MELBOURNE - Jan 14/13 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time A Fire Weather Warning is current for the Channel Country and parts of the Maranoa and Warrego district or the rest of today. A Fire Weather Warning has been issued for the Channel Country for Tuesday. A Strong Wind Warning is current for waters south of Sandy Cape including Moreton Bay, extending north to Yeppoon during Tuesday and including Hervey Bay. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation A surface trough lies from the northwest of the state to the southeast interior and is expected to deepen over the central and southern interior on Tuesday. A S to SE change is moving northwards through southern coastal waters and will move north into Capricornia waters on Tuesday. A ridge will building along the southern east coast in the wake of the trough. An upper level trough over the south of the state will move northwards to lie from the central coast to the southwest of the state during Tuesday. Forecast for the rest of Monday Cloudy about the southeast of the state with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over inland parts. Scattered showers and thunderstorms in a band from the northwest of the state to the Wide Bay coast, with patchy rain developing this evening. Isolated showers and thunderstorms through the Peninsula and Gulf Country, scattered through Torres Strait and near the Gulf of Carpentaria coast. Fine and mostly clear over remaining parts of the tropics. Fresh to strong and gusty S to SE winds through southern districts. Light to moderate NE to NW winds over remaining parts of the state. A Severe fire danger in the Channel Country and parts of the Maranoa and Warrego district. A Very High Fire danger over remaining western districts, the Central Highlands and Coalfields and the Capricornia districts. Forecast for Tuesday Scattered showers, patchy rain and isolated storms from the central and Capricorn coasts through the central interior and into the southwest. Moderate to heavy falls are likely through the central interior, mostly with thunderstorms. Scattered showers and thunderstorms through the northern interior, increasing to rain areas later in the day. Isolated showers and thunderstorms through the far northwest and the northern Peninsula, and also along the northeast tropical coast. Isolated showers about the southeast. Cooler conditions through central districts and the southern interior due to the cloud cover. Temperatures should remain well above the January average through the northwest of the state. A Severe Fire Danger in the Channel Country and Very High fire dangers through the Northwest, Central West and Maranoa and Warrego districts. Moderate to fresh SE to NE winds about the east coast and eastern interior, tending NE to NW about the far north of the state. Moderate to fresh S to SE winds though the Channel Country. Forecast for Wednesday The upper trough is expected to shift into northwestern Queensland. The monsoonal NW'ly wind flow through the Gulf of Carpentaria will freshen as the inland surface trough through western Queensland deepens further. This moist wind flow should combine with the upper trough to generate cloudy conditions, rain areas and isolated thunderstorms through northern districts and parts of the central west, with possible moderate to heavy falls. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms should occur through central districts and into the southwest of the state in a moist E to NE wind flow to the east of the surface trough. The ridge should maintain mostly fine conditions through the southeast with only isolated showers expected, mostly near the coast. Maximum temperatures should become near or below the January average through much of the state, particularly under the thicker cloud through northern and central parts. Forecast for Thursday The upper trough or low is expected to shift west into the Northern Territory and should merge with the now deep monsoon trough extending through the Northern Territory into the southern Gulf of Carpentaria. Rain areas and thunderstorms should continue through the Peninsula, Gulf Country and North West districts in the moist monsoonal flow wrapping into the trough. Scattered showers and isolated storms will occur through remaining parts of the tropics and central districts in a moist and unstable NE'ly wind flow. The unstable airmass extends into the southwest of the state though with less moisture so only isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected here. Conditions should remain mostly fine in the southeast under the influence of the ridge with only isolated showers expected. Forecast for Friday The upper trough is expected to remain in the Northern Territory with the deep monsoon flow continuing to strengthen through the Gulf of Carpentaria. Rain areas and thunderstorms should continue through the Peninsula, Gulf Country and North West districts. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms should persist about the remaining tropical area and central districts. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are also possible in the far southwest of the state. The remainder of the state should be mostly fine with only isolated showers about the central and Fraser coasts. As the ridge weakens about the southeast of the state, the flow should turn more northerly and temperatures are expected to return to above the January average about the south and southeast of the state. Outlook for Saturday, Sunday and Monday The deep monsoonal flow should continue to strengthen and move slowly eastwards across the far north of the state during the outlook period. Rain areas and thunderstorms should therefore persist through much of northern Queensland. By comparison, southern and central districts should see only isolated showers and thunderstorms. Warm to hot conditions will develop again through southern Queensland on Saturday as winds tend N'ly ahead of a trough moving east over the southern border. Temperatures should return close to average on Sunday and Monday as the winds turn more E to SE'ly. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:45 am EST Tuesday. 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