MELBOURNE - Dec 20/12 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time A Fire Weather Warning has been issued for Friday for far southern parts of the Channel Country. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation A slow moving surface trough extends from the northwest of the state into the southern interior. An upper level trough over southern Queensland is expected to contract off the southeast coast late today whilst a new upper trough will enter the southwest of the state on Friday. Ex-Tropical Cyclone Evan lies over the far eastern Coral Sea [well east of 170E] and is expected to continue moving south towards the north island of New Zealand. Powerful surf generated by the cyclone is expected to affect the southern Queensland coast over the next few days. Forecast for the rest of Thursday Scattered showers, thunderstorms and rain areas in a band from the Gulf Country through the central, southern and southeast interior east of Charleville. Moderate falls are likely, locally heavy with storms, some of which may be severe. More isolated showers and thunderstorms over northern parts of the Channel Country and the western Peninsula. Partly cloudy over eastern districts south of about St. Lawrence with some patchy light rain and isolated thunderstorms inland and about the Gold Coast. Fine and mostly clear over the east tropical and central coasts. Light to moderate NW to NE winds over most of the state. Moderate to fresh S to SE winds in the far southwest. Forecast for Friday Scattered showers, patchy rain and thunderstorms from the northwest of the state, through the central interior and into the southeast with some moderate falls likely, locally heavy with storms. Thunderstorms will focus through inland parts though may reach the far southeast coast late in the day. Mostly fine and partly cloudy conditions will occur through remaining eastern districts south of about Townsville with only isolated light showers expected. Isolated showers and storms will continue about the western Peninsula, with mostly fine conditions through the northeastern tropics. Fine and partly cloudy conditions are expected in the far southwest. Light to moderate SE to NE winds across most of the state, fresh at times in the far southwest. A very high to severe fire danger in the south of the Channel Country. Forecast for Saturday A high in the Tasman Sea should extend a ridge along the east coast of Queensland, with the surface trough retreating west as a result. The upper level trough will move north to extend from the northwest of the state to the Warrego. Showers and thunderstorms will therefore focus through western districts and the western Gulf Country near the troughs. Mostly cloudy conditions will persist through central districts and the southern tropics with isolated showers and possible inland thunderstorms. Shower and storm activity should decrease through the southeast as the trough retreats west, though is still likely about the ranges. The likelihood of isolated showers about the northeast tropical coast increases as a low level trough shifts west through the Coral Sea and increases the onshore wind flow on to the coast. Forecast for Sunday The upper level trough should contract a little further north to extend from the Gulf Country to the Capricornia whilst a ridge should extend along the east coast. The trough over the Coral Sea will most likely shift further west on to the east tropical coast, extending moist E to NE winds through northern Queensland. This will combine with the upper trough to generate rain areas, showers and storms through the tropics and northern central districts. More isolated showers and storms are expected through the southern and central interior. Isolated showers will occur about the Capricorn and southeast coasts in an onshore wind flow, scattered about the exposed coast during the morning. Forecast for Monday The upper trough should extend from the Gulf Country to the central coast whilst the ridge along the east coast is expected to weaken. Scattered showers, thunderstorms and rain areas should continue through most of the tropics tending more isolated about the Capricornia coast. Areas south of about Boulia to Gladstone should be mostly fine with only possible isolated showers and thunderstorms, most likely about the southern border ranges. Isolated showers are also likely about the far southeast coast. Outlook for Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday The upper trough should contract further northwards through the tropics towards the Peninsula district during Tuesday and Wednesday. Showers and thunderstorms will occur to its north, decreasing to isolated showers over tropical areas to its south. A new trough will most likely enter far southwestern Queensland early Tuesday and move rapidly east, reaching the southeast coast early Wednesday. This trough is expected to generate isolated showers and storms with its passage. Warm to hot daytime temperatures will also extend through southern districts ahead of the trough before a cooler S'ly change extends north during Wednesday. Another trough system is likely to move into the southwest of the state on Thursday with further showers and thunderstorms across the interior of the state and isolated showers about the coast in the onshore flow. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:45 am EST Friday. 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