MELBOURNE - Jan 15/13 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time A Fire Weather Warning is current for the Channel Country district. A Strong Wind Warning is current for waters from Yeppoon to Double Island Point, including Hervey Bay. The Strong Wind Warning for waters from Double Island Point to Point Lookout, including Moreton Bay, has been cancelled. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation A surface trough extends from the northwest of the state to the Maranoa and Warrego district and is expected to deepen during today. A coastal trough and an associated SE wind change is expected to move north through Capricornia waters south of Yeppoon today. A high in the Tasman Sea will build a ridge along the southern coast in the wake of the trough. An upper level low will enter the southwest of the state during today. Forecast for the rest of Tuesday A band of showers and gusty thunderstorms will develop from the northern interior through the central west and into the Warrego, increasing during the afternoon and evening with some moderate to heavy falls likely. Some thunderstorms will likely be severe. Scattered showers, patchy rain and isolated storms from the southern central and Capricorn coasts through the central interior and into the Maranoa with moderate falls, possibly locally heavy with storms. Mostly fine over the far eastern tropics with only isolated showers and possible inland storms. Isolated showers and thunderstorms increasing to scattered over the remaining tropics with rain areas developing in the evening. Mostly fine in the southeast with only isolated showers. Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the northwest. Warm and dry in the southwest. Cooler conditions through central and southeast districts, while remaining hot in the northwest. A Severe Fire Danger in the Channel Country and a Very High fire danger over remaining western districts. Moderate to fresh SE to NE winds about the east coast and eastern interior, tending NE to NW about the far north of the state. Moderate to fresh S to SE winds though the Channel Country. Forecast for Wednesday The upper trough is expected to shift into northwestern Queensland. The monsoonal NW'ly wind flow through the Gulf of Carpentaria will freshen as the inland surface trough through western Queensland deepens further. This moist wind flow should combine with the upper trough to generate cloudy conditions, rain areas and isolated thunderstorms through northern districts and parts of the central west, with possible moderate to heavy falls. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms should occur through central districts and into the southwest of the state in a moist E to NE wind flow to the east of the surface trough. The ridge should maintain mostly fine conditions through the southeast with only isolated showers expected, mostly near the coast. Maximum temperatures should become near or below the January average through much of the state, particularly under the thicker cloud through northern and central parts. Forecast for Thursday The upper trough or low is expected to shift west into the Northern Territory and should merge with the now deep monsoon trough extending through the Northern Territory into the southern Gulf of Carpentaria. Rain areas and thunderstorms should continue through the Peninsula, Gulf Country and North West districts in the moist monsoonal flow wrapping into the trough. Scattered showers and isolated storms will occur through remaining parts of the tropics and central districts in a moist and unstable NE'ly wind flow. The unstable airmass extends into the southwest of the state though with less moisture so only isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected here. Conditions should remain mostly fine in the southeast under the influence of the ridge with only isolated showers expected north of the Sunshine Coast. Forecast for Friday The monsoon trough will extend from the Northern Territory through the southern Gulf of Carpentaria and into the Peninsula district. Monsoonal rain and thunderstorms will occur through the Peninsula district, Gulf of Carpentaria coast and Torres Strait to north of the monsoon trough. Scattered showers and thunderstorms should occur through remaining parts of the tropics and the northwest in a deep and unstable NE'ly wind flow to the south of the monsoon trough. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms about the central coast should decrease late in the day as a drier wind flow moves into the area. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected in the southwest and central west due to an unstable airmass ahead of a trough approaching the southwestern border. Temperatures will increase through southern districts due to a N'ly wind flow ahead of this trough, particularly about the southeast. Outlook for Saturday, Sunday and Monday The deep monsoonal flow should continue to strengthen and extend eastwards across the far north of the state and northern Coral Sea during the outlook period. Rain areas and thunderstorms should therefore persist through much of northern Queensland, particularly through areas north of about Cairns. By comparison, southern and central districts should see only isolated showers and thunderstorms. Warm to hot conditions will develop again through southern Queensland on Saturday as winds tend N'ly ahead of a trough moving east over the southern border. Temperatures should return close to average over southeast districts from Sunday as winds turn more E to SE'ly. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:10 pm EST Tuesday. 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