MELBOURNE - Jan 20/13 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time A Cyclone Warning is current for coastal areas along the Gulf of Carpentaria from Karumba to Mapoon including Mornington Island. A Severe Weather Warning is current for parts of the Peninsula and Gulf Country districts. A Wind Warning is current for eastern Gulf of Carpentaria waters. A Strong Wind Warning is current for coastal waters between Torres Strait and Cape Melville, and between Cardwell and Bowen. Flood Warnings are current in the Darling Downs and Granite Belt district. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation A monsoon trough lies over the southern Gulf of Carpentaria and across Cape York Peninsula. A low pressure system within the monsoon trough lies over the far southern Gulf of Carpentaria, and is expected to move in an east-northeasterly direction over the waters of the Gulf of Carpentaria, and may intensify in the next day or so. Another small low lies off the north tropical coast. A surface trough extends across the southwest interior. A weak high in the Tasman Sea extends a ridge along the southern east coast of Queensland. Forecast for the rest of Monday Gusty monsoonal rain and isolated thunderstorms over the Gulf Country, Peninsula district and along the North Tropical and Herbert Coasts with some moderate to heavy falls. Mainly isolated showers about the remainder of the east coast and eastern inland. Scattered showers and thunderstorms about the Warrego and far southwest, tending more isolated in other western districts. A Very High fire danger in the North West, Channel Country, Central West, and Central Highlands and Coalfields districts. Light to moderate SE to NE winds over most of the state, fresh at times over the northwest interior, and fresh to strong NW winds about the Gulf of Carpentaria and northeast coasts. Forecast for Tuesday The monsoon trough should remain over the state's far north, while the low pressure system is expected to be in the eastern Gulf of Carpentaria waters or over the Cape York Peninsula, and may develop into a tropical cyclone if it remains over water long enough. Regardless, this system will maintain squally, moderate to heavy rain periods and isolated thunderstorms over the Gulf Country and Peninsula district and the North Tropical Coast. The small low off the tropical east coast is likely to move west and onto the coast, and this may also produce bands of heavy rain and thunderstorms near the Herbert and Burdekin coasts. Showers are likely about the remainder of the east coast as the onshore flow becomes more humid, becoming scattered north of about Fraser Island. An upper level trough over southern Queensland should allow isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms to form over the southern interior. Forecast for Wednesday The monsoon trough and low should remain over the state's far north, maintaining squally, moderate to heavy rain periods and isolated thunderstorms over the Peninsula, North Tropical Coast, Herbert and Lower Burdekin districts, and parts of the Gulf Country district. Scattered showers about the remainder of the east coast in the strengthening onshore flow. An upper level trough over southern Queensland should allow isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms to form over the southern interior. Forecast for Thursday The monsoon trough and low should remain over the state's north, maintaining squally, moderate to heavy rain periods and isolated thunderstorms over the Peninsula, North Tropical Coast, Herbert and Lower Burdekin districts, and parts of the Gulf Country and Central Coast districts. An upper level trough over central and southeastern districts should allow scattered showers and thunderstorms to form over remaining eastern districts, with more isolated activity over the northwest, central and southern interior. Fine and mostly sunny conditions will occur over remaining parts of the state. Outlook for Friday, Saturday and Sunday A strong monsoonal wind flow should continue over the state's north and the northern reaches of the Coral Sea, squally rain areas with some moderate to heavy falls and isolated thunderstorms may therefore continue over the Peninsula district and along the northeast coast, and possibly extending southwards towards the central coast. Isolated showers and thunderstorms should continue over parts of the Gulf Country and remaining eastern districts, more widespread about the Capricornia coast. Conditions should remain fine and mostly sunny over remaining parts of the state. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:10 pm EST Monday. 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