MELBOURNE - Mar 16/13 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time Strong Wind Warning for coastal waters between Cardwell and St Lawrence for Monday. Strong Wind Warning for coastal waters between St Lawrence and Point Danger, including Hervey and Moreton Bays, for Sunday and Monday. Fire Weather Warning for Channel Country. Flood warnings are current for various rivers and streams. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation The monsoon trough lies over northern Cape York Peninsula to Tropical Cyclone Tim which at 4am EST was about 826 kilometres east of Cairns and moving slowly west-southwest. Tropical Cyclone Tim is expected to continue moving southwest and weaken to a tropical low later today, and then move in a general west-northwest direction towards the tropical Queensland coast early in the new week. A trough and strong S'ly wind change is expected to move over far southern Queensland waters during this afternoon and evening, extending further northwards on Monday. Forecast for the rest of Sunday Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over Cape York Peninsula and northern parts of the Gulf Country. Isolated showers developing in the afternoon and evening in the southeast, chiefly about the coast. Fine elsewhere. Very warm temperatures in the northwest and southeast of the state. Moderate NE to NW winds along the southern east coast, becoming strong S to SE behind the southerly change. Moderate to fresh SW to SE winds about the remaining east coast, becoming strong SE'ly in the evening between Townsville and St Lawrence. Light to moderate SE to NE winds elsewhere. A Severe fire danger in the Channel Country. A Very High fire danger in the Maranoa and Warrego. Forecast for Monday The trough and southerly change is likely to spread north along the east coast as a high moves over southeast Australia. As a result, showers are likely to spread along most of the east Queensland coast and inland into the eastern interior. Cooler conditions will spread to the southeast of the state in the wake of the change. At this stage, the weakened ex-Tropical Cyclone is likely to drift closer to the tropical coast, with a slight increase in showers and strong gusty SE winds for most of the east coast south of about Cardwell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms should persist over Cape York Peninsula and the Gulf Country. An inland trough is likely to generate isolated afternoon and evening showers over the southern interior. Fine in the west of the state. Forecast for Tuesday The trough will push further westwards over inland Queensland as the high moves over the Tasman Sea. At this stage, the weakened ex-Tropical Cyclone is likely to move west-northwest off the tropical coast leading to strong winds, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms along the east coast between Fraser Island and Cairns. Isolated showers are likely to spread along the remaining east Queensland coast and inland into the eastern interior. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms should persist over Cape York Peninsula and the Gulf Country. Isolated afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms will be possible east of the inland trough, especially in the south as an weak upper trough pushes over the area. Forecast for Wednesday The high will move east over the Tasman Sea maintaining a ridge along the east Queensland coast. The ex-Tropical Cyclone will continue to weaken as it moves northwest off the tropical east coast. Isolated showers and fresh to strong SE winds will continue about the east coast, with showers tending scattered with isolated thunderstorms and possible rain areas between Cooktown and Rockhampton. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms should persist over Cape York Peninsula and the Gulf Country. Isolated afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms will be possible near the inland trough. Outlook for Thursday, Friday and Saturday The high will continue to move towards and east of New Zealand, maintaining a strong ridge, fresh to strong SE winds, and showers along most of the east Queensland coast and adjacent inland. At this stage, there is still uncertainty associated with the outlook for the tropics with forecasts highly dependent on the movement of the tropical low. Early indications suggest that the tropical low is likely to be near the north tropical coast with widespread showers, areas of rain and some thunderstorms, possibly spreading into the adjacent eastern tropical interior. These conditions are likely to contract northwards and ease late in the week. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms should persist over Cape York Peninsula and the Gulf Country. Fine and sunny conditions should continue throughout most of the rest of the state. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:10 pm EST Sunday. 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