MELBOURNE - Mar 5/13 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time A Strong Wind Warning is current for coastal waters between Cairns and Point Danger, including Hervey Bay. Flood warnings are current for various rivers and streams. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation A high [1026 hPa] over the Tasman Sea extends a firm ridge along the southern and central Queensland coasts. The high is expected to move slowly eastwards over the next few days while gradually extending the ridge northwards along the Queensland east coast. The monsoon trough is situated across northern Queensland and over the northern Coral Sea. A low [1001 hPa] is situated along the monsoon trough, approximately 400 kilometres east-northeast of Townsville, and it is expected to deepen while moving in a general eastwards direction away from the Queensland coast over the next few days. An upper low situated over northeastern South Australia will otherwise gradually move northwards over far southwest Queensland during the next couple of days. Forecast for the rest of Tuesday Areas of rain, scattered showers and thunderstorms over the northern and eastern tropics with moderate to heavy falls, particularly about the east coast and adjacent inland areas between about Cairns and Sarina. Scattered showers and thunderstorms over the tropical and central interior, spreading to areas of rain over western districts, with moderate to locally heavy falls. Scattered showers over remaining eastern and southeast districts, mainly about the coast and adjacent inland areas. Moderate to fresh SE to NE winds, fresh to strong and gusty along the southern and central coasts. Generally moderate to fresh SW to NW winds across the northern tropics. Forecast for Wednesday Areas of rain, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected across the northern and eastern tropics with moderate to heavy falls, particularly about the east coast and ranges between about Cairns and Mackay. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely to continue over the remainder of the tropics and also over most western districts, with moderate to locally heavy falls about the Channel Country. Scattered showers will persist about most remaining eastern and southeast districts, though should mainly be about the coast and adjacent inland areas. Isolated showers and morning drizzle areas are possible over the central and southeastern interior. A fine and mostly sunny day is expected over the southern interior. Moderate to fresh SE to NE winds, fresh to strong and gusty along much of the east coast. Generally moderate to fresh SW to NW winds across the northern tropics. Forecast for Thursday The upper level low will maintain unstable conditions over western Queensland, with scattered showers and thunderstorms with moderate to locally heavy falls extending through most western districts. In the north, the monsoonal flow will continue to support scattered showers and thunderstorms, with rain areas in the far north with moderate to locally heavy falls possible. The firm ridge will remain in place along the east coast, and this should continue to produce scattered showers along the east coast and adjacent inland areas. Fine and mostly sunny conditions are expected over the southern interior. The low over the central Coral Sea is likely to develop further as the monsoonal flow to the north interacts with the stronger SE winds from the south. The deepening low is expected to remain well offshore of the north tropical Queensland coast. Forecast for Friday The upper level low is likely to move over northwest Queensland and eventually weaken over the tropical interior. Meanwhile, the high over the southern Tasman Sea is expected to move slowly eastwards but will maintain a firm ridge with fresh to strong onshore winds and scattered showers along the east Queensland coast and nearby inland. The monsoon trough is expected to lie over the far northern tropics and combined with the upper level low over northwest Queensland is expected to produce scattered showers and thunderstorms over the northern tropics. The developing low is expected to be situated over the northern and central Coral Sea and there is a high chance of that it will develop into a tropical cyclone, but it should continue to be located well offshore of the north tropical Queensland coast. Forecast for Saturday The monsoon trough will extend across the far northern tropics. The developing low is expected to be situated over the northern and central Coral Sea and there is high chance that it will have formed into a tropical cyclone by this stage. The high in the Tasman Sea should continue to move slowly eastwards while maintaining a firm ridge along the Queensland east coast. Scattered showers will persist along much of the east coast and adjacent inland areas. Isolated showers are possible about the eastern interior. Isolated to scattered shower and thunderstorm activity should occur about the Gulf Country and Peninsula districts, tending to monsoonal rain and thunderstorms about Torres Strait. Fine and mostly sunny conditions should occur over most western districts. Outlook for Sunday, Monday and Tuesday A monsoonal wind flow should persist through the Torres Strait and over northern Cape York Peninsula, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected in this area and over the remaining northern tropics. The high over the Tasman Sea should move eastwards towards New Zealand but will maintain a firm ridge with fresh to strong onshore winds and scattered showers about the east Queensland coast. The low or tropical cyclone over the north central Coral Sea is expected to remain well offshore of the north tropical Queensland coast during this period. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:45 am EST Wednesday. 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