MELBOURNE - Dec 19/12 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation A slow moving surface trough extends from the northwest of the state into the southern interior. An upper level trough is moving east over southern Queensland and is expected to contract off the southeast coast late today. Tropical Cyclone Evan lies over the far eastern Coral Sea [well east of 170E] and is expected to continue moving south towards the north island of New Zealand. Powerful surf generated by the cyclone is expected to affect the southern Queensland coast over the next few days Forecast for the rest of Thursday Scattered showers, thunderstorms and rain areas developing in a band from the Gulf Country through the central, southern and southeast interior east of Charleville. Moderate falls are likely, locally heavy with storms. Some of the storm activity will likely be severe and warnings will be issued as necessary. More isolated showers and thunderstorms through remaining parts of western Queensland and the western Peninsula. Cloud increasing over eastern districts south of Mackay with some patchy light rain developing and isolated thunderstorms inland, possibly reaching the Gold Coast late in the day. Mostly fine over the east tropical coast with only isolated light morning showers. Cool day time temperatures under the thicker cloud through the interior. Light to moderate NW to NE winds over most of the state. Moderate to fresh S to SE winds in the far southwest. A Very High fire danger in the Central Highlands and Coalfields district. Forecast for Friday The surface trough will remain anchored through the northwest of the state but shift a little further east through the southeast interior. A new upper trough will most likely enter far southwestern Queensland. Scattered showers, patchy rain and thunderstorms will occur near the trough from the northwest of the state, through the central interior and into the southeast with some moderate falls likely, locally heavy with storms. Thunderstorms will focus through inland parts though may reach the far southeast coast late in the day. Cloudy conditions will occur through remaining eastern districts south of about Townsville though with only isolated light showers expected. Isolated showers and storms will continue about the western Peninsula, with mostly fine conditions through the northeastern tropics. Fine and partly cloudy conditions are expected in the far southwest. Forecast for Saturday A high in the Tasman Sea should extend a ridge along the east coast of Queensland, with the surface trough retreating west as a result. The upper level trough will move north to extend from the northwest of the state to the Warrego. Showers and thunderstorms will therefore focus through western districts and the western Gulf Country near the troughs. Mostly cloudy conditions will persist through central districts and the southern tropics with isolated showers and possible inland thunderstorms. Shower and storm activity should decrease through the southeast as the trough retreats west, though is still likely about the ranges. The likelihood of isolated showers about the northeast tropical coast increases as a low level trough shifts west through the Coral Sea and increases the onshore wind flow on to the coast. Forecast for Sunday The upper level trough should contract a little further north to extend from the Gulf Country to the Capricornia. The trough over the Coral Sea will most likely shift further west on to the east tropical coast, extending moist E to NE winds through northern Queensland. This will combine with the upper trough to generate rain areas, showers and storms through the tropics and northern central districts. More isolated showers and storms are expected through the southern and central interior. Isolated showers will occur about the Capricorn and southeast coasts in an onshore wind flow, scattered about the exposed coast during the morning. Outlook for Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday The upper trough should extend from the Gulf Country to the central coast during Monday before most likely contracting north through the tropics towards the Peninsula district during Tuesday and Wednesday. Showers and thunderstorms will occur to its north, decreasing to isolated showers over tropical areas to its south. A new trough will most likely enter far southwestern Queensland early Tuesday and move rapidly east, reaching the southeast coast early Wednesday. This trough is expected to generate isolated showers and storms with its passage. Warm to hot daytime temperatures will also extend through southern districts ahead of the trough before a cooler S'ly change extends north during Wednesday. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:10 pm EST Thursday. 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