MELBOURNE - Mar 15/13 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time Strong Wind Warning for coastal waters between Townsville and St Lawrence for Sunday. Strong Wind Warning for coastal waters between Double Island Point and Point Danger, including Moreton Bay, for Sunday. Flood warnings are current for various rivers and streams. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation The monsoon trough lies over northern Cape York Peninsula to Tropical Cyclone "Tim" [996 hPa], which at 4am EST was about 910 kilometres east of Cairns and moving very slowly southeast. Tropical Cyclone "Tim" is expected to move slowly southwest and weaken to a tropical low during the weekend, and then move in a general west-northwest direction towards the tropical Queensland coast early in the new week. A trough and strong S'ly wind change is expected to move over far southern Queensland waters during Sunday afternoon and evening. Elsewhere, Ex-Tropical Cyclone Sandra was moving south over the Tasman Sea. Forecast for the rest of Saturday Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over Cape York Peninsula, with more isolated showers and thunderstorms about the Gulf Country. Isolated showers about parts of the east coast, though most areas will remain fine. Fine and mostly sunny elsewhere. A very warm day in the northwest. Powerful surf along the far southern Queensland coast easing. Moderate to fresh S to SE winds along the east coast, tending SE to NE over the southern coast. Mostly moderate SE to NE winds elsewhere. A Very High fire danger in the Channel Country. Forecast for Sunday At this stage, Tropical Cyclone "Tim" is expected to have weakened off the tropical east coast while moving slowly southwest. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms should persist over Cape York Peninsula and the eastern parts of the Gulf Country. A trough and southerly change is likely to bring late showers to southeast districts, after some early morning fog patches. Dry air across the remainder of Queensland should result in fine and mostly sunny conditions. Daytime temperatures should be above average over the northwest and southeast of the state, but cooler in the southwest. Forecast for Monday The trough and southerly change is likely to spread north along the east coast as a new high moves over southeast Australia. As a result, showers are likely to spread along most of the east Queensland coast and inland into the eastern interior. Cooler conditions will spread to the southeast of the state in the wake of the change. At this stage, the weakened ex-Tropical Cyclone is likely to drift closer to the tropical coast, with a slight increase in showers and isolated thunderstorms and strong gusty SE winds for most of the east coast south of about Cardwell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms should persist over Cape York Peninsula and the Gulf Country. An inland trough is likely to generate isolated afternoon and evening showers over the southern interior. Fine in the west of the state. Forecast for Tuesday The trough will push further westwards over inland Queensland, while the southerly change is likely to spread further north along the coast as the high pushes into southeastern Australia. Isolated showers are likely to spread along most of the east Queensland coast and inland into the eastern interior, scattered through central and tropical areas. At this stage, the weakened ex-Tropical Cyclone is likely to move west-northwest off the tropical coast, adding to the increase in shower activity and isolated thunderstorms and maintaining strong and gusty S to SE winds along the east coast south of about Cairns. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms should persist over Cape York Peninsula and the Gulf Country. Isolated afternoon and evening showers and possible thunderstorms over the remaining eastern half with increasing moisture and instability. Outlook for Wednesday, Thursday and Friday The high is likely to move across the Tasman Sea during the period with a strong ridge and gusty SE winds along most of the east Queensland coast with showers, spreading into the eastern interior. At this stage, there is still uncertainty associated with the outlook for the tropics with forecasts highly dependent on the movement of the tropical low. Early indications suggest that the tropical low is likely to be near the north tropical coast with widespread showers, areas of rain and some thunderstorms, possibly spreading into the adjacent eastern tropical interior. These conditions are likely to contract northwards and ease late in the week. An inland trough may generate isolated afternoon and evening showers and possible thunderstorms over the central and southern interior. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the far north. Fine in the far west of the state. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:10 pm EST Saturday. 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