MELBOURNE - Jan 18/13 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time A Severe Weather Warning has been issued for parts of the Peninsula, Gulf Country and North Tropical Coast districts. A Strong Wind Warning is current for eastern Gulf of Carpentaria waters. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation A monsoon trough lies over the Gulf of Carpentaria and far north of Cape York Peninsula and is expected to strengthen during the next few days. A weak low lies near Mornington Island. A weak high in the Tasman Sea extends a weakening ridge along the southern east coast of Queensland. Forecast for the rest of Friday Rain areas, showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Peninsula district, Gulf of Carpentaria coast and Torres Strait, with some heavy falls developing and the possibility of some damaging wind gusts with the thunderstorms. Showers and isolated thunderstorms over the remainder of the tropics. Mostly fine in the southwest with only isolated showers and possible late thunderstorms. Fine and mostly sunny conditions elsewhere. Very warm over the southeast quarter of the state. Strong winds about the eastern Gulf of Carpentaria. Mostly moderate NE to NW winds, fresh at times about the southern coast. Forecast for Saturday The monsoon trough is expected to shift a little further south to extend from the southern Gulf of Carpentaria coast to the northeast tropical coast near Cairns. A low is likely remain in place on the monsoon trough over the southern Gulf. Monsoonal rain and isolated thunderstorms about the Gulf of Carpentaria Coast, Cape York Peninsula and the North Tropical Coast. Mainly isolated showers and thunderstorms over the remaining tropics, except the central interior and the Capricornia region where fine and mostly sunny conditions are expected. A trough is likely to move east across the south of the state triggering isolated showers and thunderstorms across the southern and southeast interior, tending scattered about the far south. Hot over the southern districts, particularly about the southeast, due to the N'ly flow ahead of the trough. A Very High fire danger over inland districts and the Wide Bay and Burnett and the Southeast Coast. Forecast for Sunday The monsoon trough is expected to remain across the southern Gulf of Carpentaria and Peninsula District with a low possibly moving eastwards on the trough over the Peninsula district. Monsoonal rain periods and isolated thunderstorms are expected over Cape York Peninsula and about the Gulf of Carpentaria and the North Tropical Coast. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the remainder of the tropical east coast. Isolated showers about the central and southeast coast. A new high south of the continent should push milder southeast winds over Queensland's southeast, allowing temperatures to ease back to around the January average. Isolated showers and thunderstorms over the southern districts, possibly scattered near the southern border. Fine and mostly sunny conditions over the central interior and the northwest. Forecast for Monday The monsoon trough should remain over the Peninsula district and is likely to continue producing squally rain periods and isolated thunderstorms over the region, and possibly as far south as the North Tropical Coast. The low is likely to continue to move eastwards and into the northwest Coral Sea. Mainly isolated showers about the remainder of the east coast, tending scattered about the tropical coast. Isolated showers and thunderstorms about the Gulf Country. An upper level trough, in combination with the surface trough over the southern inland, is likely to produce isolated showers and thunderstorms about the southern districts. Fine and mostly sunny elsewhere. Forecast for Tuesday The low over the northwest Coral Sea will lie in an a conducive environment for further development, but is likely to remain offshore. Monsoonal showers, squally thunderstorms and rain areas are likely to continue over the far north, with this activity possibly reaching as far south as about Cardwell along the east coast. Isolated to scattered showers are likely along the remainder of the east coast as the onshore flow becomes more humid. The upper level trough over southern Queensland should continue to provide instability over the southern inland, with isolated showers and thunderstorms, particularly near the surface trough. Outlook for Wednesday, Thursday and Friday A strong monsoonal wind flow should continue over the state's far north, into the northern Coral Sea. A deep tropical low or tropical cyclone is likely to be located off the east coast over the northwestern Coral Sea. The combination of these systems maintain squally rain areas and isolated thunderstorms over the Peninsula district and along the east coast north of Townsville. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms elsewhere in the northeast of the state. A weak upper trough may produce some isolated showers and storms about the southern and eastern districts. Isolated showers and storms are also possible over the far northwest. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:45 am EST Saturday. 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