MELBOURNE - Oct 25/12 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time A Fire Weather Warning is current for the Channel Country, Maranoa and Warrego and parts of the Northwest, Central West and Darling Downs and Granite Belt districts. A Strong Wind Warning has been issued for Saturday for waters south of Burnett Heads, including Hervey and Moreton Bays. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation A high [1016 hpa] over the Tasman Sea extends a weakening ridge along the east coast of Queensland. A cold front over the Channel Country is moving to the northeast, and is expected to stretch from the state's northwest to the southeast interior by the evening. An upper level trough lies over central Australia. Forecast for the rest of Friday Cloudy over the southwest but with little or no rain. Isolated showers and thunderstorms over the northwest and western Gulf Country. Fine and mostly sunny over the rest of the state. A very warm to hot day in western, central and southern Queensland. Mostly moderate SE to NE winds over the northern tropics. Moderate to fresh NE to NW winds elsewhere ahead of a fresh and gusty SW to SE change spreading across western and southern Queensland. A Severe Fire Danger southwest of a line from Mount Isa to Longreach and to Warwick. High to very high over the remaining districts. Forecast for Saturday The upper level trough should drift eastwards, while milder southerly winds spread across the interior. The combination of factors should mean that the high cloud would produce very little rain as it contracts gradually from Queensland's western regions into the central, southern and southeast interior, and for daytime temperatures to also fall to a few degrees below the monthly average in that area. However more humid conditions about the state's southeast, and the passage of a surface trough, should allow showers and thunderstorms to form over the coastal districts south of St. Lawrence. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are also possible over the Gulf Country. Remaining fine and mostly sunny over the northeast tropics. Daytime temperatures will remain above average over the east, though a cool change is expected to pass over the far southeast during the day and into the evening. Forecast for Sunday An onshore flow out of a high in the Tasman Sea should produce showers about the state's far southeast. Meanwhile a surface trough should deepen and shift westwards into the central and southern interior and this, combined with a strengthening of the upper trough is expected to generate showers, thunderstorms and areas of rain over the central interior, and also over parts of the Wide Bay, Capricornia and Central Coast districts. Some moderate falls are possible about the Central Highlands, and more isolated showers and thunderstorms are also expected over the southeast interior. Fine and mostly sunny over the remainder of the state, except for the chance of some isolated showers and storms over the northern interior. Temperatures well below average over the southeast quarter. Forecast for Monday The upper trough should remain over Queensland's interior, and the surface trough may drift further inland, resulting in showers and storms spreading inland into the state's southwest and central west, and continuing over the Central Coast. The high over the Tasman Sea should continue pushing humid air over the Queensland's southeast quarter, and this, along with the upper trough, should help showers and storms over the region to spread to areas of patchy rain. There is currently disagreement in the available forecast guidance about the strength and position of the weather systems over the southeast, resulting in uncertainty for now over the possible rainfall totals over the area. Fine over the state's far west, and the chance of some isolated showers and storms over the northern tropics. Temperatures below average over the southeast quarter of the state. Outlook for Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday The upper trough should start moving eastwards during the outlook period, causing showers and storms over the southeast on Tuesday, and then clearing on Wednesday as the trough contracts offshore. A weak onshore flow may produce some isolated showers about parts of the east coast, whilst a new high in the Great Australian Bight should push dry air across Queensland's interior, resulting in fine and mostly sunny conditions. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:10 pm EST Friday. 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