MELBOURNE - Feb 26/13 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time A Severe Weather Warning is current for parts of the Central Coast and Whitsundays district south of Proserpine and the Capricornia district for heavy rain. A Strong Wind Warning is current for coastal waters from Proserpine to Cape Moreton, including Hervey Bay. Flood warnings are current for various rivers and streams. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation A large high [1030 hPa] near New Zealand extends a firm ridge over the southern Coral Sea. A weakening upper level low is located over the central interior of Queensland and is expected to weaken further on Wednesday while gradually shifting east into the Coral Sea. A surface trough lies offshore of the central coast and is expected to move west on to the central coast tonight. A new upper trough will approach the far southwest of the state late Wednesday. Forecast for the rest of Tuesday Rain areas, scattered squally and possible thunder over the Central Coast and Whitsundays district south of Proserpine and the Capricornia district with some heavy falls. Scattered showers and rain areas over remaining parts of the southeast with some locally moderate to heavy falls north and west of Brisbane, decreasing to isolated showers from the south during the evening. Isolated showers and thunderstorms over remaining central districts and the southern interior east of about Windorah. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms through the Peninsula and Gulf Country. Isolated showers over remaining parts of the tropics, particularly about the ranges. Fine and partly cloudy elsewhere. Light winds over the northern tropics. Moderate to fresh and gusty SE to NE winds elsewhere, strong at times along the Capricornia and southern Queensland coasts. Forecast for Wednesday Areas of rain, scattered squally showers and possible local thunder over the Central Coast and Whitsundays and Capricornia districts with some heavy falls likely. Scattered showers over the Southeast Coast and Wide Bay and Burnett districts, more widespread over the northern Wide Bay early morning. Cloudy and cool through the southeastern interior though with only patchy light rain. Rain areas and thunderstorms through Torres Strait. Isolated showers and thunderstorms over remaining parts of the tropics and through the central interior, with showers becoming more widespread during the afternoon. Isolated showers and thunderstorms over the southern interior, increasing to scattered with patchy rain developing over the far southwest during the evening. Fine and partly cloudy elsewhere. Light to moderate mostly NW to NE winds over the far northern tropics. Moderate to fresh SE to NE winds elsewhere, strong and gusty at times along the central and Capricornia coasts. Forecast for Thursday The new upper trough is expected to intensify and move east through the southern interior of the state. This will result in an increase in shower and thunderstorm activity through the southern interior, spreading to rain areas and thunderstorms from the west with some moderate falls developing, possibly locally heavy during the evening. Isolated showers through southeast districts should increase to scattered through inland parts during the afternoon with possible isolated thunderstorms developing. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will persist about the central coast and through the tropics, with some rain areas persisting through Torres Strait. Mostly fine conditions are expected over the northwest and central west with only isolated showers and possible thunderstorms. A cool day is expected through the southern interior under the thickening cloud. Forecast for Friday Some uncertainty exists with the movement of the upper trough but at this stage it is expected to move east into central and southeastern districts, extending a band of rain, scattered showers and thunderstorms east with its passage. A cool day is expected through these areas due to the extensive cloud cover and rainfall. Patchy rain and possible thunderstorms should clear western districts as a dry S'ly wind flow progresses east in the wake of the trough. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will persist through the tropics due to a moist and unstable airmass. Forecast for Saturday Uncertainty persists with the movement of the upper trough but at this stage it is expected to move slowly east through southeastern districts, while a slightly drier SE'ly wind change is expected to extend through southeast and central districts. This should result in the more widespread rain areas and thunderstorms decreasing to scattered shower and thunderstorms activity over southeast and southern central districts during the day. A moist and unstable airmass will result in widespread showers and possible thunderstorms through the tropics and central coast. Cloud will extend through southwestern Queensland in a moist wind flow though with only isolated light showers expected. Fine and mostly sunny conditions are expected over remaining parts of western Queensland. Outlook for Sunday, Monday and Tuesday The upper trough will most likely remain slow moving off the southeastern Queensland coast before shifting west through northern New South Wales during Monday and Tuesday. Isolated to scattered showers and possible isolated thunderstorms are therefore expected through southern Queensland during the outlook period, though the focus should shift to southwestern Queensland during Tuesday. A monsoonal wind flow is expected to deepen through Cape York Peninsula and Torres Strait, with rain areas and storms through these areas and isolated to scattered showers and isolated storms through remaining parts of the tropics and central districts. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:45 am EST Wednesday. 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