MELBOURNE - Mar 16/13 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time Strong Wind Warning for coastal waters between Townsville and St Lawrence for Sunday. Strong Wind Warning for coastal waters between Double Island Point and Point Danger, including Moreton Bay, for Sunday. Fire Weather Warning for Channel Country for Sunday. Flood warnings are current for various rivers and streams. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation The monsoon trough lies over northern Cape York Peninsula to Tropical Cyclone Tim which at 10am EST was about 880 kilometres east of Cairns and moving very slowly southwest. Tropical Cyclone Tim is expected to move slowly southwest and weaken to a tropical low late Saturday, and then move in a general west-northwest direction towards the tropical Queensland coast early in the new week. A trough and strong S'ly wind change is expected to move over far southern Queensland waters during Sunday afternoon and evening. Forecast for the rest of Saturday Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over Cape York Peninsula, with more isolated showers and thunderstorms about the Gulf Country. Isolated showers about parts of the tropical east coast. Fine and mostly sunny elsewhere. A very warm day in the northwest. Powerful surf along the far southern Queensland coast easing. Moderate to fresh S to SE winds along the east coast, tending SE to NE over the southern coast. Mostly moderate SE to NE winds elsewhere. A Very High fire danger in the Channel Country. Forecast for Sunday Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will persist over Cape York Peninsula and the eastern parts of the Gulf Country. The southerly change will bring isolated showers to the southeast, chiefly about the coast. It will remain fine across the remainder of Queensland with only isolated morning showers along the North Tropical Coast. Daytime temperatures should be above average over the northwest and southeast of the state, but cooler in the southwest. Moderate NE to NW winds along the southern east coast, becoming strong S to SE behind the southerly change. Moderate to fresh SW to SE winds about the remaining east coast, becoming strong SE'ly in the evening between Townsville and St Lawrence. Light to moderate SE to NE winds elsewhere. A Severe fire danger in the Channel Country. A Very High fire danger in the Maranoa and Warrego. Forecast for Monday The trough and southerly change is likely to spread north along the east coast as a high moves over southeast Australia. As a result, showers are likely to spread along most of the east Queensland coast and inland into the eastern interior. Cooler conditions will spread to the southeast of the state in the wake of the change. At this stage, the weakened ex-Tropical Cyclone is likely to drift closer to the tropical coast, with a slight increase in showers and isolated thunderstorms and strong gusty SE winds for most of the east coast south of about Cardwell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms should persist over Cape York Peninsula and the Gulf Country. An inland trough is likely to generate isolated afternoon and evening showers over the southern interior. Fine in the west of the state. Forecast for Tuesday The trough will push further westwards over inland Queensland as the high moves over the Tasman Sea. At this stage, the weakened ex-Tropical Cyclone is likely to move west-northwest off the tropical coast leading to strong winds, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms along the east coast between Fraser Island and Cairns. Isolated showers are likely to spread along the remaining east Queensland coast and inland into the eastern interior. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms should persist over Cape York Peninsula and the Gulf Country. Isolated afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms will be possible east of the inland trough, especially in the south as an weak upper trough pushes over the area. Forecast for Wednesday The high will move east over the Tasman Sea maintaining a ridge along the east Queensland coast. The ex-Tropical Cyclone will continue to weaken as it moves northwest off the tropical east coast. Isolated showers and fresh to strong SE winds will continue about the east coast, with showers tending scattered with isolated thunderstorms and possible rain areas between Cooktown and Rockhampton. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms should persist over Cape York Peninsula and the Gulf Country. Isolated afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms will be possible near the inland trough. Outlook for Thursday, Friday and Saturday The high will continue to move towards and east of New Zealand, maintaining a strong ridge, fresh to strong SE winds, and showers along most of the east Queensland coast and adjacent inland. At this stage, there is still uncertainty associated with the outlook for the tropics with forecasts highly dependent on the movement of the tropical low. Early indications suggest that the tropical low is likely to be near the north tropical coast with widespread showers, areas of rain and some thunderstorms, possibly spreading into the adjacent eastern tropical interior. These conditions are likely to contract northwards and ease late in the week. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms should persist over Cape York Peninsula and the Gulf Country. Fine and sunny conditions should continue throughout most of the rest of the state. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:45 am EST Sunday. 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