MELBOURNE - Jan 16/13 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation A surface trough extends through western Queensland and will contract westwards into the Northern Territory during today, freshening the monsoonal flow to the north of the Gulf of Carpentaria. An upper level trough over the central interior will contract into the northwest of the state during today. A high in the Tasman Sea will continue to extend a ridge along the southern Queensland coast. Forecast for the rest of Wednesday Cloudy conditions with rain areas and isolated thunderstorms through northern Queensland northwest of about Cooktown to Winton with moderate to locally heavy falls. Some of the storms will likely be severe. Isolated showers and thunderstorms over the eastern tropics, increasing to scattered over inland parts. Scattered showers and possible isolated thunderstorms about the central coast. Isolated showers and gusty thunderstorms through the central interior and into the southwest of the state. Mostly fine in the southeast with only isolated light morning showers. A cooler day through much northern and central Queensland. A Very High fire danger in the North West, Channel Country and Central West districts. Moderate to fresh and gusty SE to NE winds over western districts tending N to NE from the east during the day. Moderate to fresh SE to NE winds elsewhere, tending NE to NW about the far north of the state. Forecast for Thursday The upper trough or low is expected to shift west into the Northern Territory and should merge with the now deep monsoon trough extending through the Northern Territory into the Gulf of Carpentaria. Rain areas and thunderstorms should continue through the Peninsula, Gulf Country and North West districts in the moist monsoonal wind flow wrapping into the trough. Scattered showers and isolated storms will occur through remaining parts of the tropics and northern central districts in a moist and unstable NE'ly wind flow. The unstable airmass extends into the southwest of the state though with less moisture so only isolated showers and possible thunderstorms are expected here. Conditions should remain fine in the southeast under the influence of a ridge. Forecast for Friday The monsoon trough will extend from the Northern Territory through the southern Gulf of Carpentaria and into the Peninsula district. Monsoonal rain and thunderstorms will to the north of the trough through the Peninsula district, Gulf of Carpentaria coast and Torres Strait. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms should occur through remaining parts of the tropics and the northwest in a deep and unstable NE'ly wind flow to the south of the monsoon trough. Isolated showers and possible thunderstorms are expected in the southwest due to an unstable airmass ahead of a trough approaching the southwestern border. Temperatures will increase through southern districts due to a N'ly wind flow ahead of this trough, particularly about the southeast. Forecast for Saturday The monsoon trough is expected to shift a little further south to extend from the southern Gulf of Carpentaria coast to the northeast tropical coast near Cairns. Monsoonal rain and thunderstorms will occur over areas to its north. Remaining parts of the tropics and also northwestern Queensland should expect isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. The new surface trough is likely to move east across far southern parts of the state with isolated showers and thunderstorms developing across the southern and southeast interior, increasing to scattered near the southern border due to the presence of an upper level trough. Maximum temperatures will be well above the January average across the southern interior and the southeast of the state in the N'ly flow ahead of the trough. Outlook for Sunday, Monday and Tuesday The deep monsoonal flow should continue to strengthen and extend eastwards across the far north of the state and northern Coral Sea during the outlook period. Rain areas and thunderstorms should therefore persist through much of northern Queensland, particularly through areas north of about Cairns. Remaining parts of the state should see isolated showers and thunderstorms, most likely increasing to scattered through southern districts [particularly the interior] due to the presence of a weak upper trough. Temperatures should return to close to average over southeast districts as winds turn more E to SE'ly. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:10 pm EST Wednesday. 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