MELBOURNE - Apr 29/13 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time A Tropical Cyclone Watch is current for coastal areas from Thursday Island to Cape Tribulation. A Gale Warning has been issued for waters between Cape Grenville and Cairns for late today. A Strong Wind Warning is current for waters between Cape Grenville and Mackay. A Strong Wind Warning has been issued for waters between Torres Strait and Cape Grenville for late today. A Preliminary Flood Warning has been issued for coastal rivers and adjacent inland streams between Cairns and Thursday Island. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation A broad, slow moving area of high pressure across southeast Australia and the Tasman Sea extends a ridge along the east Queensland coast. A slow moving tropical low [1000 hPa] is located southeast of Papua New Guinea. The low is expected to deepen further while taking on a west-northwest track through the far northern Coral Sea during today and Wednesday. There is a high probability the low will develop into a tropical cyclone during today as it approaches the far northeast of the state, crossing over northern Cape York Peninsula late on Wednesday. Forecast for the rest of Tuesday Squally showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop through areas northeast of Cardwell to Weipa, with rain areas and some moderate to locally heavy falls most likely developing from the east during the afternoon and evening. Scattered squally showers and patchy rain are expected through remaining parts of the Peninsula and North Tropical Coast and Tablelands districts and northern parts of the Herbert and Lower Burdekin district. Isolated showers will occur over the remaining east coast and adjacent inland in an onshore wind flow, more frequent about the central coast and islands. Isolated light showers are also expected to develop through the western Gulf Country during the afternoon as moisture extends from the east. Dry and mostly sunny conditions are expected throughout the rest of the interior of the state. Cool daytime temperatures are expected through the northern tropics under the cloud cover and rainfall. Moderate to fresh SE winds along the east coast, increasing to strong and gusty along the east coast north of Mackay, with gales expected to develop between Cape Grenville and Cairns during the afternoon and evening. Light to moderate SE to NE winds elsewhere. Forecast for Wednesday The high near New Zealand will weaken while a new high will build through the Great Australian Bight. Some uncertainty persists with the movement of the tropical low/cyclone through the far northern Coral Sea but at this stage it will most likely move west across northern Cape York Peninsula late in the day, weakening as it shifts further west into the Gulf of Carpentaria very late Wednesday or early Thursday. The system is expected to generate squally showers, rain areas and thunderstorms through the tropics north of about Cairns with some moderate to heavy falls likely. Winds should gradually decrease along the east tropical coast as the high weakens and the low shifts west. Scattered squally showers and patchy rain will persist over the remainder of the tropics, with more isolated showers through the western Gulf Country and remaining eastern districts. Dry and mostly sunny conditions are expected through the remainder of the interior of the state, though some high cloud may increase over the southwest. Cool daytime temperatures will persist in the northern tropics under the cloud cover and rainfall. Forecast for Thursday The new high will move east over Victoria, strengthening the ridge again along the east Queensland coast. A trough and an associated fresh to strong S'ly wind change will most likely move north along the New South Wales coast and enter southern Queensland waters early in the day. An upper trough will also most likely move east into southeastern districts, increasing instability with isolated showers and possible afternoon thunderstorms expected near and east of the Great Dividing Range. A moist and unstable airmass will persist through the northern tropics and Gulf of Carpentaria coast in the wake of the passage of the tropical low or cyclone, with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms expected. Isolated to scattered showers will occur along the remaining east coast in the onshore wind flow. Fine and mostly sunny conditions will continue over remaining parts of the interior of the state. Forecast for Friday The high will move north east across New South Wales, maintaining the ridge along the east Queensland coast and establishing a dry and stable airmass over much of the state. Isolated showers possible over eastern districts in the moist onshore wind flow, tending scattered along the north tropical coast and central coasts. Outlook for Saturday, Sunday and Monday The high will most likely move slowly north into southern Queensland during Saturday, maintaining a firm ridge with fresh to strong SE'ly winds and isolated to scattered showers persisting along most of the east coast and adjacent inland in the onshore wind flow. The high should begin to weaken late in the weekend as a new trough moves east over southern Queensland early next week. This trough should extend some high cloud through southern districts though with little or no rain expected at this stage. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:10 pm EST Tuesday. 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