MELBOURNE - Mar 4/13 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time A Strong Wind Warning for northeastern Gulf of Carpentaria waters, north of Cullen Point. A Strong Wind Warning for east coastal waters between Torres Strait and Cape Grenville. A Strong Wind Warning for east coastal waters between Bowen and Point Danger, including Hervey Bay and Moreton Bay. Flood warnings are current for various rivers and streams. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation An upper level low over far southwest Queensland is expected to move slowly towards the west-southwest and into South Australia tonight. A high [1026 hPa] over the western Tasman Sea will move slowly to the east over the next few days, maintaining a firm ridge along the southern Queensland coast. The monsoon trough currently extends from the far northwest of the state to the north tropical coast of Queensland and into the Coral Sea. Forecast for the rest of Monday Areas of rain, scattered showers and thunderstorms over the northern and eastern tropics with moderate to heavy falls, particularly about the east coast and ranges. Scattered showers and thunderstorms over the tropical and central interior, spreading to areas of rain over the Channel Country and southern interior, with moderate to locally heavy falls. Scattered showers over remaining eastern and southeast districts, more isolated over the Darling Downs and Granite Belt. Moderate to fresh SE to NE winds, fresh to strong and gusty along the southern and central coasts. Moderate to fresh W to NW winds across the northern tropics. Forecast for Tuesday Areas of rain, scattered showers and thunderstorms over the northern and eastern tropics with moderate to heavy falls, particularly about the east coast and ranges from near Cairns to the Central Coast and Whitsundays. Scattered showers and thunderstorms over the tropical and central interior, spreading to areas of rain over the Channel Country and southern interior, with moderate to locally heavy falls. Scattered showers over remaining eastern and southeast districts, more isolated over the Darling Downs and Granite Belt. Cool maximum temperatures in central and southern districts. Moderate to fresh SE to NE winds, fresh to strong and gusty along the southern and central coasts. Moderate to fresh W to NW winds across the northern tropics. Forecast for Wednesday A firm ridge along the east coast will maintain an onshore flow and scattered showers about the southeast coastal districts, more isolated over the southeast interior. The focus of the monsoon flow and trough is likely to shift eastwards to the Coral Sea area, however rain areas and thunderstorms are likely to continue over the far north. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely to continue over the remainder of the tropics with moderate to heavy falls about the tropical coast and ranges due to strong SE winds converging into the region south of the monsoon trough. The upper low is expected to move towards the northeast again and approach the southwest border area, and continue to provide instability over western Queensland with at least isolated showers and thunderstorms, more widespread over the southwest with some moderate falls likely with thunderstorms. Winds are expected to remain fresh to strong and gusty SE'ly along the coast between about Cooktown and Sandy Cape, easing a little to the south. With the focus of the monsoon flow shifting into the central Coral Sea, it is likely that a low pressure system is likely to have developed in this region but is expected to remain well offshore of the tropical Queensland coast. Forecast for Thursday The upper level trough will maintain unstable conditions over the southwest, with scattered showers and thunderstorms extending through western Queensland. In the north, the monsoonal flow will continue to support scattered showers and thunderstorms, with rain areas in the far north with moderate to locally heavy falls possible. The firm ridge will remain in place along the east coast, and this should continue to produce scattered showers along the east coast and adjacent inland, more isolated over the southern interior. The low over the central Coral Sea is likely to develop further as the monsoonal flow to the north interacts with the stronger SE winds from the south. The deepening low is expected to remain well offshore of the north tropical Queensland coast. Forecast for Friday The upper level low is likely to move over northwest Queensland and eventually weaken over the tropical interior. Meanwhile, the high over the southern Tasman Sea is expected to move slowly eastwards towards New Zealand but will maintain a firm ridge with fresh to strong onshore winds and scattered showers along the east Queensland coast and nearby inland with more isolated showers over the eastern interior. The monsoon trough is expected to lie over the far northern tropics and combined with the upper level low over northwest Queensland is expected to produce scattered showers and thunderstorms over the northern tropics. At this stage, there is a higher chance that the low pressure system over the northern and central Coral Sea will have developed into a Tropical Cyclone but it should be located well offshore of the north tropical Queensland coast. Outlook for Saturday, Sunday and Monday A monsoonal wind flow should persist through the Torres Strait and over northern Cape York Peninsula, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected in this area and over the remaining northern tropics. The broad upper trough should decay over Queensland, with the atmosphere tending to stabilise over western Queensland and showers and thunderstorm activity generally clearing from this region. The high over the Tasman Sea should move eastwards towards New Zealand but will maintain a firm ridge with fresh to strong onshore winds and scattered showers about the east Queensland coast. The [likely] Tropical Cyclone over the northern and central Coral Sea is expected to remain well offshore of the north tropical Queensland coast during this period. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:45 am EST Tuesday. 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