulation with heavy rain areas developing from the east during the afternoon and evening. Scattered squally showers over the east tropical coast from about Cape Tribulation to Ingham. Isolated showers over remaining eastern districts and also through the central interior and eastern Gulf Country. Fine and mostly sunny over the remainder of the state. Winds increasing over the far northern tropics - refer to Tropical Cyclone Advice for TC Zane. Moderate SE to NE winds elsewhere. Forecast for Thursday Squally showers, storms and heavy rain areas should gradually decrease over the northern Peninsula district. A combination of the unstable airmass and the surface trough should result in isolated showers increasing to scattered over the southeast of the state during the day, particularly near the coast and ranges, with isolated thunderstorms possible in this same area. Isolated to scattered showers will occur along the remaining east coast and tropics in a moist onshore wind flow. Fine and mostly sunny conditions will continue over remaining parts of the state. Strong to Gale force E to SE winds over the north tropics and Gulf waters will generally decrease from the east during the day - refer to Tropical Cyclone Advice for TC Zane. Elsewhere in the state, there will be mostly moderate SE to NE winds, though S to SE winds will become fresh to strong behind the surface trough. Forecast for Friday The upper trough will shift north into the Coral Sea while the surface trough will also shift north and weaken during the day. Instability will therefore decrease over the southeast of the state with only isolated showers mainly in the morning expected. The new high will shift northeast through New South Wales towards our southern border, extending a firm ridge and fresh to strong SE'ly winds over the east coast north of about Fraser Island. This moist, onshore wind flow will result in isolated to scattered showers along the coast, with possible thunderstorms through Torres Strait. The ridge will also result in dry and stable conditions through the interior of the state. Forecast for Saturday The high near our southern border will weaken, as another high builds in the Great Australian Bight. This will lead to a slackening of the east coast ridge and a contraction of strong SE'ly winds to waters north of about Cardwell. Isolated showers should clear central coasts during the morning as a drier airmass extends north. Isolated to scattered showers will persist through northeastern Queensland and near the southern Gulf of Carpentaria coast. Fine and mostly sunny conditions are expected through the interior of the state and the southeast, with a cold morning likely over the southeast inland. Forecast for Sunday The high will move over southeastern Australia maintaining the ridge along the east coast and isolated coastal showers along the northern tropics. A surface trough in the southeast will possibly lead to isolated showers, mainly about the coast and adjacent inland. Otherwise, the dry air mass will maintain fine and mostly sunny conditions elsewhere in the state. An upper trough will approach southwestern Queensland with high level cloud increasing, though no rain is expected. Outlook for Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday The high should move into the southern Tasman Sea and strengthen, firming the east coast ridge. Meanwhile, the upper trough will move slowly east and move off the eastern coast into the Coral Sea by the end of the period. The upper trough, in combination with an onshore wind flow, will possibly lead to an increase in showers about the east coast during the outlook period, which may extend in to the central and southern interior on Tuesday. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:45 am EST Thursday. 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