MELBOURNE - Feb 25/13 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time A Severe Weather Warning is current for the Capricornia, Wide Bay and Burnett, Darling Downs and Granite Belt and Southeast Coast districts for heavy rain. A Strong Wind Warning is current for coastal waters from St Lawrence to Point Danger, including Hervey Bay and Moreton Bay. Flood warnings are current for various rivers and streams. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation A large high [1033 hPa] near New Zealand extends a firm ridge over the southern Coral Sea. A slow moving upper level low is located over the central interior of Queensland. The upper low is expected to gradually weaken as it slips south on Tuesday. A surface trough lies offshore of the central and Capricorn coasts and is expected to move west on to the coast late Tuesday or early Wednesday. Another surface trough over southeastern Queensland is expected to weaken during Tuesday. Forecast for the rest of Monday Cloudy with scattered squally showers, areas of rain and isolated thunderstorms over the southern interior east of Charleville, central and southeast districts. Moderate to locally heavy falls are likely, with more widespread heavy falls east of a line from about St Lawrence to Stanthorpe. Generally isolated showers and thunderstorms over the tropics and northwest, increasing to scattered showers and thunderstorms over northern Cape York Peninsula. Fine over remaining western parts of the state. Light winds over the northern tropics. Moderate to fresh and gusty SE to NE winds elsewhere, strong at times along the Capricornia and southern Queensland coasts. Forecast for Tuesday Cloudy and cool with patchy rain, scattered squally showers and isolated gusty thunderstorms east of a line from about Mackay to Emerald to Cunnamulla. Some moderate to locally heavy falls are likely, with more widespread heavy falls about the Capricornia and Wide Bay and Burnett districts. Isolated showers and thunderstorms over remaining central districts and the southern interior east of about Windorah, with showers increasing to scattered during the afternoon. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms through the Peninsula and Gulf Country. Isolated showers over remaining parts of the tropics, with possible isolated afternoon thunderstorms about the ranges. Fine through remaining western districts. Light winds over the northern tropics. Moderate to fresh and gusty SE to NE winds elsewhere, strong at times along the Capricornia and southern Queensland coasts. A Very High fire danger in the Channel Country district. Forecast for Wednesday The upper level trough and low is expected to weaken further over southern central or southeastern Queensland. The surface trough off the Capricorn coast should shift inland, while the high near New Zealand should weaken. This will result in E'ly winds decreasing along the Capricorn and southern coasts. Areas of rain, scattered squally showers and possible isolated thunderstorms should continue about the central coast and through the Capricornia district due to the passage of the surface trough, with some moderate to locally heavy falls likely. Mostly cloudy conditions will persist through the southeast though with only patchy light rain and isolated showers expected, more scattered near the coast. A new upper trough will approach the southwest of the state, increasing instability through the southern interior with isolated showers and thunderstorms, increasing to scattered during the afternoon. Isolated to scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will persist through the tropics and remaining central districts in a moist and unstable airmass. Forecast for Thursday The upper trough is expected to intensify and move east through the southern interior of the state. This will result in an increase in isolated shower and thunderstorm activity to rain areas and thunderstorms from the west through the southern interior, possibly reaching the western Darling Downs at night. Isolated showers through southeast districts should increase to scattered through inland parts during the afternoon with possible isolated thunderstorms developing. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will persist about the central coast and through the northern tropics, with more isolated showers and possible thunderstorms through the southern tropics and northwest of the state. Maximum temperatures will be well below the February average through the southern interior under the thickening cloud. Forecast for Friday Some uncertainty exists with the movement of the upper trough but at this stage it is expected to move east through central and southeastern districts, extending a band of rain, scattered showers and thunderstorms east with its passage. A cool day is expected through these areas due to the extensive cloud cover and rainfall. Patchy rain and possible thunderstorms should clear western districts as a dry S'ly wind flow progresses east in the wake of the trough. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will persist through the tropics due to a moist and unstable airmass. Outlook for Saturday, Sunday and Monday The upper trough will most likely contract offshore of the southeast coast on Saturday and then most likely remain slow moving over the southern Coral Sea. This should result in a clearance of rain areas and thunderstorms off the southern and central coasts, with only isolated showers persisting in its wake. A new upper trough may develop over New South Wales from Monday, possibly producing isolated showers and thunderstorms over the southern interior of the state. A monsoonal wind flow is expected to deepen through Cape York Peninsula and Torres Strait, with rain areas and storms through these areas and isolated to scattered showers and isolated storms through remaining parts of the tropics. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:45 am EST Tuesday. 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